Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Checking in again - SE Orlando - near the airport. Starting to rain. I just found my dog (Dachshound) hiding in the laundry basket under a pile of clean towels. When I picked her up, she was trembling all over. I've never seen her do anything like that before. Dogs must be able to sense something because it is just barely raining outside right now - no thunder or anything. My Amazon Gray parrot is unusually quiet tonight - not uttering a single word. She's usually driving us crazy this time of the night, yapping up a storm.
That's weird. I'm Soutwest of Volusia County in Seminole County, 12 miles from downtown Orlando and we have not received the first winds yet. Unles this is some weird feeder band thing, I don't know why you would be geting the first effects before we did.
Get that message from Red Cross.
I have known old women in South Louisiana who get on their knees and pray when a storm is in the Gulf. Some of these, I thought for sure would hit South Louisana, but would end up in Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida.
If you believe in a Trinitarian God (Father, Son, and Holy Spirit), then you also know that all things are the Father's Will
I notice the most recent projection takes this over Savannah -- a Bishop who backed out of the statement.
And it still can hit Savannah with some punch, which is sad.
This one will probably diminish some by then, but if it is far enough away from shore from North Carolina to Massachusetts, it might intensity and then make a mess of Massachusetts (Kerry's home state) -- if the current projected path is correct.
God might be trying to get the voters of Florida wake up and realize He is still the Almighty, and he doesn't want innocent babies killed by abortion.
Oops - meant African Gray parrot..can't type tonight
The talking head weather guy in Orlando just now said Seminole County can expect the worst winds after 9:00pm.
Now, I'm really going to go see if I can see some of the Olympics.
I thought it a bit odd, too, until I remembered that on the Gulf Coast it's the back side that will drive the water ashore...so it could be possible.
It's already happened and subsided. Maybe he meant that the damage reports were yet to come.
Unclear reporting, typical of CNN.
marker
JellyJam:
"One of our reporters just arrived in Arcadia and he's doing a live TV report. He says that the town (of about 30,000 or 40,000) has been devastated. Loads of damage. That's odd for that city ... it's normally the place people evacuate to from the coast when a hurricane is coming. Now it gets leveled by a Category 4."
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1188495/posts?page=1573
The eye is right down on top of Haines City right now. Still well defined, clear eye on radar. 105-122 mph winds according to that wind map a few posts ago.
Heading up near the lakes towards Kissimmee, still driving up Hwy 17.
Yeah.
We talked about it going right overhead of that town.
The thing about Hurricanes is that there can be a tremendous difference within a few miles, one place may just get some rain and medium gusts, while a few miles a way homes are levelled, consider yourself lucky.
Not correct at all. Inland communities do NOT normally receive coastal breezes. The trees are not prepared to withstand high winds, including Cat 1 hurricane force. Inland wind damage is enormous. Can't wait to hear what location you are playing armchair quarterback. Your profile doesn't tell us.
Actually, the projections haven't taken it over Savannah since about noon today. Most recent shows it 50 or so miles east of FL out in the ocean.
It sure is.
We all got burned on Fran. We're all jumpy.
The eye is now passing just to the east of Haines City.
It's funny. I am also hearing reports that several people are just starting to feel the wind. I haven't got the exact location though.
Geography was never my strong suit.
All I know is I'm somewhere on the east coast, LOL.
My brothers place is getting hammered right now - pool screens getting blown out. Tree over in front yard. Getting very interesting.
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