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Sunspots reaching 1,000-year high
BBC News ^

Posted on 07/06/2004 3:40:43 PM PDT by Happy2BMe

A new analysis shows that the Sun is more active now than it has been at anytime in the previous 1,000 years.

Scientists based at the Institute for Astronomy in Zurich used ice cores from Greenland to construct a picture of our star's activity in the past.

They say that over the last century the number of sunspots rose at the same time that the Earth's climate became steadily warmer.

This trend is being amplified by gases from fossil fuel burning, they argue.

'Little Ice Age'

Sunspots have been monitored on the Sun since 1610, shortly after the invention of the telescope. They provide the longest-running direct measurement of our star's activity.

The variation in sunspot numbers has revealed the Sun's 11-year cycle of activity as well as other, longer-term changes.

In particular, it has been noted that between about 1645 and 1715, few sunspots were seen on the Sun's surface.

This period is called the Maunder Minimum after the English astronomer who studied it.

Ice core disc, Epica
Ice cores record climate trends back beyond human measurements
It coincided with a spell of prolonged cold weather often referred to as the "Little Ice Age". Solar scientists strongly suspect there is a link between the two events - but the exact mechanism remains elusive.

Over the past few thousand years there is evidence of earlier Maunder-like coolings in the Earth's climate - indicated by tree-ring measurements that show slow growth due to prolonged cold.

In an attempt to determine what happened to sunspots during these other cold periods, Dr Sami Solanki and colleagues have looked at concentrations of a form, or isotope, of beryllium in ice cores from Greenland.

The isotope is created by cosmic rays - high-energy particles from the depths of the galaxy.

The flux of cosmic rays reaching the Earth's surface is modulated by the strength of the solar wind, the charged particles that stream away from the Sun's surface.

And since the strength of the solar wind varies over the sunspot cycle, the amount of beryllium in the ice at a time in the past can therefore be used to infer the state of the Sun and, roughly, the number of sunspots.

Latest warming

Dr Solanki is presenting a paper on the reconstruction of past solar activity - entitled Cool Stars, Stellar Systems And The Sun - at a conference in Hamburg, Germany.

He says that the reconstruction shows the Maunder Minimum and the other minima that are known in the past thousand years.

But the most striking feature, he says, is that looking at the past 1,150 years the Sun has never been as active as it has been during the past 60 years.

Over the past few hundred years, there has been a steady increase in the numbers of sunspots, a trend that has accelerated in the past century, just at the time when the Earth has been getting warmer.

The data suggests that changing solar activity is influencing in some way the global climate causing the world to get warmer.

Over the past 20 years, however, the number of sunspots has remained roughly constant, yet the average temperature of the Earth has continued to increase.

This is put down to a human-produced greenhouse effect caused by the combustion of fossil fuels.

This latest analysis shows that the Sun has had a considerable influence on the global climate in the past, causing the Earth to warm or chill, and that mankind is amplifying the Sun's latest attempt to warm the Earth.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; heat; hot; recordtemperatures; summer; sunspots; temperatures
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To: TonyInOhio

Dang it, beat me to it.

President Bush also spends his free time turning out 5 legged frogs and Vice President Cheney tattoes Haliburton on their backs (it is true! Michael Moore said so).


41 posted on 07/06/2004 4:42:02 PM PDT by TexasTransplant ("You know, I think the best possible social program is a job" Ronald W. Reagan)
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To: ActionNewsBill
Then why has it been highs in the freaking 50s here in freaking Michigan in freaking JULY?

No kidding. Here in Wisconsin we topped out at 64, before dropping down back 61 by around 4:00 this afternoon. The rainiest spring I can remember, followed by the coolest June, with July on track for more of the same.

42 posted on 07/06/2004 4:43:55 PM PDT by malakhi
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To: al baby

Is that Midway Island?


43 posted on 07/06/2004 4:43:56 PM PDT by TexasTransplant ("You know, I think the best possible social program is a job" Ronald W. Reagan)
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To: Happy2BMe

Cool, time to crank out the old shortwave radio.


44 posted on 07/06/2004 4:50:24 PM PDT by dfwgator (It's sad that the news media treats Michael Jackson better than our military.)
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To: Happy2BMe
bump!

45 posted on 07/06/2004 5:08:11 PM PDT by MeekOneGOP (Become a monthly donor on FR. No amount is too small and monthly giving is the way to go !)
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To: TexasTransplant

keiki beach its right out my back door i love it here


46 posted on 07/06/2004 5:14:05 PM PDT by al baby
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To: aimhigh

>So even though they have only been monitoring for 396 >years, they know with absolute certainty that the sun is >now the most active its been in the last 1000 years. Junk >science.

Ok, so did you even bother to read the article? (Obviously not)

Go back and read the article and pay close attention to the part about them testing ice cores with the known data and going back through the past 1000 years or so.


47 posted on 07/06/2004 5:21:55 PM PDT by sandbar
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To: Happy2BMe

HOT HOT HOT!!?? Time to form the Freeper Conga line!


