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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: Corin Stormhands

LOL!!


1,201 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:16 PM PDT by Constitution Day
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To: Vol2727
It's just unnerving and scary not hearing from anyone down there.

Winds from hurricanes, even mild ones far from the core, often blow down power and phone lines, plus the phones circuits tend to get busy with everyone calling relatives in/out of the area, so not hearing from someone is pretty normal, and most likely nothing to be scared about.

1,202 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:23 PM PDT by Ichneumon ("...she might as well have been a space alien." - Bill Clinton, on Hillary, "My Life", p. 182)
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To: My Favorite Headache
My Favorite Headache - I am in Brevard right now but going to stay with a friend in Plant City, 25 mins outside of Tampa Bay.

VERY BAD IDEA ALERT If you haven't left yet, DON'T. You will be driving perpendicular to the storm and if it jogs back north, you are looking down the barrel. If you break down or if someone else does and the highway is blocked, ditto. If you are in northern Brevard, go south to Vero Beach.

1,203 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:30 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (When it came to Intelligence, Kerry was absent)
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To: Petronski

Yeah, make that a double.


1,204 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:44 PM PDT by gathersnomoss
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To: oceanview

Did you see that reporter they showed on TWC? The guy in the yellow raincoat? Not exactly the brightest bulb in the box. Hope he can swim, or tread water for a few hours.


1,205 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:48 PM PDT by Tuxedo
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To: dead

LOL!


1,206 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:54 PM PDT by Ichneumon ("...she might as well have been a space alien." - Bill Clinton, on Hillary, "My Life", p. 182)
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To: Dog Gone

I don't envy my friends in Tampa and Sarasota.


1,207 posted on 08/13/2004 1:35:56 PM PDT by pgkdan
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Comment #1,208 Removed by Moderator

To: lifacs

Thanks for that!


1,209 posted on 08/13/2004 1:36:20 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: ApesForEvolution
ANY chance it could exit SOUTH of Daytona?

Projection is just north of Daytona Beach.

1,210 posted on 08/13/2004 1:36:25 PM PDT by Dont_Tread_On_Me_888
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To: Ichneumon

1,211 posted on 08/13/2004 1:36:25 PM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: lifacs; ksen

To add to your list, "ksen" is in the Melbourne area, just SE of Orlando.


1,212 posted on 08/13/2004 1:36:29 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands (www.wardsmythe.com)
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To: jayef

Easy killer


1,213 posted on 08/13/2004 1:36:33 PM PDT by cwiz24
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Do you mean "THE OCEANS" ?? I am 5 streets north of Silver Beach Ave,6 houses from the A-1-A.If you want me to check on it TOMORROW AFTERNOON,let me know. I'm gonna try to keep posting every so often until then.

Volusia Emergency management was on WESH-NBC Ch.2 around 45 minutes ago.They are NOT evacuating, and expect tropical
STORM conditions when Charlie "visits" here.

So it looks like your condo is OK. (...whispering here.....
if we're LUCKY, Charlie might take those DANG turtle nests with him so you can turn your lights back on at nite if you
own an oceanfront condo....)


1,214 posted on 08/13/2004 1:36:50 PM PDT by musicman
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There goes a 30 ft piece of roof from the Holiday Inn Ponte Gorda..and his idiot is in a van! Stuff hitting his truck


1,215 posted on 08/13/2004 1:37:09 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Pyro7480

Well, that's just plain nasty lookin'...


1,216 posted on 08/13/2004 1:37:22 PM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: jayef

We've gotten along just fine until you came along.

Put a sock in it.


1,217 posted on 08/13/2004 1:37:43 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: gopwinsin04
There goes a 30 ft piece of roof from the Holiday Inn Ponte Gorda..and his idiot is in a van! Stuff hitting his truck

Darwin candidate's cell phone keeps cutting out...

1,218 posted on 08/13/2004 1:37:44 PM PDT by mhking
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To: All

Florida Web Cams.

Tampa is offline, I'm checking some others now:

http://www.leonardsworlds.com/weather/florida.htm


1,219 posted on 08/13/2004 1:37:50 PM PDT by Calpernia ("People never like what they don't understand")
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To: lifacs

Thank you! Very kind!


1,220 posted on 08/13/2004 1:37:52 PM PDT by jayef
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