Gallup's Revised Post-Convention Poll Numbers (Bush 51%, Kerry 45%, Nader 2%)

Gallup ^ | 8/2/04

[ambrose]

Gallup's Revised Post-Convention Poll Numbers (Bush 51%, Kerry 45%, Nader 2%)

[RWR8189]

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry Based on Registered Voters

	Jul 30-Aug 1		Jul 19-21		Jul 8-11		Jun 21-23
	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	48	48	49	45	51	44	49	45
Gender
Men	45	52	50	44	45	49	44	51
Women	51	45	48	47	56	39	53	40
Race
Whites	42	55	42	51	45	50	43	52
Non-whites	72	23	71	25	73	22	72	21
Age
18-49	47	50	45	50	54	42	50	45
50-64	51	44	52	42	46	49	48	48
65+	48	48	54	38	49	41	49	45
Region
East	53	44	54	37	53	42	57	36
Midwest	51	45	49	44	55	39	50	45
South	42	55	42	53	44	49	44	50
West	50	47	51	45	55	42	48	47
Education
Post-graduate	53	44	55	42	55	38	53	44
College graduate	44	54	41	54	49	47	47	46
Some college	48	50	41	53	48	47	46	50
High school or less	49	46	56	36	53	41	51	42
Income
$75,000 or more	42	55	42	54	43	53	38	59
$50,000-$74,999	44	54	40	56	43	52	51	45
$30,000-$49,999	51	46	55	41	54	40	51	46
Less than $30,000	61	34	59	33	68	28	57	35
Ideology
Conservative	20	76	25	69	26	69	23	73
Moderate	57	39	56	37	59	33	59	35
Liberal	88	12	80	16	86	13	82	12
Partisanship
Republicans	6	92	8	87	9	87	8	92
Independents	50	43	54	33	50	37	50	40
Democrats	92	7	91	8	92	6	87	9

[zarf]

This election is Bush's to lose. Bush has his work cut out for him.

Don't get cocky.

[putupjob]

Whew! That was brutal.
Watch the Kerry/ Dean / Sharpton / Clinton / Theresa / Jackson / Gore / Kennedy / Daschle / Edwards /Carter / McAuliffe / Moore / Reiner band of rat dogs go nuts.

It's clear what happened. The DNC was just a blah blah pontificate for platitudes. They said they hate Bush and they had no solutions to anything that they complained about.

The public held off waiting to see what the demrats were going to do and say and it was just a stupid thing like the Wellstone death fest. And the gushy media is going on and on about how great it was and we all know it was completely dirt.

[dc-zoo]

This is un-fricken-believable! The Bush Bounce Widens!

[Names Ash Housewares]

"Don't get cocky."

Onward! Charge!!!!!!!!!!!!! With everything we've got!

Hail to the King Baby.

Hail to the King Baby.

[Tall_Texan]

I see what looks like a strand of DNA.

[goldstategop]

Great news! I predict Kerry will get 45 to 46% of the vote at the end of the day. That's all he'll get maybe less on account of who he happens to be.

[TomasUSMC]

we MUST keep Terroreeeza IN the Spotlight. Lots of Airtime, TVtime and press-the-flesh (I know, that seems really mean) time.

[PhilDragoo]

[Luke21]

Dionne is a nice guy. I wrote him to argue with a column once and he wrote not only a civil reply, but a complimentary one. Try that with Cynthia Tucker sometime. She's a rabid commie.

[The Wizard]

these are the wrong numbers...LIKELY

[RWR8189]

I don't have access to the internals of likely voter demographics.

[Tall_Texan]

It's clear what happened. The DNC was just a blah blah pontificate for platitudes. They said they hate Bush and they had no solutions to anything that they complained about.

What happened was the nation saw Democrats trying not to be their usual hateful mean-spirited accusatory selves and try to pass themselves off as pro-war moderates. The libs saw a candidate who didn't stand for anything they recognized and the conservatives could see through the fraud. What was left was the Kool-Aid drinkers and the ABB crowd who understood that Democrats have to mask who they really are in order to get elected. They're no more honest than Baghdad Bob. No wonder both sides came away unimpressed. This will be a really tough election cycle for the ideologically pure among the left. They're going to watch one of their own downplay everything they believe in so he can pander to the moderates. They're going to start looking for alternatives soon if they haven't already.

[Stallone]

Anyone else see the correlation?

[WestVirginiaRebel]

To quote Bush: "Bring it on." Lurch is toast.

[Lexinom]

Wait a second. I thought Lurch was up by 6 points.

[dc-zoo]

My take is the demorats tried so hard to appear republican that the sheeple opted for the real thing and gave the republicans the bounce.

[dawn53]

Wasn't this increase due to the fact that they thought Kerry would get a bounce if they continued to poll through the weekend?

Thought I read that somewhere, and that Kerry's numbers actually peaked the day after the election and went down on Saturday and Sunday.