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A BLOWOUT IN THE MAKING
New York Post ^ | 3/24/04 | DICK MORRIS

Posted on 03/23/2004 11:38:07 PM PST by kattracks

Edited on 05/26/2004 5:20:21 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

March 24, 2004 -- THE Bush ads are working: Two weeks ago, the Washington Post poll showed Sen. John Kerry ahead of President Bush by 11 points, and the Gallup Poll had him up by 8, while more recent polls reflect a dead heat between the two. Zogby (March 21) has Kerry up by only 48-46, and Rasmussen (March 20) has it Bush 46, Kerry 45.


(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: ads; bush; dickmorris; gop; gwb2004; landslide
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To: goldstategop
"No one doubts his service to the country three decades ago"

If as he said himself, he shot a dying enemy in the back and shot babies out of mother's arms, then YES I MOST Certainly do doubt his service.
21 posted on 03/24/2004 1:44:10 AM PST by SendShaqtoIraq
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To: avant_garde
You are correct.
Can you imagine the crook in kerrys neck from looking over his shoulder if he were to choose mrs. clintoon?
How many folks now have met their maker for getting in the clintoons way?
22 posted on 03/24/2004 1:45:24 AM PST by Joe Boucher (G.W. Bush in 2004)
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To: KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle
"For him to now effect such a dizzying 360-degree spinabout..."

I think you mean a 180-degree "spinabout."

But I think I understand your meaning anyway.
23 posted on 03/24/2004 1:47:25 AM PST by Poundstone
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To: Poundstone
I think you mean a 180-degree "spinabout."

Pick, pick, pick... :)

24 posted on 03/24/2004 1:49:14 AM PST by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle (I feel more and more like a revolted Charlton Heston, witnessing ape society for the very first time)
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To: kattracks
Democrats are nothing if not expedient (well, actually, that's about all the are). If Kerry looks like a sure loser, the Democrats could end up with a brokered convention. Anything is possible, from Sen. Clinton running for Veep, or even Pres., or Edwards coming back into the mix.

What Kerry needs most is what the Democrats claimed Bush needed in 2000, i.e. someone on the ticket to buttress his credibility. The problem is, who would that Democrat be? Is there any Democrat, any Democrat at all who has national credibility, who might appeal to both independents and a cross section of Republicans, and especially Southern Democrats. The time is ripe for a Sam Nunn type Democrat, but there are no such animals left in their party. They've all been squeezed out by the hard left.

I could see a Sam Nunn type Democrat teaming up with a guy like Sen Cain to present a "credible" challenge. They wouldn't challenge Bush on his 9/11 actions, but focus instead on his lack of "vision" for winning the war, building the economy, stemming outsourcing to protect, or at least help American's adjust, to the global outsourcing trend, and perhaps even run to Bush's right on some economic issues (handling of Soc. Sec., etc.).

Running against Bush head to head on the war is lunacy. Most of the American people know the status quo prior to 9/11, know that the Clintionistas where culpable in some part, even if they can't put their finger on it, and even if they "forgive" Clinton through some exercise in moral relativism (e.g. the argument that no one could have prevented 9/11; everything changed, which of course simultaneously absolves Clinton and minimizes Bush's post 9/11 eadership).

The Democrats could run a race against Bush, primarily because Bush has neglected his base (conservatives, and particularly Christian conservatives, with whom I count myself a member). Bush has compromised conservative principles, I am convinced, because he decided post 9/11 that national unity more than GOP party unity was essential to winning the war. The primary national interest, in Bush's mind is winning the war, and if doing so means giving more federal dollars to liberal causes to quiet the left and middle-left, so be it. He has a war to win.

But the right Democrat could expose this weakness, especially if he proved a credible alternative to Bush. He doesn't have to prove Bush a "culpable dolt", as the narcissistic, egotistical Democrats believe, just that their alternative candidate would prosecute the war with equal vigor to a successful completion.

Kerry will not do that, and cannot credibly change course. His professional life history has been all about "anti-war". He has no way out, and neither do the Democrats who support him.

I'd bet money on a brokered convention, with Clinton & Clinton in the middle of the brokering.

SFS

25 posted on 03/24/2004 2:03:57 AM PST by Steel and Fire and Stone (SFS)
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The fact is that 6 to 9 percent of Americans were voting for the Democrat two weeks ago and now are undecided

I would hope they are undecided between Kerry and a 3rd party. If anyone can't decide between Kerry and Bush then they are way too stupid to vote.

26 posted on 03/24/2004 2:29:49 AM PST by Flyer (Don't abandon our military - Re-elect President Bush!)
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To: kattracks
Remember, it was the gas tax, more than any other issue, that cost the Democrats control of Congress in 1994.

