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NY Poll: Schumer strong for gov nomination; Clinton could face tough time
AP Wire (direct feed) | January 14, 2004 | Marc Humbert

Posted on 01/14/2004 10:00:01 AM PST by NYer

ALBANY, N.Y. (AP) _ Sen. Charles Schumer has a big lead over state Attorney General Eliot Spitzer for the 2006 Democratic nomination for governor while Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton could face a tough battle for re-election that year, a statewide poll reported Wednesday. Despite the encouraging numbers, a spokesman for Schumer said running for governor is ``not on his radar screen.''

The poll, from Marist College's Institute for Public Opinion, found former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leading Clinton, 50 percent to 46 percent, in a hypothetical Senate matchup. The former first lady and Gov. George Pataki were tied at 46 percent each in another hypothetical matchup. Republicans Pataki and Giuliani, who quit the Senate race against Clinton in 2000 after he was diagnosed with prostate cancer, are considered potential challengers to her expected bid for a second term in 2006.

Republicans have placed a high priority on beating Clinton in 2006 as a way of stopping a possible White House run by her in 2008. She is considered a potential contender for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination should President Bush be re-elected this year. Clinton's approval rating hit 55 percent in the Marist poll, the highest since she was elected and the first time she broke the 50-percent barrier in the poll.

On the gubernatorial front, Spitzer has long been viewed as the favorite of Democratic Party elders for the 2006 nomination for governor. He has gained national attention with his high-profile probe into financial scandals at major Wall Street investment houses and big mutual funds. But the Marist poll had Schumer, who is running for a second term this year, leading Spitzer 54 percent to 29 percent among Democratic voters surveyed. While Spitzer is already raising money for a potential run for governor, Schumer has said he is focused on re-election. ``These numbers reflect that he is totally focused on being a good senator,'' said Schumer spokesman Phil Singer. ``Governor is not on his radar screen.

Should Giuliani decide to run for governor in 2006 instead of the Senate, Schumer or Spitzer would have a tough time against him, according to the Marist poll. The former mayor, whose popularity soared in the wake of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks that brought down the World Trade Center towers, leads Schumer, 52 percent to 35 percent, and tops Spitzer, 53 percent to 32 percent.

Should Pataki seek a fourth term in 2006, the Marist poll had him in a dead heat with Schumer, 43 percent for the governor to 44 percent for the senator, and leading Spitzer, 45 percent to 34 percent. Pataki's approval rating was at 46 percent in the new poll, up from 40 percent in September. State GOP Chairman Alexander Treadwell, noting Pataki's rising approval rating, said: ``I hope he runs again.''

Schumer's re-election chances have been looking good. Republicans have yet to come up with a big-name opponent and the only announced contender for the GOP nomination is a little-known former Wall Street trader, Michael Benjamin. Giuliani and several other prominent Republicans have already said they will not challenge Schumer.

The Marist poll found 39 percent of voters surveyed planned to vote for Schumer's re-election while just 15 percent planned to vote against him. Forty-six percent were undecided. Schumer's approval rating was at 58 percent, like Clinton, an all-time high in the Marist poll. ``Incumbents are all faring better,'' said Marist pollster Lee Miringoff, noting the improving economy.

Miringoff said that while Spitzer has gotten lots of publicity because of his investigations, Schumer has something else going for him. ``When you're a U.S. senator, it may bring a little more to the table than a national news magazine cover,'' the independent pollster said.

Marist's telephone poll of 617 registered voters was conducted Jan. 6-7 and has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The findings based on a sampling of 544 Democratic voters has an error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

AP-ES-01-14-04 1235EST


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2006; banglist; clinton; giuliani; governor; pataki; poll; schumer; scummer; senator; spitzer

1 posted on 01/14/2004 10:00:03 AM PST by NYer
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To: 1Old Pro; eastsider; Liz
Ping!
2 posted on 01/14/2004 10:01:22 AM PST by NYer ("One person and God make an army." - St. Theresa of Avila)
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To: NYer
poor baby and she wont have her husband releasing terrorist so their community can vote for her.

Oh poor baby, come give mummmy a kiss
3 posted on 01/14/2004 10:06:41 AM PST by hapy
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To: NYer
I wish Schumer was beatable THIS year - what about Alphonse D'amato returning to the senate? Anyone know what possibility that might have? I think Rudy needs to run against Hillary in '06!
4 posted on 01/14/2004 10:08:25 AM PST by princess leah
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To: NYer
I would be really surprised if Guiliani chose to challenge Clinton.
5 posted on 01/14/2004 10:08:29 AM PST by OneTimeLurker
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To: NYer
Schumer running for Gov? I don't think he will. Governors can't block Federal judicial nominations! he'd be lost!
6 posted on 01/14/2004 10:11:38 AM PST by SolutionsOnly
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To: hapy
.


