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Florida Republicans survived the ‘blue wave’, but find themselves on shaky ground
The Guardian ^ | 7 Nov 2026 | Richard Luscombe in Miami

Posted on 11/08/2026 5:58:09 PM PST by CondoleezzaProtege

Only a generation ago, Florida was the ultimate swing state, but turned reliably red in recent years to become a stronghold of conservatism. From here, Trump plotted his remarkable political comeback…

Now, Florida finds itself facing something of a political retrenchment, as Trump’s power wanes on the national stage, and Republicans in the state reflect on a near-disaster...

Trump loyalist Donalds, for example, will not enjoy the same fealty from the Republican-controlled legislature that the termed-out DeSantis did…Democrats made a net gain of 15 house seats in the state to strip the party’s supermajority.

“It’s unlikely he’ll have the clout that DeSantis had in his prime,” said Aubrey Jewett, professor of political science at the University of Central Florida.

Angie Nixon, the democratic socialist…lost by 2.9% in a seat most recently won by Marco Rubio, the secretary of state, in the 2022 Senate election by more than 16%.

“I’m proud of the race we ran. We helped drive turnout and broke the super majority in the state house and senate. 2028 is around the corner,” she said.

(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...


TOPICS: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2026; 2028; desantis; donalds; dsa; electoralcollege; electoralmap; florida; midterms; moody; nixon; rubio

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1 posted on 11/08/2026 5:58:09 PM PST by CondoleezzaProtege
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

Recall that DeSantis barely won his first Gov election vs a drug addicted Tallahassee mayor. If you think Florida is on shakey ground, cross the border into Georgia where black women will preside over nearly every elected four year job in state government.


2 posted on 11/08/2026 6:27:01 PM PST by Midwesterner53
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

something very improbable happened in this election. i hope someone is looking at it closely.

but one thing i’m sure of: FL held strong because of one Christian Conservative leader, who did the right things in the sight of God: Ron DeSantis.


3 posted on 11/08/2026 6:27:56 PM PST by dadfly
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To: dadfly

Yeah, and its only a matter of time until Trump turns on him, because Trumps light will start to dim while Desantis’ get stronger.


4 posted on 11/08/2026 6:39:30 PM PST by bigdaddy45
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DeSantis running practically the last red state. Even MAGA said in 2024 that he should run in 28. Time’s up.


5 posted on 11/08/2026 6:44:26 PM PST by proust (All posts made under this handle are, for the intents and purposes of the author, considered satire.)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

You’re back with your special brand of trolling! Actually, not so special , there’s a lot like you. As in all the other red states i’ve looked at, the Dems turned out close to Harris numbers, Republicans 2/3 Trump ‘24. The people that have hated Trump since 2016 all came out as they always do. Trump hatred won’t automatically transfer to other Republicans ( unfortunately, neither will Trump vision or 1950’s style love for America), probably W-level hatred will, but that will still leave Democrats far under water in ‘28 Presidential election year.


6 posted on 11/08/2026 6:46:48 PM PST by sopo
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To: dadfly

It IS very strange the turnout totals for a mid term election and the swing to Democrats. Let’s say there was mass election fraud that turned a lot digital thumb drive votes into Democrat votes in many of these states that have lose election integrity measures in place, how would this explain the close margins in FL where election integrity is the tightest there is?


7 posted on 11/08/2026 6:47:51 PM PST by LibFreeUSA (how )
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To: LibFreeUSA
It IS very strange the turnout totals for a mid term election and the swing to Democrats.

Nothing strange about that.

The Leftists are collectivists so naturally they are better at organizing.

"No Kings" rallies were successful because it motivated their base to vote.

8 posted on 11/08/2026 6:50:36 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: bigdaddy45

How soon before Trump starts calling him DeSanctimonious?


9 posted on 11/08/2026 7:27:20 PM PST by Bobbyvotes (Work is best form of worship to God.)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

But for some reason Florida Democrats are in most hated among Republicans and a republicans would rather have Democrats in office than Florida Republicans.


10 posted on 11/08/2026 7:31:03 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: LibFreeUSA

Very simple. Ordinary folks are hurting with prices of necessities. Democrats made that a prime issue in Ads. Did Republicans counter it asking how exactly Democrats would lower cost of gas and food? I never saw any such GOP ads.


11 posted on 11/08/2026 7:31:44 PM PST by Bobbyvotes (Work is best form of worship to God.)
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To: proust

Florida pretty much turned purple on Tuesday.


12 posted on 11/08/2026 7:33:40 PM PST by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: Midwesterner53
Recall that DeSantis barely won his first Gov election vs a drug addicted Tallahassee mayor.

