It looks like the polls are moving our way!
Florida voters please do not let me down. Bill Nelson has disgusted me for over 30 years. It has been time for him to go for a long time.
Great news. Cheers me up.
13 minutes ago
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
1) I’m gonna say this one time.
Calm down.
Do you not recall the final days of 2016, where “oh noes! Trump can’t win. Cankles has 3,0000 electoral votes locked up!”
2) I get it. No one is immune, not even Trump’s team.
Story from “How Trump Won” by me and @joelpollak
2) I had worked with Team Trump (Bannon) providing numbers analysis, esp. on OH and FL.
We had the numbers solid. We were sure Trump would come in around +1.5-2.
3) We all had seen and discussed the Ds 94,000 early vote advantage.
It was right there on the page.
4) But on election day, FL SecState posts those #s on the actual vote tally of the website.
5) Team Trump freaked out. “We’re gettin’ killed across the board.”
“No you aren’t,” I reminded them. “Those are the 94k votes we already factored in from early voting. They just posted.
6) I forgot about it and walked the dogs. Sure enough, a couple of hours later, another call: “Larry, you were right. Those were just the early vote #s. We’re doing really well.”
“I know,” I replied. “Trust your numbers.”
7) Yet an hour later, “We’re getting killed in OH.”
Same scenario. Early vote #s had posted and almost immediately were overwhelmed by Election Day #s.
Trump won by 9.
8) Moral of the story: Ds are gonna use polls, lies, statistics, more lies, and more statistics to get you to think Rs are losing.
9) Trust the early vote #s.
10) They are very, very strong across the board and bode well for a happy Tues. night.
Now, not talking anyone else off a ledge. Before you come to me with hysteria, take two tylenol and call me on Wed. morning.
Important race...
What kind of method gets the Independents to break so that there is a tie when they are included? Magik math which gives Nelson 7% and Scott 2%. Nelson gets 78% of the Independents or 24% more than his own party’s vote.
Don’t they expect people to think?
Did anyone notice Nelson behind the 0bomb at the anointed one’s rally? His constant grin varied from insipid to beatific as the haggard Bamster droned inanely on.
Early voting would indicate that Scott is up.
“Active” voters??
p
Why are undecided factored in at 2 for Scott and 7 for Nelson?
Polls are shifting because the pollsters dont want egg on their faces two election cycles in a row.
They will hold off on the House races for as long as possible.
There never was a Blue Wave to begin with.
Never heard of Vox Populi. Are they a new outfit?
Don’t forget, Nate Silver says Hillary has a 98% chance of winning.
BTTT for the truth.
After Obama’s anemic “rally” for Nelson and Gillum yesterday, I’d wager the numbers just got better...
I’ve been saying from the start, Scott and DeSantis are going to win. All my contacts in my home state have told me this.
I am looking forward to bill nelson losing.
JoMa
Nelson went into space and never returned.