'Junior Tuesday' February 3 Poll Tracking (6 Days to go..)

American Reasearch Group ^ | January 28, 2003 | none given

[cottonseed]

Arizona Primary -Feb. 3 Kerry 24% Clark 21% Edwards 15% Dean 10% Lieberman 7% Margin for error 4 percent (Jan 23-25)

New Mexico-Feb. 3 Dean 18% Clark 16% Lieberman 8% Kerry 8% Kucinich 6% Edwards 4% Margin for error 6 percent (Jan 15)

Oklahoma-Feb. 3 Clark 23% Edwards 18% Kerry 17% Lieberman 10% Dean 8% Margin for error 4 percent (Jan 26)

South Carolina-Feb. 3 Edwards 21% Kerry 17% AL SHARPTON 15% Clark 14% Dean 9% Lieberman 5% Margin for error 4 percent (Jan 26)

Michigan Feb. 3- Kerry 37% Dean 14% Edwards 14% Clark 10% Lieberman 5% Sharpton 3% Margin for error 5 Percent (Jan. 26)

Missouri Feb 3. Kerry 25% Edwards 9% Dean 6% Clark 3% Lieberman 2% Margin for error 4% (Jan 28)

[cottonseed]

National Review magazine probably is right-should we be rooting for Dean now? (drawing more of Kerry's resources from the general campaign)

[dangus]

Looks like Edwards is the main competition!

[Keith]

I will be going to the MO primary next Tuesday and voting for Dean...

[demlosers]

This Dem Primary is sure a mixed bag. I do not see a clear winner. Is Hillary going to be chosen during the Rat convention?

[Huck]

Well, I guess it's pointless, but I am rooting for Lieberman.

[cottonseed]

Edwards must win South Carolina or he said he will quit.

Looks like Dean will have to hang his hat on winning New Mexico because there is no way he will get Michigan.(his camp was hoping for heavy union turnout)

And Clark may pull one out in Oklahoma to give him an added boost

[cottonseed]

Lieberman is a dead man walking. (electorally speaking)

I dont see anything in these numbers that give him hope..

[Huck]

Yeah, I know. At this point I am rooting for Edwards to do well, because I don't want Clark in the top 3. I can't stand that guy.

[JohnnyZ]

Knock out Edwards, THEN root for Dean.

[cottonseed]

Edwards or Clark could pull the upset in Arizona for some badly needed momentum.

Could be a major swing state if Kerry romps in Missouri and Michigan as expected

[cottonseed]

Edwards has got to win somewhere else than South Carolina.

His only shot (with his accent) is Oklahoma..

[sharktrager]

We should have kept quiet about Dean. We are the one's who killed him by making it so damn obvious we wanted him to win the nomination.

[cottonseed]

I think Dean did it to himself by that weird yelling at 4AM in Iowa in front of the college kids.

Just like Al Gore in 2000, that stuff never really gets out of the public mind

[cottonseed]

And look at those Missouri and Michigan numbers.

Very populous states going huge for the frontrunner.

[JohnnyZ]

Edwards has got to win somewhere else than South Carolina.

He MIGHT be able to catapult from South Carolina to the Tennessee/Virginia primaries. I'll be nervous 'til that guy is gonzo. He's Bill Clinton redux, without the zipper problem.

[Republican Red]

Some pundit last night said that it was looking as though the top candidates could each win a primary next week thereby confusing the dems even more.

The longer this primary process goes the better for us because they have to spend money in these primaries. Hopefully the mud will start slinging again too, hopefully real soon.

I think this was predicted:

Clark wins Oklahoma
Lieberman wins Delaware
Edwards wins South Carolina
Dean wins New Mexico
Kerry wins Missouri

[.cnI redruM]

As easy as Dean would be for Bush to eviscerate, I can't bring myself to supporting someone with Howard Dean's values and positions. I'd rather see Kerry, Lieberman or Edwards. They would fight harder against Bush, but if they won, it would not be as evil as either a Clark or a Dean 'Presidency'.

[hchutch]

Dean has been working the superdelegates hard, IIRC. He just has to keep pace with Kerry and he could still win this thing.

If he can close up in Michigan and Missouri, it then goes to Super Tuesday.