10/24 SurveyUSA Poll Results [CO, IL, NY, NC, RI, TX]

SurveyUSA ^ | 10/25/02 | N/A

[BlackRazor]

Colorado U.S. Senate 10/24/2002

Allard (R) 48%

Strickland (D) 46%

Undecided/Other 6%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Colorado

Universe 700 Likely Voters

Margin of Error

3.8%

Client

KOAA-TV Colorado Springs

KUSA-TV Denver

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Illinois Governor 10/24/2002

Blagojevich (D) 52%

Ryan (R) 40%

Skinner (L) 4%

Undecided/Other 4%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Illinois

Universe 545 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.3%

Client WBBM-TV Chicago

KSDK-TV St. Louis

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Illinois U.S. Senate 10/24/2002

Durbin (D) 56%

Durkin (R) 36%

Burgauer (L) 3%

Undecided/Other 5%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Illinois

Universe 533 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.3%

Client WBBM-TV Chicago

KSDK-TV St. Louis

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New York Governor 10/24/2002

Pataki (R) 44%

McCall (D) 29%

Golisano (I) 23%

Cronin (RTL) 1%

Undecided 3%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of New York

Universe 576 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.2%

Client WRGB-TV Albany

WGRZ-TV Buffalo

WABC-TV New York

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North Carolina U.S. Senate 10/24/2002

Dole (R) 50%

Bowles (D) 44%

Undecided/Other 6%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of North Carolina

Universe 741 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 3.7%

Client WBTV-TV Charlotte

WTVD-TV Raleigh-Durham

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Rhode Island Governor 10/24/2002

Carcieri (R) 48%

York (D) 46%

Undecided/Other 6%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Rhode Island

Universe 573 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.2%

Client WLNE-TV Providence

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Texas Governor 10/24/2002

Perry (R) 53%

Sanchez (D) 42%

Undecided/Other 5%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Texas

Universe 604 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.1%

Client KVUE-TV Austin

KPRC-TV Houston

KSAT-TV San Antonio

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Texas Lt. Governor 10/24/2002

Dewhurst (R) 51%

Sharp (D) 45%

Undecided/Other 4%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Texas

Universe 604 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.1%

Client KVUE-TV Austin

KPRC-TV Houston

KSAT-TV San Antonio

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Texas U.S. Senate 10/24/2002

Cornyn (R) 52%

Kirk (D) 45%

Undecided/Other 3%

Data Collected 10/21/02 - 10/23/02

Geography State of Texas

Universe 604 Likely Voters

Margin of Error 4.1%

Client KVUE-TV Austin

KPRC-TV Houston

KSAT-TV San Antonio

[BlackRazor]

Poll Ping!

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

[comebacknewt]

Looking pretty good. Allard getting closer to that 50% mark is especially encouraging.

[ambrose]

Turnout.

[ffrancone]

IT'S 11 DAYS 'TIL THE ELECTION

GOOD INTENTIONS DON'T WIN ELECTIONS.

YOU CAN HELP, TODAY. GO TO:

TakeBackCongress.org

A resource for conservatives who want a Republican majority in the Senate

[No dems 2002]

If you look at the Survey USA poll on Texas, you'll find that their sampling of voters is extremely favorable for dems. They have whites constituting just 63% of the electorate (10 points down from 2000) and Hispanics at 23% and blacks at 11%. That's a stretch if you asked me. I think whites will do better than that. But I just don't trust these Survey USA polls too much, they're just too democratic (often closer than other independent polls).

[DallasJ7]

The great news here is that Carcieri has taken a slim lead in Rhode Island...he clearly has the momentum. I didn't think the Republican would have a chance here. This, along with Mannix's surge in Oregon, may go a long way to help prevent a Dem blowout in the governor's races.

[lasereye]

Dole better watch out. Looks like she wasn't prepared for this close of a race. Possible upset here.

[KQQL]

Yea right...

