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Chen warns of China 'mandate' to invade
Singapore Strait Times ^ | 7/31/04 | Singapore Strait Times

Posted on 07/31/2004 2:45:09 PM PDT by wagglebee

TAIPEI - Proposed Chinese legislation that would give a mandate for the reunification of Taiwan with the mainland would provide a legal basis for an attack on the island, Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian has said.

Mr Chen, speaking for the first time on the mainland's proposal to adopt a reunification law, said he was very concerned about it.

'China is undertaking a legal battle. If Taiwan does not follow, it will undertake a military battle,' he was quoted by the United Daily News as saying during a visit to the southern county of Tainan late on Thursday.

'The reunification law is a bid to obtain a basis to attack Taiwan,' he said.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao is considering a proposal made in May that parliament should draft and adopt a reunification law to prevent Taiwan from edging towards independence.

A reunification law would legally bind Chinese leaders to order the 2.5-million-strong People's Liberation Army to attack Taiwan if the island declared independence.

'I am very concerned,' Mr Chen said in Tainan.

Tension has been simmering between Taiwan and Beijing, rivals since a civil war that ended in 1949. Many security analysts see Taiwan as the most dangerous flashpoint in the Asia-Pacific region.

Both sides have been holding military exercises in the waters off Taiwan, leading some military analysts to conclude that the rising hostilities may have reached a critical juncture.

On Thursday, China for the first time denied that it had set a timetable to reunify Taiwan by force within the next 20 years.

'I have not seen any reports on this in the mainland's formal media, and internally I've also not heard of such a document,' Mr Wang Zaixi, vice-director of the Chinese Cabinet's Taiwan Affairs Office, told the media while attending a forum in Hangzhou, capital of southern Zhejiang province.

Mr Wang nevertheless stressed that Mr Chen risked war with the mainland if he pushed for a new Constitution by 2008.

The island's security lay not in building up an arsenal of missiles and submarines but in offering assurances that Taiwan was not planning to declare independence, Mr Wang said.

Beijing sees Mr Chen's goal of adopting a new Constitution by the end of his term in 2008 as a drive towards a formal declaration of independence and has been preparing for a possible military showdown.

'New tensions and even a serious crisis in the cross-strait situation may arise if Chen obstinately pursues his timetable,' Mr Wang said. -- AFP, Reuters, AP


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 1949; 2004; anschluss; asia; beijing; bush; chen; cheney; chicoms; china; chinese; communism; edwards; election; hangzhou; jiabao; kerry; pacific; reunification; shuibian; singapore; strait; submarines; taipei; taiwan; wang; war; wen; zaixi; zhejiang
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To: Arkinsaw
By my authority as master of my own home I hereby declare that it would be illegal for my neighbor to own his own house without me controlling it. Since I have said this, I am now morally justified in breaking in and beating my neighbor to a pulp. Please do not interfere with my now legal moves, thank you.

That work for the North during the 2nd War for Independence.

21 posted on 07/31/2004 4:54:17 PM PDT by Lester Moore (Every knee shall bow and every tongue confess that Jesus Christ is Lord of All)
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To: wagglebee

Can't help but wonder how Hanoi John would handle the situation if he were President? I would guess he would become the American Chamberlain!


22 posted on 07/31/2004 5:13:53 PM PDT by Joee
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To: Fee
Taiwan should build nukes, and test them. End of threats. They need the full tripod of deterence, subs, bombers and silos.

Eventually China either has to change or the sh*t will hit the fan.

23 posted on 07/31/2004 5:54:10 PM PDT by Jack Black
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To: Fee

The previous Chinese leader (the one beloved of Feinstein) often used Lincoln as his model when explaining the mainland's position on using force against Taiwan.


24 posted on 07/31/2004 5:55:29 PM PDT by Arkinsaw
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To: AM2000; Arkinsaw; BenLurkin; Dallas59; Fee; Fishing-guy; Iscool; iamright; ...
On Thursday, China for the first time denied that it had set a timetable to reunify Taiwan by force within the next 20 years... Mr Wang Zaixi, vice-director of the Chinese Cabinet's Taiwan Affairs Office... nevertheless stressed that Mr Chen risked war with the mainland if he pushed for a new Constitution by 2008. The island's security lay not in building up an arsenal of missiles and submarines but in offering assurances that Taiwan was not planning to declare independence, Mr Wang said.
Remind you of anyone else?
Concepts of Nationalism, Unity, and the Arab Nation
Federal Research Division
Library of Congress
Country Studies/Area Handbook Program
U.S. Department of Army
At a broader level, Baath Party ideology reflects the viewpoint of many Syrian citizens in championing pan-Arab nationalism and proposing unification of all Arab countries into one Arab nation stretching from the Atlantic Ocean to the Arabian Sea, transcending what are regarded as arbitrary and artificial borders drawn by Ottoman or European colonial rulers. However, this vision of Arab unity has not been limited to Baathists. Arab unity was the clarion call of most Arab nationalists during the struggles against European colonialism after World War I. Baathist ideology differs from this older sentiment in making socialism an integral element of pan-Arab nationalism.

