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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: hawkaw; commish

I see that move too on my GOES link.


801 posted on 08/13/2004 12:39:05 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: MplsSteve

Some of the world's most beautiful beaches may be devastated.

Siesta Key near Sarasota was listed as Florida's top beach. The beach sand is unique. It is a bright white powder like sand. Beautiful Captiva Island could get wrecked.

I would rather have the east coast beaches ripped up since the west coast Florida beaches are far better.


802 posted on 08/13/2004 12:39:30 PM PDT by Dont_Tread_On_Me_888
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To: Dog

That is just freaky scary.


803 posted on 08/13/2004 12:39:42 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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Comment #804 Removed by Moderator

To: mystery-ak

Sanibel Island is completely empty, including fire and police.. no one is on the island at all.. Found that out from friends this morning.


805 posted on 08/13/2004 12:39:52 PM PDT by grannie9 (There are three kinds of kids I dislike. Mine, yours and everyone else's.)
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To: gopwinsin04

I've been watching this for a while now, and thinking it is skirting up the coast. That is the absolutely worst case scenario - leaves everyone on the wrong side, stays strong, and then it gets TO ME!

I don't want to go through a cat 4. I won't have a roof tomorrow.


806 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:03 PM PDT by I still care (Have you heard about the Democrat cocktail? It's ketchup with a chaser.)
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To: grannie9

The local stations are now forecasting 15 ft storm surge, MSNBC had the prediction of 18 ft..


807 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:06 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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Comment #808 Removed by Moderator

To: DGallandro

"And a can of green spraypaint so I can paint "Looter Target Area" on my driveway"

LOL. Live on the radio shortly after Hugo hit Charleston, SC the police were told to "shoot to kill" anyone out after the 7PM curfew.


809 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:17 PM PDT by gathersnomoss
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To: commish

They are reporting 2 ft of water in the parking lot at Fort Meyers


810 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:33 PM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: oceanview
good footage on MSNBC now.

They seem to have better footage than TWC, why is that? Even CNN had better.

811 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:39 PM PDT by Netizen (Abortion is not a choice -- it's murder. The only 'choice' is which method of birth control to use.)
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To: Joe Brower

Hang in there Joe!


812 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:40 PM PDT by Travis McGee (----- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com -----)
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To: grannie9

you can be sure some residents are riding it out.


813 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:42 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: Dog
This could become a CAT 5..

It probably already is.

814 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:43 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: ContemptofCourt

If this thing hits a Cat 5, then you guys are in big trouble.


815 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:55 PM PDT by Sprite518
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To: I still care

If thats the scenario you may be lucky to only get a Cat 4


816 posted on 08/13/2004 12:40:55 PM PDT by Dr Snide (vis pacem, para bellum - Prepare for war if you want peace)
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Comment #817 Removed by Moderator

To: bankwalker
What part of the state are the bulk of the orange groves located? Any chance of major crop damage?

You may have gotten other replies on this, but they are essentially to the east of Ft. Myers. There shouldn't be too much damage, certainly not major.

818 posted on 08/13/2004 12:41:31 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: gopwinsin04

Local station just said the storm has almost ground to a hault! Not good.


819 posted on 08/13/2004 12:41:36 PM PDT by hawkaw
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To: Jeff400000
I guess every huricane is diferent, this one is certainly strange. I remember Allen was 250 miles away and we were getting gusts of 50 and 5 feet of water.

I just do not trust the media any longer.

820 posted on 08/13/2004 12:41:40 PM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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