48 posted on 07/06/2004 5:35:32 PM PDT by xp38
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To: Moose4
Sunspot ping. Would've sucked to try to work DX on 20 meters back in 1680, it sounds like... :)

Yeah and you could also forget about Sporadic E on 6 meters back then although with all the cold fronts then, maybe you could have lucked out working tropospheric ducting on 2 meters, 220 Mc, or 440 Mc. B-)

DE KA3WRW
49 posted on 07/06/2004 5:38:56 PM PDT by Nowhere Man ("Laws are the spider webs through which the big bugs fly past and the little ones get caught.")
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To: C210N

"Sunspots reaching 1,000-year high..."

I just want to know who was counting 1000 years ago?


50 posted on 07/06/2004 5:40:53 PM PDT by Hotdog
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To: Happy2BMe
At least the (immediate) giant meteor strikes have been called off until after the elections.

Wasn't that suppose to be sometime this month?

51 posted on 07/06/2004 5:42:35 PM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (Become a monthly donor! Viking Kittens do not live by troll alone.)
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To: Happy2BMe

This could be really 'series' y'know! Me'be even, really, really, series!


52 posted on 07/06/2004 6:37:46 PM PDT by Eighth Square (We've met the enemy - no doubt about that!)
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To: LasVegasMac
"They had better antennas back then....

And better filters for QRM....."


And no BPL.
53 posted on 07/06/2004 8:18:23 PM PDT by Wampus SC
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To: johnb838

Back then, a sunny day was as rare as an eclipse.


54 posted on 07/06/2004 9:09:05 PM PDT by Old Professer (Interests in common are commonly abused.)
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To: ActionNewsBill

Quit leaving your windows open.


55 posted on 07/06/2004 9:10:21 PM PDT by Old Professer (Interests in common are commonly abused.)
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To: Irish_Thatcherite

How do you lighten a fork over there? Here we just bite off a tine or two...


56 posted on 07/06/2004 9:11:48 PM PDT by Old Professer (Interests in common are commonly abused.)
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To: sandbar
Br isotope analysis accounts for inferences not measurements of actual sunspots or warming; the article is obviously biased by agenda.

Whatever, we must deal with what we find.

57 posted on 07/06/2004 9:14:24 PM PDT by Old Professer (Interests in common are commonly abused.)
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To: Happy2BMe
Imagine -- the Sun, *our sole source of heat*, has an impact on the climate. Call 60 minutes. ;') My thanks for posting this.
George W. Bush will be reelected by a margin of at least ten per cent

58 posted on 07/06/2004 11:48:24 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
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To: 1066AD; 1ofmanyfree; ActionNewsBill; AlexW; Always Right; ASOC; aimhigh; al baby; Buggman; ...
The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History 1300-1850 The Little Ice Age:
How Climate Made History 1300-1850

by Brian M. Fagan
Paperback
Floods, Famines, and Emperors: El Nino and the Fate of Civilizations Floods, Famines, and Emperors:
El Nino and the Fate of Civilizations

by Brian M. Fagan
The Long Summer: How Climate Changed Civilization The Long Summer:
How Climate Changed Civilization

by Brian M. Fagan
William the Conqueror's Global Warming
by Steven J. Milloy
Lloyd Keigwin, a researcher from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution... concluded that although sea surface temperature (SST) in the northern Saragasso Sea is now about 1 degree centigrade warmer than 400 years ago during the Little Ice Age, it is about 1 degree cooler than about 1,000 years ago during the Medieval Warm Period. Keigwin's conclusions are based on his study of sediment accumulation in the Saragasso Sea... Eleventh century society burned no gasoline. There were no electric power plants to burn coal. No chemical plants emitted volatile organic compounds (VOCs). Airplanes, reputed to emit as much of the greenhouse gases as the eighth most polluting nation, were still 900 years away from being invented.
posted to: 1066AD; 1ofmanyfree; ActionNewsBill; AlexW; Always Right; ASOC; aimhigh; al baby; Buggman; backhoe; C210N; C210N; Caipirabob; Calamari; Camel Joe; CharlotteVRWC; ConservativeByChoice; cibersnot; cyborg; Dave S; Denver Ditdat; devolve; dfwgator; Eighth Square; GWTexan; Happy2BMe; Harmless Teddy Bear; Hotdog; Irish_Thatcherite; johnb838; LasVegasMac; MainFrame65; Marie Antoinette; MeekOneGOP; Moose4; Mr. Mojo; My2Cents; malakhi; mpreston; Nowhere Man; NRA2BFree; Old Professer; PhilDragoo; potlatch; RightWhale; randog; rickmichaels; sandbar; Tacis; TexasTransplant; TonyInOhio; VeniVidiVici; Wampus SC; xm177e2; xp38
59 posted on 07/06/2004 11:57:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
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To: mpreston
Sign Kyoto Treaty NOW! before it is too late!!!.

(If you don't think that is sarcasm, log on to DU immediately)
60 posted on 07/07/2004 12:03:53 AM PDT by TexasTransplant ("You know, I think the best possible social program is a job" Ronald W. Reagan)
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