Although most Syrians support pan-Arabism, some view it negatively. In many respects, the notion of pan-Arab nationalism contradicts Syrian nationalism because Syria would be subsumed in the larger entity and its identity subordinated to that of the new superstate. Aware of this paradox, Syrian officials reserve for Syria a special place in their utopian ideal as the "beating heart" of the Arab nation. However, Syrian religious minorities fear that extreme pan-Arab nationalism would entail Islamic fundamentalism because Islam is an important common denominator of many Arabs and a potential vehicle for uniting the Arab countries. Therefore, religious minorities, particularly Christians, have stridently resisted proposed unification with other Arab nations, while at the same time supporting the notion of a Greater Syria, which includes Lebanon and other areas with a large Christian population. Some minorities oppose unification; for example, Kurds and Assyrians in northeastern Syria have vivid memories of persecution in Iraq, from which they sought refuge in Syria, and naturally oppose being brought again under Iraqi jurisdiction.

Because using Islam as the defining criterion of Arabism is prejudicial to minorities, Syrians have instead emphasized the common cultural heritage of all Arabs. Specifically, the Arabic language is perceived as the root of Arab nationalism. Additionally, the nearly universal antipathy toward Zionism is another factor around which Arabs can rally, regardless of their ethnicity or religion.
NOT A PING LIST, merely posted to: AM2000; Arkinsaw; BenLurkin; Dallas59; Fee; Fishing-guy; Iscool; iamright; international american; Joee; joesnuffy; Lael; Lester Moore; No_Doll_i; neutrino; PersonalLiberties; Robert_Paulson2; Sola Veritas; snowsislander; Tax Government; tbpiper; techwench; vpintheak; wagglebee; wku man

25 posted on 07/31/2004 5:58:00 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
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To: SunkenCiv
Thanks for the unPing, SunkenCiv.

It sounds very much like the Baath party example you offer. It also has distinct similarities to the Japanese nationalism (and expansionism) of the late 1930's up until 1941.

There are two nasty little problems. First, China is now the center of manufacturing for the world - and, should they decide to wage war, they would have a notable advantage over the rest of us. We would have trouble even finding clothing or shoes for our troops if we were in a conflict with them.

The second problem - which connects with the previous thread on oil - is that if their economy stagnates for whatever reason (say, high energy prices or a global recession) the populace might become restive. And they wouldn't be the first country to choose war as a diversion for an unhappy population.

26 posted on 07/31/2004 6:45:21 PM PDT by neutrino (Lord, what fools these mortals be! (William Shakespeare, Midsummer Nights Dream))
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To: wagglebee
Some foreign policy pundits might argue that this situation alone justifies re-electing Bush.

The idea of Kerry and his Dimwit crew in charge of such a crisis, as it seems very likely in 3-4 years, does make me nervous.

The Berglar? Allbright? Yeow!!!
27 posted on 07/31/2004 6:52:43 PM PDT by George W. Bush (It's the Congress, stupid.)
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To: Dallas59
We would do nothing. The risks are too great. I'm afraid Taiwan is on her own.

We had a massive show of military force and wargames in the immediate vicinity recently.

US Navy Sticks It To China
The U.S. Navy will conduct a major “surge” exercise (Summer Pulse 04) off the China coast later this Summer. Seven carrier task forces (or “strike groups”) will rendezvous near Taiwan and conduct joint exercises with the Taiwanese navy. This is part of the new American Fleet Response Plan (FRP). The new plan keeps strike groups in port more, making it possible to concentrate more of them at a major trouble spot in a hurry. The FRP calls for sending six 'forward deployed' (already at sea) or 'ready to surge' (in port) carrier task forces to a trouble spot within 30 days.

...
We had some threads about this here at FR. This is Bush's message to the Chinese, crafted along the lines of Rumsfeld's new military deployment strategies.
28 posted on 07/31/2004 7:03:02 PM PDT by George W. Bush (It's the Congress, stupid.)
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To: SunkenCiv

I think we have a mandate to put a base on Taiwan.


29 posted on 07/31/2004 7:05:13 PM PDT by Tax Government
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To: wagglebee
Sure. The ChiComs are going to get a "mandate" from the justly derived powers of their legislative branch, whose power is justly derived from the consent of 150% of the freely voting public.

