[RWR8189]

Gallup Ping

FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.

[KQQL]

Kerry 55% - W 43%
W Approval @ 51%
USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup
MOE-/+3% (Likely voters) 02/16-17/04
---------------------

Kerry 46% - W 45%
W Approval @ ??%
University of Connecticut Poll
MOE-/+2.9% (Reg voters) 02/12-16/04
----------------------

Kerry 48% - W 43%
W Approval @ 50%
CBS Poll
MOE-/+3% (Reg Voters) 02/12-15/04
---------------------------

Kerry 52% - W 43%
W Approval @ 50%
ABC/WP Poll MOE-/+3% (Reg Voters) 02/10-11/04
------------------

W 50% - Kerry 48%
W Approval @ 54%
CNN/TIME Poll MOE-/+4.1% (Reg Voters) 02/05-06/04
-----------------

W 47% - kerry 43%
W Approval @ 53%
Fox News Poll MOE-/+3% (Reg Voters) 02/04-05/04

[Timesink]

Eek. I'm sooooo worried. Not.

[GeronL]

what a joke. last week they were 'tied' and now Bush would lose by double digits.

WHAT a joke

[Eva]

Yes, this has been posted several times today, as well as the Rasmussen poll which has Bush leading Kerry.

[TheErnFormerlyKnownAsBig]

Monkey's are flying out of my ass right now and typing epic poems without even using spell check.

No. Really.

[LdSentinal]

2004 Feb 6-8 (REGISTERED VOTERS)

John Kerry: 49%
George W. Bush: 48%

2004 Feb.6-8 (LIKELY VOTERS)

George W. Bush: 49%
John Kerry: 48%

The difference between registered and likely voters in this poll is a +2 increase for Bush.

2004 Feb 16-17 (REGISTERED VOTERS)

John Kerry: 51%
George W. Bush: 46%

2004 Feb 16-17 (LIKELY VOTERS)

John Kerry: 55%
George W. Bush: 43%

The difference between registered and likely voters in this poll is a +7 increase for Kerry.

Why the differences?

[Swordmaker]

Let's see... what determines a voter to be a member of the set of "likely voters?" They voted in the LAST ELECTION. And exactly what was the last election? Why the Democrat Primaries, of course!

[KellyAdmirer]

I don't think I've ever before seen such a useless and non-predictive group of polls like the ones in this thread.

[joyce11111]

And the Zogby poll is opposite!!!!

[CyberAnt]

"Support stimulated by especially high interest among Democrats"

Rush proved today, this statement is a crock!! The supposed "interest" is being hyped by the media.

As for the polls being in double digits. Since the dems and the media are a bunch of LIARS, WHY THE HELL SHOULD I BELIEVE THEIR STUPID POLL? Any group of people who are so willing to say the President is AWOL or a deserter, and assorted and sundry other unspeakable things, I will never believe their ANTI-WAR PROTESTER candidate is ahead of the President.

[randog]

If the media had spent the last three months shouting "eat poo" instead of "democrats!" half the US population would be sportin' s**t-eatin' grins by now.

[newzjunkey]

I'd like the Media to *ban* primary results so voters aren't tainted by the "momentum" from the nothing states like Iowa and New Hampshire. It's entirely corruptive of the democratic process of each state and purely an affectation of mass media.

Anything to keep them from being the "king makers" they always set themselves up to being.

I can't see with what America has experienced during his term how W could lose. 9/11 was designed to cripple the US economy and it did not. I think W can win points with women if more remember the oppression of the Taliban and he makes the usual noises about "the chil'ren". Kerry isn't going to improve anything. I'm pleased that Iraq is no longer under Sadam's control, WMDs or not. However, Bush *must* demand accountability from the intelligence community. He can't ignore that.

[MagnusMaximus1]

IMHO, and those of other swing voters who will decide who wins this November, Dubya needs to do the following in order to squeak out a win:

1. Dump Cheney - anyone but Cheney will raise Dubya's poll numbers in key swing voter states.
2. Flush the neo-cons (Wolfowitz, Pearle, Rumsfeld? and their snooty yuppie staffers) from the current administration. Let them take the fall for both this Iraq war and the WMD debacles.
3. The entire Bush administration must take a firm and public stance against gay marriage/civil unions and other such unholy alliances.
4. The entire Bush administration must take a firm and public stance supporting expiration of the Clinton Gun Ban (so-called "Assault Weapons Ban"), plus, show tangible support for REPEAL of numerous other gun control laws currently "on the books."
5. Repeal the entire so-called "Patriot Act", or at least eliminate certain major portions thereof. Merely dumping Ashcroft may not be enough.

Otherwise, the Bush Campaign can kiss certain states, especially Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Pennsylvania, goodbye.

[Wright is right!]

Unless the pollsters conduct fifty individual state polls on the race, the results are meaningless. Electoral votes count, not the pipular vote. That's pipular, as in of the pipple.

For those who don't remember, it was Mandela who refered to our citizenry as "The Amurrican Pipple."

Michael

[Dan from Michigan]

Looks like an "outlier" to me.

[oceanview]

results aside, its amazing to what level the national media will go, how polling has become the integral part of how they move to shape the election to achieve their desired outcome.

[Constitution Day]

Indexing to Edwards Watch...