Daily Rasmussen Poll; BIG TROUBLES FOR KERRY

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/2/04 | Scott Rasmussen

[Nascardude]

Monday August 02, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows Senator John Kerry with 47% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

Today is the first Tracking Poll data based entirely upon interviews conducted after John Kerry's speech at the Democratic National Convention. The results reflect a one-point improvement for the Kerry/Edwards ticket. That's well within the survey margin of error and also reflects a two-point net decline from the poll results immediately prior to Kerry's speech.

One week ago today, the last Tracking Poll before the convention began showed Kerry and Bush tied at 46% each. Just before his speech, Kerry was leading 48% to 45%.

When comparing the convention "bounce" measured by various polling organizations, the timing of the polls must be taken into account. At Rasmussen Reports, we track the race daily while other organizations do so more sporadically.

If we compare the same polling nights as Gallup's pre-and post convention polls, Rasmussen Reports data shows that Kerry had a negative bounce of one-point during that time frame. Our data also shows a slight negative bounce over the time frame measured by Newsweek.

Later today, at 3:00 p.m. Eastern, we will release data showing if ideological perceptions of Kerry and Edwards shifted following the Democratic Convention. Before the festivities in Boston, 41% of voters saw John Kerry as politically moderate and 43% saw him as liberal.

Also at 3:00, we will provide our weekly update on who voters believe is winning the War on Terror. We will also look at who voters believe is a better leader--George Bush or John Kerry.

Beginning tomorrow, and continuing throughout the week, we will release a new wave of Rasmussen Reports state election polls to update our Electoral College projections. Currently, we show Kerry with a modest lead, 227-208. There are 103 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.

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Our latest update shows that voters remain evenly divided between Kerry and Bush when it comes to the economy. Bush retains a very modest advantage on the issues of national defense and the War on Terror. Results on both issues are essentially unchanged over the past week and will be updated again next week.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters say it is more important to insure that Iraq becomes a peaceful nation enjoying freedom and democracy than to bring home our troops as soon as possible. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 39% take the opposite view and believe that bringing home the troops is a higher priority.

[1Old Pro]

If the Dims go negative, it won’t be from the Hillary wing.

Good point. But there are many operatives who aren't associated with the Clintoon crime family and would personally benefit (jobs, etc) if they can get ketchup boy elected.

[sanjacjake]

Cuck Farville and the horse he came in on....he is a
ridculous excuse for a commentator....like to see O'Reilly
skewer him and his elongated forehead buddy...a pair to
draw on the board....as in bored...losers, inc. Jake

[Kozak]

I'm on a tight suicide watch for my extreme liberal neighbors

Yeah but if they do it will they still vote?

[NormsRevenge]

Looks like it's time to go on Oprah.. They got a book to peddle now..

Democratic Presidential nominee Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites) holds up his new book, 'Our Plan For America' while speaking to firefighters at the Grand Rapids Fire Department in Grand Rapids, Michigan, August 2, 2004. With Washington and New York on 'high risk' alert after intelligence warnings of al Qaeda threats to attack the New York Stock Exchange (news - web sites), World Bank (news - web sites) and International Monetary Fund (news - web sites), Kerry criticized Bush for not moving fast enough to implement the Sept. 11 commission's recommendations. Photo by Mike Segar/Reuters

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Available in FRench soon

An image of the cover of the new book 'Our Plan For America' by Democratic presidential nominee, Senator John Kerry (news - web sites) (R), and his running mate, Senator John Edwards (news - web sites). The book was unveiled August 2, 2004. REUTERS/Mike Segar US ELECTION

[jveritas]

In their latest poll Newsweek sampled 38% Democrats, 28% Republicans and 34% Independent.

Of course you will see negative numbers for the President based on this sampling.

Conevtional wisdom in politics:

"Newsweek polls are trash".

[AxelPaulsenJr]

Those clips would make for excellent campaign commercials - Bush commercials.

Agreed. Those clips of lurch spouting off about hussein will be priceless and most certainly should and I bet, will, be used.

I am so proud of the way W. and company are taking the battle to the demorats.

[MikefromOhio]

You know, you are the first person to catch up on that. It was just a play on words, but I thought it was funny as I was typing it....