Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
right about now, only 20 miles out.
Must be the fact that the Gulf is just that warm right now, for one thing.
That's what it looks like; the governor of South Carolina is asking for voluntary evacuation.
North of Naples and Marco, tide coming back in..minutes, just minutes before winds shift back around on Sanibel Island, taking the direct hit in the center, over the top of Pine Island...on to Cape Coral with ferocious storm surge....145mph on the right hand side of the storm...whoo.
Watching the approach I don't think this is hype at all. God save these people...
PRAYERS for all those in the path of this monster.
Charleston was that way after the last big cane there (Hugo?). They found boats all over the place.
Looking at the satellite pics, the secondary effect that I don't like the looks of is that band just north of Lake Okechobee (sp?). There are probably tornadoes being spawned from that band.
It's exactly what's happening.
Center of Sanibel Island bracing right now for DIRECT HIT...
Not from what I'm seeing - the storm is still tracking directly at Sanibel.
NBC2/ABC7 Ft. Myers is showing local radar, and the eyewall is on their close-up view.
It makes me just want to cry.
I hate it for anybody, but I love that place.
Sometimes people on this board say the most astonishingly stupid things. This is a jaw dropper. Please save the God's wrath stuff for another time . . . my sister is in the path of this storm.
You're gonna blame all this destruction on God? Don't make me come over there...Re-read the book of Job and get back to us.
My wife and I are scheduled to fly down from Ohio to Ft. Myers next Saturday. A close college friend of hers is seriously ill with cancer, and we are going to spend some time with them. My wife spoke with them Wednesday night, and they were well-stocked with supplies and ready to ride things out. Hope they don't lose power for too long.
I give up on Fox......they are now on to politics.
Their is wicked weather in Florida. Orlando you better head for the hills before all heck breaks lose.
My uncle is in Bradenton also. Prayers :)
Newscasters on live stream preparing to evacuate to safer studio.
I've lived on the Gulf Coast my entire life. There's no hype about a borderline Category 5 storm, none at all.
The only way this could be "worse" for Ft. Meyers (or wherever it makes landfall and just to the east of that point) would be if the storm was moving more slowly.
The surge is going to suck, as will the wind, but at least the periods of very intense rain will not be too long since the storm will clear the area within a few hours.
Oh, please...G-d is in control of EVERYTHING, and that includes hurricanes; like it or not. (Remember Noah?) My point is that we should NEVER forget that hurricanes are UNPREDICTABLE. In spite of all their expects and hi-tech equipment; the Weather Channel got caught with their pants right down around their ankles on this one with regards to the last-minute surge in strength of this storm. The Weather Channel might want to spend a LITTLE more time informing the public of the sheer unpredictability of hurricane behavior in the future.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.