Posted on 05/29/2004 11:22:56 AM PDT by dusty99999
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
VALID 291653Z - 300100Z
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
WESTERN IOWA CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS NORTHWEST MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA OKLAHOMA
THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS FROM THE CANADIAN BORDER OF EASTERN ND AND MN SWD THRU MUCH OF CENTRAL TX.
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER A LARGE PART OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS OVER THE AREA.
AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT WILL DRAW INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. A VIGOROUS JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN WINDS IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WITH VERY STRONG SURFACE HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...VARIOUS SURFACE FEATURES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR RAPID SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF NEBRASKA...IOWA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN KANSAS. OTHER STORMS MAY FORM A LITTLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTHWARD THROUGH OKLAHOMA INTO PARTS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS.
THE COMBINATION OF THE VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES WILL RESULT IN SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT STORMS THAT QUICKLY DEVELOP THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. A STRONG POSSIBLY FOR LONG TRACK TORNADOES WILL EXIST IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.
THE SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WELL AFTER DARK AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS REMAINING PORTIONS OF IOWA...MISSOURI AND OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION...MORE ISOLATED BUT STILL POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS ADJACENT TO THE HIGH RISK AREA FROM SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA SOUTH TO THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN MARSHALL AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...
AT 832 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO ONE MILE SOUTH OF NARKA HEADED NORTHEAST TOWARD MAHASKA IN NORTHWEST WASHINGTON COUNTY.
Channel 41 meteorologist thinks the storm is splitting...so part of it will go to st joe and the other part (the part that stalled) is going east. Have you had any confirmations on other channels of that theory?
I keep seeing my mother's hometown--still filled with aunts/uncles/cousins--in the center of all of this. :(
Phillips, Nebraska. It's "been there" before.
At least, with our earthquakes, nobody has to fly through the air!
AT 834 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKARCHE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT PIEDMONT. PERSONS IN PIEDMONT SHOULD MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE NOW!
see ya when you get back alfa.....glad you remember! It was so cool to meet some of the freepers that day. :) Stay safe!
overall tornado threat decreasing over NE as storms now forming a large cluster..still not over though...3 supercells to watch NE of Kansas city. South of Wichita and NW of OKC
I hope not, my best friend lives in OKC, there were 86 tornado's that terrible night. I drove up to see her a month after and the devastation looked like a nuke had taken out a half mile wide swatch right across the freeway. The very ground was scraped clean two or three inches deep in places.
When you get the time, will you look in your system directory and tell me the size of your msimg32.dll file? I suspect that some app mistakenly replaced your win98 original with a version intended for NT. The win98 version is 53K and the NT version is only 6K.
Thanks
AT 842 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATHROP...OR ABOUT 28 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST JOSEPH...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. TRANSFORMER EXPLOSIONS WERE REPORTED WITH THIS TORNADO NEAR PLATTSBURG
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0983
0845 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
Areas affected, Eastern Nebraska South western IA North western Missouri Northeastern Kansas
Concerning, TORNADO WATCH 326
VALID 300145 Zulu to 300245 Zulu
TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR TO REPLACE
TORNADO WATCHES 323 AND 326
STRENGTHENING Low Level Jet INTO Northeastern Kansas WILL MAINTAIN TORNADIC CLUSTERS WELL
INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION NEW DEVELOPMENT MAY
OCCUR ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT AS IT PROGRESSES Eastward INTO
INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN
THE NEXT HOUR TO REPLACE PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCHES 323 AND 326.
DARROW 05 30 2004
That's exactly what has happen... mine is only 6K.
* AT 848 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO 3 MILES WEST OF PIEDMONT OR 19 MILES WEST OF EDMOND...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF THE KILPATRICK TURNPIKE. TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EDMOND AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA CITY
* TORNADO WARNING FOR... SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT * AT 853 PM CDT...A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF WELLINGTON...OR NEARCONWAY SPRINGS. RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADIC STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
AT 847 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TURNEY...OR ABOUT 29 MILES EAST OF ST JOSEPH...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. ANOTHER DEVELOPING TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PERRIN.
The Robinson's are on the road out there on the way to Columbia, Missouri.
Operation Infinite Freep: Colorado Support Our Troops with the Robinsons 5/29/04
Many of the severe thunderstorm warnings for central Nebraska are indicating 80-100 MPH winds possible. The warnings are including recommendations to sound sirens for these winds. Also, the cold front is starting to light up in Kansas.
I'm glad to see that we're not on that list for once.
That's a beauty! Of course, I'm 1000 miles away.
I'm switching over to KTLX now with my app. Are you using StormLab?
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