We're right in the box. Good work last night, Dusty. A few people up here in North Central Illinois not looking forward to this day.
A_R
Posted on 05/30/2004 8:06:06 AM PDT by dusty99999
Looks like a repeat of yesterday(91 tornadoes) expect over more populated areas...if anything..there is even more wind shear today then yesterday...High risk out with large-long track tornadoes likley
where?
Over all those states? Good grief!
over a large area...this may start soon too..within 2 hours..looks like several clusters of tornadic supercells will form even in front of the main cold fornt now over Westren MO..
This is going to make my planned cookout somewhat difficult.
We're right in the box. Good work last night, Dusty. A few people up here in North Central Illinois not looking forward to this day.
A_R
Stay safe- I grew up just between Chicago and Indy... "mid-north Indiana"... I know it can get rough
A_R
ABC news radio reporting tornado with multiple fatalities in Missouri.
those storm have laid down an outflow boundry over IL and MO...winds north of there are backed ESE...this will enhance shear..saving factor may be if storms form into a line quickly...however supercells will likely form ahead of the main line
We are in the middle of the red blob Fox News just showed. We are just SW of St. Louis over the county line. If the house starts spinning and I see Nancy Pelosi flying by on a broom cackling I'll be sure and try to land on her.
When will these tornados stop?
Good grief, you guys are never going to get summer this year.
"We are just SW of St. Louis over the county line."
Hi there. I'm in mid-County. Stay safe. I love the bit about Pelosi on her broom.
"When will these tornados stop?"
When John Kerry is elected president. Just ask him.
A_R
Supposed to hit 65 today. I'll take it but can't wait until we get some 70s and 80s for a change. I've only worn my shorts twice this year.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0988
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0940 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK THROUGH MUCH OF MO/SE IA/W CNTRL IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 301440Z - 301715Z
SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE BY/SHORTLY AFTER 18Z. ONE OR MORE
TORNADO WATCHES LIKELY WILL BE NEEDED WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. ISOLATED SUPERCELL THREAT MAY TRANSITION RAPIDLY TO
EVOLUTION OF SQUALL LINE...BUT THREAT OF ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES
EXISTS.
LARGER SCALE UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS BEGINNING TO MIGRATE EASTWARD OUT
OF THE HIGH PLAINS...AND IS TAKING ON INCREASING NEGATIVE TILT.
LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC MOISTENING/LIFT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
EVIDENT IN LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD
FRONT...ROUGHLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM WEST SOUTHWEST OF MCALESTER OK
INTO AREAS WEST OF KIRKSVILLE MO. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FOCUS
FOR INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WEAKENS
BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT IS VERY MOIST AND MODERATE TO STRONGLY
UNSTABLE...WITH MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE ALREADY IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG
. FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS LIKELY WITH LITTLE TO IMPEDE SURFACE
HEATING. WARM SECTOR SHEAR PROFILES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AS BELT OF STRONGER MID/UPPER FLOW
OVERSPREADS THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY NEXT FEW HOURS.
WHILE LINEAR FORCING MAY SUPPORT QUICK EVOLUTION OF SEVERE SQUALL
LINE...TORNADOES WILL BE A THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN
LINE...AS WELL AS WITH ANY SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING NEAR/JUST AHEAD OF
LINE. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/COLD FRONT INTERSECTION...NOW JUST EAST OF
KANSAS CITY MO...MAY POSE MOST SIGNIFICANT INITIAL THREAT FOR
TORNADIC SUPERCELL FORMATION. STRONGER 2 HOUR PRESSURE FALLS HAVE
BECOME EVIDENT NEAR THIS WAVE...WHICH MAY SUPPORT INITIATION BY/
SHORTLY AFTER 18Z SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF CHILLICOTHE MO INTO AREAS
SOUTHWEST OF KIRKSVILLE.
..KERR.. 05/30/2004
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