Posted on 05/30/2004 5:46:39 AM PDT by areafiftyone
Horse-race polls based on national samples continue to show the presidential election a tossup. But the first attempt to systematically poll the battleground states -- the ones that hold the key to the outcome -- suggests that if the election were held now, Sen. John Kerry would win a crushing Electoral College victory.
Pollster John Zogby has launched a project to follow 16 battleground states -- eight that Bush carried in 2000 and eight that were carried by Democrat Al Gore. The first sounding, taken May 18-23 and published in the Online Wall Street Journal last week, had Kerry ahead in 12 of the 16 states, including the four biggest. If Kerry were to win all of the states in which Zogby found him to be leading, he would win the electoral vote by 320-218.
(Excerpt) Read more at startribune.com ...
How did this happen? This does not seem right!
It's ZOGBY...that's how:-(
Pollster John Zogby is ethnic Arab. He doens't love Dubya.
This is the "Red Star" in Minneapolis. Anything they can find "for" Kerry is what they're all about. It's WAY too early in the game to be getting skittish, there are 5 more months for 1) Kerry to screw up 2) Iraq to get better or worse 3) OBL to be captured 4) Kerry to screw up (although the press will bury it)
Impossible to tell. Zogby's got Kerry up in Ohio, for example, while a Mason-Dixon poll of Ohio released yesterday has Bush with a significant lead (47-41, I think).
A 'crushing victory'? Surely Zogby is trying to influence weak minds with that one.
Agreed. I would not put much stock in this poll. The President's numbers will start to rise after we pull out of Iraq on July 1 (or at least begin the drawdown), the economy improves, and Kerry gets more negative press.
Don't forget to vote.....
• Zogby's poll was conducted online (although it wasn't the kind where anyone could participate. The respondents were selected to reflect the larger electorate). Still, online polling does not have the same acceptance among poll professionals as more tested methods.
Some morons are trying to predict a future which will be based, for the most part, on events that haven't happened yet, that's how.
We have Presidential elections every four years.
the next one is November 2, 2004.
What people think they might do in November, in the end of May, is meaningless nonsense.
Rove warned that Bush would be behind through the summer.
The following will happen before the election:
-Transitional government in Iraq
-Mimalization of Sadar and his militia
-Preparation for Iraqi elections
-Trial of Saddam
-Dispersal of Iraqi Reconstruction funds
-Release of WMD report
-Continued US job growth
Be concerned, but don’t panic.
I couldn't post the entire article. Not allowed. :-)
Good list. And good advice.
And I hope he keeps at it- stories like these will lull the rat voter into complacency. No need to 'get out the vote' (bribing and bussing homless, raising the dead, etc...) if Kerry is assured a 'crushing victory'.
Similarly, this serves to rile up the Bush vote.
Go Zog-baby go.
redrock
It wouldn't surprise me if there are now enough mental midgets in this country to hand over sovereignty to the UN.
If Kerry is elected, weeks after wards you'll see CNN air programs on what the rats are going to do about the United State's "Patriot Problem".
Another poll, taken five months before the election, and based, at best, on anecdotal evidence, among a small sample of voters, and by a biased pollster.
Naw, don't see anything that could skew the results here.
They're still living in the Wellstone World.
that depends on how Zogby phrases the poll questions
the economy improves,
good luck with Alan Greenspan reappointed
and Kerry gets more negative press
that is the easiest part as Kerry's life is open to satire. "Don't cry for me, little pickles...."
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