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SurveyUSA Michigan Poll 8/5/04: Bush 41% Kerry 52%
SurveyUSA ^ | 8/5/04 | SurveyUSA

Posted on 08/05/2004 5:27:28 PM PDT by Ed_in_LA

President, MI 8/5/2004

Kerry (D) 52% Bush (R) 41% Other/Undecided 8% Data Collected 8/2/04 - 8/4/04 Geography State of Michigan Sample Population 608 Likely Voters Margin of Error 4.0% Client WZZM-TV Grand Rapids WDIV-TV Detroit


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2004; battleground; kerrybounce; polls; susa
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To: AmishDude
The Muslim vote will be energized and anti-Bush in Michigan.

Not necessarily - a many of the muslims here are escapees from Iraq & W's their hero. And plus there's a lot of Chaldeans who are also pro-Bush.

41 posted on 08/05/2004 7:10:16 PM PDT by VoiceOfBruck (optional, printed after your name on post)
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To: VoiceOfBruck

We can only hope. The numbers might be off, but I was trying to come up with a reason why Bush might do poorer in Michigan than expected.


42 posted on 08/05/2004 7:12:29 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: AmishDude
Most Arabs in Michigan are Christian. The Muslim vote is a factor, but is EXTREMELY overrated.

Bush needs to worry more about the Catholic Vote(North and East Michigan) and the Dutch Protestant Vote(West Michigan).

43 posted on 08/05/2004 7:36:15 PM PDT by Dan from Michigan ("When the chips were down, you could not count on John Kerry." - Swift Boat Veterans for Truth)
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To: POA2

What are you?


44 posted on 08/05/2004 7:41:25 PM PDT by Stentor
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To: grellis

Viagra does return functionality.


45 posted on 08/05/2004 10:14:34 PM PDT by miltonim (Fight those who do not believe in Allah. - Koran, Surah IX: 29)
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To: POA2

Right, buddy.

Michigan is so pro-democrat, which is why we have a Republican legislature and Republican judiciary.


46 posted on 08/06/2004 5:30:05 AM PDT by sergeantdave (Gen. Custer wore an Arrowsmith shirt to his last property owner convention.)
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To: Ed_in_LA

I fear for my country. Are these polls being taken of inmates in a psychiatric unit?


47 posted on 08/06/2004 5:33:09 AM PDT by tame (Are you willing to do for the truth what leftists are willing to do for a lie?)
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To: sergeantdave
Right, buddy. Michigan is so pro-democrat, which is why we have a Republican legislature and Republican judiciary.

Do I have to point out to you that the GOP holds the legislature in MI because those are NOT State WIDE RACES....and many of the GOP in the legislature run as complete RHINOS-

State-Wide races have been tilting DEM big time over the last 10 years in MI - Last 3 Prez races WENT DEM - Both Senators DEM - Gov 2 years ago went DEM - McCain beat GWB in the primary in 2000 - etc, etc, -

48 posted on 08/06/2004 6:20:30 AM PDT by POA2
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To: POA2
The fact is MI is a lean Kerry State - Plain and simple - MI has trended DEM big time over the last 10 years - Teachers Union (is huge!), Auto-Workers (huge), Trial-Lawyers (huge group in MI and hate GWB), African American vote in Detroit (carries the State for the DEM's alone) -

Good summary. The Detroit-Ann Arbor axis gives the Rats a power base that is hard for the other areas to beat back. The margin for this poll seems on the high side, but come election day MI will likely be in the Kerry column, IMO. Too many union activists, liberal college professors and students, and minorities that are going on their third or fourth generation of living on government handouts. The Rats take those demographic groups hands down. If Bush wins MI, I'll eat my hat.

This poll is not good news - We are less then 90 days out -

Certainly not good news. Losing never is. But I never thought Bush had much of a shot at winning MI. You have to try your best, I know, because that's all you can do, but there comes a time when you have to face the facts. We can rant and rave all we want over "inaccurate" or "biased" polls, but history doesn't lie. Rats have been strong in statewide races in MI in several elections now (Granholm winning the governorship, Stabenow booting out Abraham, Gore winning the state in 2000). Kerry probably has the edge in continuing that trend.

This is shaping up more and more like 2000 all over again. 90 days out and Bush really needs to shore up support in states he won in 2000. FL and OH top the list. OH has been looking a little better, but WV, NH, and NV could be trouble. I don't buy the "there's plenty of time" argument, either. Time is fast running out. Three months is getting down to the short strokes.

49 posted on 08/06/2004 6:36:56 AM PDT by chimera
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To: POA2

I'm very happy that you brought up the RINO issue.

Since you seem to have an inside track with the Republican leadership in Michigan why don't you ask them what happened to the 200,000 to 400,000 missing Republican absentee ballots in 2002.

Ask them to give me an answer on why the state party leadership opposed Ward Connerly's affirmative action initiative.

Ask them why they won't station poll watchers in rat districts to end the massive voter fraud in Detroit.

You are correct - we DO have a RINO problem.


50 posted on 08/06/2004 6:46:44 AM PDT by sergeantdave (Gen. Custer wore an Arrowsmith shirt to his last property owner convention.)
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To: AmishDude
...I was trying to come up with a reason why Bush might do poorer in Michigan than expected.

It's perplexing to me too. I don't hold out much hope for W winning MI. My possible explanations: the "Reagan Democrats" don't exist anymore, and, as has been pointed out, massive, in-your-face, blatant voter fraud in Detroit.

51 posted on 08/06/2004 8:25:24 AM PDT by VoiceOfBruck (optional, printed after your name on post)
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