Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
The pictures I'm seeing on CNN look pretty damn bad.
Correction: east of GA
Hurricanes can spawn tornados that are more dangerous than the Hurricane. YOU ARE NOT SAFE UNTIL ANY DANGER OF TORNADO ACTIVITY IS GONE.
Weather Service has Tornado Advisory until 9PM and it is only 8PM.
It might be unlikely that you are hit by a Tornado, but don't be like the owners of the Titanic.
The owners of the Titanic claimed that God Himself could not sink the Titanic.
From what I remember from History, that ship did not make it through its FIRST VOYAGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC.
Wind speed in the wall of the eye is currently 100 mph.
Those winds aren't a big deal for me because we get them in thunderstorms a lot.
However, there is a big difference between my KS thunderstorms and a sustained, hurricane-force wind like Florida is experiencing. We only get that 80 mph winds for a short period of time, usually less then 5 minutes.
Oh he must be a nut. I'm in Drums PA.
I cheated a bit ... We've driven that road towarsd Ocala!
(It took us a little more than an hour to get to Silver Springs from Daytona Beach Shores last summer.)
pulling up the velocity radar to see what is up.....might help pinpoint the winds
I'm wondering if it's going to keep following 17. I'm just off 17 on the coast of GA.
We were in Ft. Myers, Port Charlotte, Pine Island, Sanibel, etc. 2 weeks ago...gives one an odd feeling.
Here's the local newspaper in Ft. Myers.
Good coverage. Check out the photo gallery.
http://www.news-press.com/news/weather/hurricane/index.html
Your counterparts in Saudi Arabia believe that 9/11 was Allah's Will.
God may eventually judge us on the character with which we handle tragedies, but I suspect he has better things to do than roll hurricanes like bowling balls at clergymen who dared to express contrary opinions. Your posts are no less offensive than an Al Qaeda member coming here and saying Punta Gorda got what it deserved because Bush opposes the will of Allah.
Orange County is in the state of emergency. 45 mph wind currently.
The damage and casualty reports coming in sound ominous...St. Joseph's Hospital so badly damaged,they are removing 200 patients to hospital in Ft. Meyers...child killed when tractor-trailer is blown into passenger vehicle...many roofs off and trees over...power out to thousands, etc. etc.
Still waiting to hear from Sanibel and the other islands off the coast there.
All reported by Shep Smith at 7:30 p.m.
Anybody in Charley's path better take this darn seriously.
And if history is any guide, the reports tomorrow will be worse.
Southern Orange County is currently having brown outs.
looks like very very strong winds still.....around 90 knots on the velocity display at least.
That equals 103 mph.
And we were driving on 17 in May this year right at Haines City and Poinciana!
If ANYBODY knows DisneyWorld, it looks like the eye is going to cross I-4 and Hwy-192 right at the south entrance to Disneyland.
From what I see on the velocity display, the worst could be yet to come....though not much longer from now.
Yeah, I was watching that. They were saying the eye (100mph winds) was going to track thru Orlando and then into Casselberry and Winter Springs (oh boy).
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