0103 UTC
IR image - 0103 UTC
Notice the stange feature - the lightness - arcing into in the NW corner of Kansas and downward in Colorado - a low cloud deck or cooler 'outflow'?
Posted on 05/29/2004 11:22:56 AM PDT by dusty99999
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
VALID 291653Z - 300100Z
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG...LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
WESTERN IOWA CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS NORTHWEST MISSOURI CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA OKLAHOMA
THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS FROM THE CANADIAN BORDER OF EASTERN ND AND MN SWD THRU MUCH OF CENTRAL TX.
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER A LARGE PART OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM DEEPENS OVER THE AREA.
AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY NE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT WILL DRAW INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. A VIGOROUS JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL STRENGTHEN WINDS IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WITH VERY STRONG SURFACE HEATING THIS AFTERNOON...VARIOUS SURFACE FEATURES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR RAPID SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF NEBRASKA...IOWA...EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN KANSAS. OTHER STORMS MAY FORM A LITTLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTHWARD THROUGH OKLAHOMA INTO PARTS OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN TEXAS.
THE COMBINATION OF THE VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES WILL RESULT IN SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT STORMS THAT QUICKLY DEVELOP THE POTENTIAL FOR BOTH TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. A STRONG POSSIBLY FOR LONG TRACK TORNADOES WILL EXIST IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.
THE SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WELL AFTER DARK AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS REMAINING PORTIONS OF IOWA...MISSOURI AND OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION...MORE ISOLATED BUT STILL POTENTIALLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS ADJACENT TO THE HIGH RISK AREA FROM SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA SOUTH TO THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
...TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR CANADIAN COUNTY... AT 810 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF CALUMET...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CALUMET...CONCHO...OKARCHE AND PIEDMONT
Mike, I'm having a problem running your program.
I get an error message when I try to start it... it says:
"A device attached to the system is not functioning"
Then when I click on okay I get:
"The MSIMG32.DLL file is linked to missing export GDI32.DLL:GdiGradientFill"
* TORNADO WARNING FOR... PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA * UNTIL 900 PM CDT
* AT 810 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF SUMMERFIELD...OR ABOUT 24 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEATRICE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
Check out the hook on the storm north of Vance AFB (its in southern KS). Really pronounced with a large, strong rotation at all tilts. Gotta be a tornado on the ground. WSR88 computer tags this as a TVS.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA * UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 810 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTERS NEAR FORT MCPHERESON...NEARLY STATIONARY.
Hmmm, what version of Windows are you running. The GradientFill API is supposed to be in Win98 and above. You also need DirectX 8.1.
Note that grw88level2 only works with archived Level II data, not the real time Level III data like StormLab. It won't be of use in the current outbreak.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR... CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA * UNTIL 900 PM CDT
* AT 815 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO NEAR CONCHO APPROACHING THE NORTHERN PARTS OF EL RENO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
THIS IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TORNADO THAT IS FREQUENTLY HIDDEN BY RAIN
are you saying over 40 tornados have been spotted, or are on the ground? when was the last time THAT happened? talk about being freaked out.....it WAS you who predicted something very wild about 200 comments ago, wasnt it? man, praying for all of you....
I'm running Windows 98 and I have DirectX 9.0b
0103 UTC
IR image - 0103 UTC
Notice the stange feature - the lightness - arcing into in the NW corner of Kansas and downward in Colorado - a low cloud deck or cooler 'outflow'?
so far 40 reports of tornadoes on the ground...as of 1/2 hour ago..large tornado appraching El reno OK population 16,000
A LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND! MOVE INTO YOUR TORNADO SHELTER NOW!
thank you....so we will have to wait to see how many there actually were. what do you think the actual number is/will be? and what is the "record"? hope you dont mind my asking....still praying
record is 148 in the superoutbreak in 1973...last sat there were 86 in the same areas
Oh yeah ... the width of the precip overall is a little narrower but there is clearly an appendage and a steep gradient in reflectivity (the radar return) just south and east of that heavy precip core ...
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR CONWAY SPRINGS AROUND 845 PM CDT...
A LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO THAT IS FREQUENTLY HIDDEN BY RAIN IS ON THE GROUND! MOVE INTO YOUR TORNADO SHELTER NOW!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0982 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0827 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL/SERN KS...NCNTRL/CNTRL OK CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 322... VALID 300127Z - 300230Z ...TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN KS/NERN OK... ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WW. THE NRN MOST TORNADIC STORM IS LOCATED OVER SUMNER COUNTY KS...THE OTHER APPROACHING THE NWRN PORTIONS OF THE OKC METRO AREA. THESE STORMS INITIATED OFF THE DRY LINE AND HAVE YET TO WEAKEN AS THEY APPROACH THE I-35 CORRIDOR. ALTHOUGH THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM OUN INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT CAP...IT APPEARS THE STRENGTHENING LLJ AND STORM SCALE PROCESSES MAY ALLOW ACTIVITY TO SPREAD INTO SERN KS/NERN OK. TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM. ..DARROW.. 05/30/2004 ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN... 35569826 38419733 38559566 37189563 35289635I have a crude translator (since the NWS SPC uses so many acronyms that a speech engine doesn't recognize) that I run these NDs through when running the MesoTalker - here's a translation:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0982
0827 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
Areas affected, SOUTH CENTRAL South eastern Kansas North central Central Oklahoma
Concerning, TORNADO WATCH 322
VALID 300127 Zulu to 300230 Zulu
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM ACROSS PORTIONS OF South eastern
Kansas Northeastern Oklahoma
ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS CONTINUE ACROSS THE Weather watch. THE Northern MOST
TORNADIC STORM IS LOCATED OVER SUMNER COUNTY Kansas THE OTHER
APPROACHING THE North western PORTIONS OF THE Oklahoma City METRO AREA. THESE STORMS
INITIATED OFF THE DRY LINE AND HAVE YET TO WEAKEN AS THEY APPROACH
THE Interstate 35 CORRIDOR. ALTHOUGH THE 00 Zulu SOUNDING FROM Norman oklahoma INDICATES A
SIGNIFICANT CAP IT APPEARS THE STRENGTHENING Low Level Jet AND STORM SCALE
PROCESSES MAY ALLOW ACTIVITY TO SPREAD INTO South eastern Kansas Northeastern Oklahoma.
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM.
DARROW 05 30 2004
Many thanks - Weather Channel said there was damage there a few minutes ago.
What??
You are kind of close to the action! They are popping up constantly off of 116 highway (east of rushville/platte county)..I think they've had at least 5 - 6 in that area alone and most of not all hit the ground. I grew up in that area, and have family and parents of friends that I grew up with in that area... I think it was channel 4 that showed a few try to form from the ground but they fizzled out. This is unprecendented for our area if I recall correctly. Well, put it this way..since I've been alive. :) We're flipping through all the channels. Channel 5 has been pretty informative. They've got a gal inbetween 2 tornadoes right now.
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