And then DeSantis was re-elected by 20 points only to see his Trump-chosen successor barely squeak by with a 1.3 point victory.

13 posted on 11/08/2026 7:46:57 PM PST by Drew68
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To: Bobbyvotes
A clue to what happened is that at the same time Florida voters shifted toward the Democrats, they also adopted a major expansion of the state's homestead property tax exemption by over sixty percent. That will have adverse impacts on local governments and hammer Democratic constituencies who feed off them.

Unfortunately, Florida GOP campaigns avoided the tax issue and were vague on what they stood for. The result was that the public came to see Florida Republicans as mostly silent on high prices and affordability. There was no GOP plan or even recognition of how higher education is overly expensive and often fails to provide a useful career path.

In well-done TV ads, Angie Nixon hit Ashly Moody hard as not saying what she believed. Then Nixon declared support for Medicare for all. This approach proved to be effective in Florida and nationally. Even if Democrat promises of Medicare for all are implausible, at least they addressed the public's over-riding concerns.

Back in the days when the Florida GOP was winning control of the state from the Democrats, extensive issue polling and focus groups were used to find out what the public's concerns were. They then figured out how to meet those concerns.

Unfortunately, in power, the GOP organization in Florida gradually became flabby and campaign staff lazy and complacent. Party leaders turned toward infighting. We now see the result.

14 posted on 11/08/2026 8:12:38 PM PST by Rockingham
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To: Drew68

DeSanctus could have endorsed someone, but I don’t remember him doing so. Did he?


15 posted on 11/08/2026 8:20:17 PM PST by aMorePerfectUnion (🦅 )
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To: aMorePerfectUnion
DeSanctus could have endorsed someone, but I don’t remember him doing so. Did he?

No. It's generally considered bad form for a sitting official to chime in on a primary endorsement for his replacement.

Of course, he endorsed Donalds after he won the primary.

16 posted on 11/08/2026 8:54:10 PM PST by Drew68
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To: Rockingham

Expansion of homestead was the reason many republicans bothered to vote in large numbers in FL this midterm. Including myself! I think that was the main reason Donalds & Moody prevailed albeit by a thin margin. In other states republican voters did not bother showing up in large numbers. There was no incentive for well-to-do republicans to show up.
They are going to be shocked when democrats will try to do away with Trump’s taxcuts.


17 posted on 11/08/2026 8:56:37 PM PST by Bobbyvotes (Work is best form of worship to God.)
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To: LibFreeUSA

i would first go vertical from the central counting house in a perennial red county; study those thumb drives or ballots checking all custody stamps and records for each. make sure the counts match. use the election totals as your population of voters and proportions.

i’d say you’d have to design your audit to stratify by areas of the county. rural vs city or town. etc. and start knocking doors.

choose a representative sample of precincts in the county and go call or knock random voters’ doors until you have an acceptable sample. check the history of each door/address before. then survey the voter. while you’re doing all of this, you’re looking for the discontinuities. between past elections, inside this election, etc.

hopefully you start finding whistle blowers in this process signalling if it was stolen or not.

assuming no gross errors in counts are found. you look deeper. if you find people who voted who say they didn’t. or a sample means in matching precincts that is statistically different for this election or past elections and even deltas correlated in one direction consistently. i think you have to look seriously at fraud and then start trying to figure out how it was done. computer program inputs and outputs are usually logged. computer code can be examined. ballots can be recounted. etc.


18 posted on 11/08/2026 9:31:20 PM PST by dadfly
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To: Bobbyvotes

Many Republicans stayed home as a way to tell the GOP Congress “You’re fired!” for failure to do what they had promised.


19 posted on 11/08/2026 10:13:04 PM PST by Rockingham
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To: dadfly

Christian conservative leader is not what desantis is. He has put himself before the best interest of his state’s people a number of times, let alone the country. His only reason for running is himself or his wife’s nudging (she seems to wear the pants at times). He proved it’s about him as he tried to run last time, but tip toe desantis came up extremely short.

As we know, politicians are to a large extent just puppets to elites they must bow to in their life quest of power and money. Just as you clock in for your job, they clock into their global run job. So we will see who elites push as our “leader”.

I had hope in Trump initially. Could not get the snake poem outa my head at moments over the years since i saw video of him recite it. He was telling us then he walks a line of what he can and cant do.

Happened upon various videos lately that pulled many pieces together of things i couldn’t understand for years about USA and world happenings.

Trump does love USA but even he is following orders from outside the US.

Though we live in this messed up world, at some point we all answer to God.


20 posted on 11/09/2026 1:57:19 AM PST by b4me (Pray, and let God change you. He knows better than you or anyone else, who He made you to be.)
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