It gets worse than that:


'HILLARY & TERRROISM's plan to regain the White House'


http://www.Freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1022571/posts

.
7 posted on 01/14/2004 10:38:59 AM PST by ALOHA RONNIE (Vet-Battle of IA DRANG-1965 www.LZXRAY.com.)
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To: NYer
Republicans have placed a high priority on beating Clinton in 2006 as a way of stopping a possible White House run by her in 2008.

Why would the Republicans want to stop Hillary from running for president? Unless Howard Dean or Wesley Clark is going to run again, I can't think of an easier opponent among the prominent democrats.
8 posted on 01/14/2004 10:52:02 AM PST by GROOVY
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To: NYer
GO RUDY GO!
9 posted on 01/14/2004 10:52:23 AM PST by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestus globus, inflammare animos)
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To: princess leah
I wish Schumer was beatable THIS year - what about Alphonse D'amato returning to the senate?

D'Amato was a clownish ethnic stereotype who though he could be Senator forever. Schumer's solid support from the most active (Jewish) voting block in the state, the retired steelworkers in the upstate rustbelt, urban yuppies, blacks and suburban women allowed him to beat D'Amato handidly the first time. D'Amato was fortunate in 86 and 92 to have weak candidates run against him.

I view Schumer as Hillary's ideological equal (I don't have a special hardon for the Clintons like most other Freepers). Both need to go, but, unfotunately, Rudy is all the statewide GOP has. They have NOBODY prominent from Metro NYC (where the majority of votes are) with the exception of Pataki (who hails from suburban Westchester) and King George the RINO would get creamed by Chucky Schmucky or Hillary.

10 posted on 01/14/2004 10:54:10 AM PST by Clemenza (East side, West side, all around the town. Tripping the light fantastic on the sidewalks of New York)
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To: SolutionsOnly; NYer
It's going to be Spitzer in 2006. He has the highest approval ratings of any politician in the state and He will cream ANYONE who runs against him.
11 posted on 01/14/2004 10:55:22 AM PST by Clemenza (East side, West side, all around the town. Tripping the light fantastic on the sidewalks of New York)
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To: Clemenza; *bang_list
"We're going to hammer guns on the anvil of relentless legislative strategy! We're going to beat guns into submission."

~Sen. Charles Schumer, 1993

I directed this thread to the Bang_List because Schumer and Spitzer are two of the most virulent gun grabbers in America. Spitzer is even worse than Schumer, if you can believe it.


12 posted on 01/14/2004 11:00:08 AM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Clemenza

It's going to be Spitzer in 2006.

Wishful thinking or calculated guess. And ... is that your final answer?

13 posted on 01/14/2004 11:40:22 AM PST by NYer ("One person and God make an army." - St. Theresa of Avila)
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To: NYer
Clinton's approval rating hit 55 percent in the Marist poll, the highest since she was elected and the first time she broke the 50-percent barrier in the poll.

They obviously didn't ask me.

14 posted on 01/14/2004 12:07:51 PM PST by CaptRon
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To: NYer
Whenever I think of Spitzer I think of him threatening Sean Hannity with bringing down the power of his office on him. I don't recall exactly what it was, but ol' Eliott went off big time, kinda like a Howard Dean thing with a bit of Weird Wes Clark thrown in.
15 posted on 01/14/2004 12:10:59 PM PST by CaptRon
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To: NYer
when I first read the headline I saw "Clinton could face tough time" but didn't see the "tough"
16 posted on 01/14/2004 12:13:32 PM PST by votelife (Elect a Filibuster Proof Majority)
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To: NYer
Calculated guess. I can's stand the creep but he is popular in the city and the suburbs and still registers approval ratings near 70%.
17 posted on 01/14/2004 2:21:16 PM PST by Clemenza (East side, West side, all around the town. Tripping the light fantastic on the sidewalks of New York)
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To: NYer
Another reason I hate Spitzer: He bears an uncanny resemblence to this kid Brad I went to High School with, who was a class-A A--hole who, like Spitzer, lived off Daddy's money and connections (Spitzer's father is a major real estate developer who essentially bankrolled his son's early political career).
18 posted on 01/14/2004 2:47:28 PM PST by Clemenza (East side, West side, all around the town. Tripping the light fantastic on the sidewalks of New York)
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To: NYer
All I can say is in Humbug's dreams...
19 posted on 01/14/2004 2:48:24 PM PST by mewzilla
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To: NYer
If Spitzer and Schumer stepped down and ran a primary and then lost to Rudy I'd be happy. I'm wondering when their terms end and if it coincides with the Gov's term.
20 posted on 01/15/2004 7:09:04 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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