D-Day x 10. Chicoms lose.

30 posted on 07/31/2004 7:10:35 PM PDT by kcar (www.TheUNsucks.com)
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To: wagglebee

Something must be done immediately to diffuse this dangerous situation. We MUST protect the free flow of $49 VCR's!


31 posted on 07/31/2004 7:17:08 PM PDT by reagan_fanatic (No animals have been hurt in the making of this tag line)
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To: wagglebee
North Korea is communist anyways, at least we know how to deal with the Chicoms. We do?
32 posted on 07/31/2004 7:18:41 PM PDT by Kudsman
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To: Robert_Paulson2

Bingo. Bingo has been called. We have a winner.


33 posted on 07/31/2004 7:20:42 PM PDT by Kudsman
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To: Fee

The differences in your comparisons is one was/is a government of elected representatives the others were not.


34 posted on 07/31/2004 7:25:18 PM PDT by Kudsman
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To: neutrino
Thanks for the reply.
First, China is now the center of manufacturing for the world - and, should they decide to wage war, they would have a notable advantage over the rest of us. We would have trouble even finding clothing or shoes for our troops if we were in a conflict with them.
Luckily, a conflict with China won't last long. I say "won't" rather than the subjunctive mood "would" because I'm convinced that it is a matter of time.
The second problem - which connects with the previous thread on oil - is that if their economy stagnates for whatever reason (say, high energy prices or a global recession) the populace might become restive. And they wouldn't be the first country to choose war as a diversion for an unhappy population.
I quite agree. China's stupid ZPG policy (which is actually a population decline policy) has resulted in a surplus of around 40 million men and boys. That's one reason (besides policy differences) that I think a war with China (started by China) is only a matter of time. As Mao said, "I believe it is characteristic of the situation today that the East Wind is prevailing over the West Wind." That kind of hubris (from 1957, not long after the Chinese fed American guns to the tune of 100s of 1000s in Korea) is still there.

Even if China doesn't use that population to wage an enormous invasion of someone -- say, Taiwan (and boy, what a coincidence that they China just happens to have such a surplus) -- the future of China is very bleak. Besides TB which is epidemic, 50 years or so from now there will be a huge burden of older folks, many of them old men with no children or other descendents. China will have to bring in guest workers by the millions just to have enough caregivers.

35 posted on 07/31/2004 8:09:49 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
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To: Tax Government
:') Yeah, probably, but I think the Taiwanese can defend themselves with just a little help. Here's a blast from the past, 1959:
Second Taiwan Strait Crisis: Quemoy and Matsu Islands
American naval aircraft also helped the Nationalist air force establish control of the region’s airspace. Nationalist pilots flying American-made fighters defeated their Communist opponents in a series of air battles that cast doubt on the quality of Communist’s pilots and aircraft.

36 posted on 07/31/2004 8:19:40 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
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To: Robert_Paulson2; Dallas59; Grampa Dave
China actually intends to attack as soon as they think WE will blink. We won't. Bush had them pegged as the center of the AXIS of evil. Draw a line from baghdad, to tehran, to North Korea's capital... and guess who sits in the center?

In addition to the info on our 7-carrier wargames with Taiwan, I thought it was interesting who is holding wargames and doing planning to ally with the Chinese in a wartime situation, undoubtedly against America and Taiwan.

Yep.

THE FRENCH!
[Newsmax: France-China Stage Joint Navy Games]

The Frogs want to kill our Navy boys.
37 posted on 07/31/2004 8:55:17 PM PDT by George W. Bush (It's the Congress, stupid.)
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To: wagglebee

Don't they need UN authorization or something? ;)


38 posted on 07/31/2004 9:12:10 PM PDT by thoughtomator (John Kerry reporting for duty - making sure that nobody interferes with Hillary's run in 2008)
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To: Fee
Why do you always post pure Chinese Communist propaganda.

Do you work for the ChiComs?

Are you just a sympathizer?

39 posted on 07/31/2004 9:49:10 PM PDT by tallhappy (Juntos Podemos!)
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To: George W. Bush

Well...
Perhaps some our marines would like to fry some froglegs too.

to be honest George...
you don't need to feed my "despise quotient" for the french.

I find it difficult to not wish upon them, the just deserts of housing and supporting al queada against us.

Makes me want to say "Damn them, and damn the horse they rode in on.
We should have NEVER returned france to the french... but instead insisted that MONTY govern the area as a british protectorate until the pussie who run that nation, could be rooted out, root, and branch.


40 posted on 07/31/2004 10:09:22 PM PDT by Robert_Paulson2 (the madridification of our election is now officially underway.)
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