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To: Momaw Nadon
Delaware 42.5
Maine 46.0
Michigan 56.0
Minnesota 56.0
Oregon 58.0
Washington 48.0

This indicates that only 6 states are really in play...

5 posted on 01/26/2004 8:55:29 AM PST by Onelifetogive
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To: Onelifetogive
Bush has a 70% chance of winning Florida? I wish I could believe that, I really do, but I just don't. I think he will win it, but to say it's 70% likely strikes me as irrational exuberance.
8 posted on 01/26/2004 9:08:53 AM PST by jpl
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To: Onelifetogive
From what I hear, Ohio is in play, and on here they have it 78% for Bush. I wouldnt read a whole lot into this.
9 posted on 01/26/2004 9:10:38 AM PST by Husker24
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To: Onelifetogive
This indicates that only 6 states are really in play...

Even if President Bush loses in all of these 6 states, he still wins the election with 321 Electoral Votes.

10 posted on 01/26/2004 9:12:59 AM PST by Momaw Nadon (Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
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To: Onelifetogive
I think Bush will win Minn. and Or. I think the others are going to be tough.
12 posted on 01/26/2004 9:15:35 AM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrack of news.)
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To: Onelifetogive; Momaw Nadon
Around 2 weeks ago the Tribune showed that Bush had a 52% (or so) favorable rating in IL. Why is it not in play then?
21 posted on 01/26/2004 9:48:41 AM PST by RedWing9 (No tag here... Just want to stay vague...)
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To: Onelifetogive
Remember that this is not polling data. This is according to a gambling market. This is just what gamblers believe. I think the number is way too high for Ohio, for example.
36 posted on 01/26/2004 11:41:48 AM PST by AmishDude
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