[KQQL]

@

[Salvation]

Best news there is that Cornyn is up by 7% over Sanchez!

[Tennessean4Bush]

The race in NC is not that close.

Across the board, these SurveyUSA results have inflated DemonRATs strength. They have the Senate race in TN much closer (4%) than anyone else, and if Lamar doesn't end up winning by 15% I will eat my hat.

[Norwell]

The race in NC is not that close. Across the board, these SurveyUSA results have inflated DemonRATs strength. They have the Senate race in TN much closer (4%) than anyone else, and if Lamar doesn't end up winning by 15% I will eat my hat.

I had noticed this as well. This poll indicates Dole is not doing any better than Helms. Tough to believe given the hatred many folks had for him, and the fact that she engenders none of that type of feeling.

Either that or the "Bloc Vote" is intractible.

[WOSG]

thanks that is even better news ... we have the GOP over 50%, no blow outs but nothing that is so close that it would make you sweat too much.

especially perry v sanchez, good to see money CANT buy a governorship.

[Brandon]

I'd say Allard's in major trouble -- an incumbent, under 50%, with a lead significantly smaller than the number of undecideds. If the undecideds break 2 to 1 for Strickland, it's a tie. Any better than that, and Strickland wins. Not good at all.

[Conservative til I die]

Finally got some numbers on the NY Governor's race. So McCall really is this close to finishing third? Awesome. The Liberal Party will lose it's ballot line status since they're running a dead candidate (Andrew Cuomo) and the Dems slip to "third party" status if Golisano can maintain the momentum for the next week.

[GoMonster]

many people now have call block and or caller id. call block affects surveyusa polls especially because it is automated. Thus sample is not good. Call blocking and caller id are also affecting the pool for traditional polling as well. telephone polling will become obsolete within 10 years.

[lonestar]

I'm moving to Mexico if Ron Kirk wins.

[WOSG]

Damn I wish Cornyn was more inyourface campaigner ... at the debate it was like we had two moderates there ... and the journalists were asking all questions from a liberal slant. Especailly on the gun issue -- shocked to see Kirk bring up "unfunded mandates", we havent heard that since Newt was running the House of Reps!

The only giveaway on Kirk's Liberalism, which he kept well-hidden mostly, was Kirk basically saying that "privacy" aka Roe v Wade abortion-litmus test would be adecider on judicial nominees - code words used, since he cant admit it openly, but he would vote against Conservative judges that Bush nominates if NARAL and NOW tell him to.

And Kirk made it sound like Bush and Cornyn "came around" to his view on Iraq ... this is the same arrogant perspective the NY Times has on the matter, even though they are point-blank wrong and Bush has been right all along.

Final giveaway was Krik saying that 'it is not the law' that race quotas are used in Texas. well, duh, that is becuase of HOPWOOD, which he OPPOSES. Purely Clintoneque reply! He made it clear he like race used as a criteria/factor. This is same double-speak of the racial quota defenders. nobody on the liberal side defends quotas nor admits they are being used, but they exist and continue under various names. The only solution is a 'color blind' policy: Cornyn is right and supports it. and Kirk is wrong on that.

The bottom line is this: Kirk is an Ann Richards protogee and is trying the same Ann Richards style over substance campaign to hide his liberalism. Richards lasted a term and then was booted by G W Bush. Against the mild Conservative Cornyn, Kirk has a chance except for the fact that he really has NO ACCOMPLISHMENTS AT ALL in public service, unless you count his helping Dallas friends and insiders, and really is a Liberal who has been funding mostly by out of state leftists. Cornyn can and should do more to expose this to win.

[millco88]

That's normally a pretty good rule of thumb, but this is a rematch from 6 years ago so why would undecideds break FOR the challenger that has already appeared on the ballot? Rematches, especially for the Senate, almost always replicate the earlier result, but we'll see.

I think the big question is how the competitive House races actually affect turnout since it's pretty obvious that Owens is going to win.