And that's the point where I stopped reading. To make this assumption and disregard the impact of Clintoon's Assault Weapons Ban, as well as Newts' Contract with America, leads me to believe Dickie isn't quite the "political animal" some portray him to be.

27 posted on 03/24/2004 2:38:09 AM PST by bullseye1911 (Not as good as I once was, but as good once as I ever was!)
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To: Steel and Fire and Stone
The Democrats could run a race against Bush, primarily because Bush has neglected his base (conservatives, and particularly Christian conservatives, with whom I count myself a member).

How is signing a ban on partial birth abortion, being against gay marriage, pushing through tax cuts, etc.etc. abandoning his base.

Would have Gore been better to the conservative "base". I really don't get your cry that you have been abandoned.

28 posted on 03/24/2004 2:39:20 AM PST by Dane
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To: kattracks
Kerry only won the nomination because Dean lost it and Edwards was hobbled by Clark so he could not get the momentum he needed to mount a real challenge. With the front-loaded process, decreed by financial-wizard-but-political-amateur Terry McAuliffe, the party is united but saddled with a nominee who can't handle prime time.

I was with him right up until this. Edwards never had a chance and Clark was a puffed up ego that had three layers of tin foil wrapped around his head. Kerry is the "none of the above" choice by the Democrats. That's why his support is so shallow, few people are voting FOR Kerry.

29 posted on 03/24/2004 2:39:29 AM PST by PogySailor (Proud member of the RAM)
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To: kattracks
America is a centrist nation

Yep, we're roadkill all right.


BUMP

30 posted on 03/24/2004 2:41:11 AM PST by tm22721 (May the UN rest in peace)
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To: kattracks; Billie; Molly Pitcher
... Kerry's ridiculous statement that he voted for the $87 billion appropriation for the war effort before he voted against it..

And his aids determine he's too stressed out and has to go skiing to calm down (then he flips out at a SS agent).

Is that Presidential?

No telling where future anger will lead us. That's all we need is a hot head in the oval office.

31 posted on 03/24/2004 2:55:46 AM PST by The Raven
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To: kattracks
Domestically, Bush should come out with a plan to fix federal spending - to contrast the ultra-liberal Kerry spending
32 posted on 03/24/2004 2:58:38 AM PST by The Raven
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To: Poundstone
Yes but remember how Morris was saying Bush was in real danger of losing just a short time ago?

Don't bet your mortgage money or even your lunch money on what Toe Sucker prognosticates.

33 posted on 03/24/2004 3:33:06 AM PST by AmericaUnited
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To: bullseye1911
disregard the impact of Clintoon's Assault Weapons Ban, as well as Newts' Contract with America

Yes but don't forget a HUGE issue in 94 was the people being scared of being forced into Hitlery's Health Care system.

34 posted on 03/24/2004 3:35:38 AM PST by AmericaUnited
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To: avant_garde
John Kerry knows that if he picks "The Beast", who is trying to wiggle her way into the VP slot . . .

AG, I'm begging you - please be careful with your syntax. The image of Hillary "trying to wiggle" is just more than I can handle at this hour of the morning!

35 posted on 03/24/2004 3:45:59 AM PST by governsleastgovernsbest
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To: AmericaUnited
Granted.
36 posted on 03/24/2004 3:51:27 AM PST by bullseye1911 (Not as good as I once was, but as good once as I ever was!)
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To: AmericaUnited
Yes but remember how Morris was saying Bush was in real danger of losing just a short time ago?

Agreed. See my earlier post (#17), for an excellent example of this, scarcely a month old.

37 posted on 03/24/2004 3:55:13 AM PST by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle (I feel more and more like a revolted Charlton Heston, witnessing ape society for the very first time)
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To: kattracks
This is an excellent article.

I have believed since the beginning of the campaign that this would be a landslide. Of course, the only poll that really counts is in November.

I'm amazed that Morris could write this without using the name Clinton somewhere in the text.

In effect, he did use the name, as Terry McAuliffe is mentioned. He is a Clinton.
38 posted on 03/24/2004 4:08:42 AM PST by Preachin'
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To: AmericaUnited
Yes but remember how Morris was saying Bush was in real danger of losing just a short time ago?

True, but that was before the ads were rolling.

I'm not a paid political advisor, but wisdom dictated a month ago that President Bush keep his money in his pocket until he had a candidate chosen to defeat.

Also, I truly believe that the 9/11 hearings will clear the President of smear and make him look better to the public. It's basically free advertising for him.

39 posted on 03/24/2004 4:11:53 AM PST by Preachin'
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To: kattracks
I still say That kerry will drop out when it gets to less that 60 days before election day. The press release will read that his prostrate cancer flared up.

If hillary is on the ticket, she will step up to the President slot. If she is not on the ticked she will step in to the President slot.

I hope that I am wrong but I know the clinton m.o.
40 posted on 03/24/2004 4:20:01 AM PST by sport
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