Posted on 11/13/2016 12:48:55 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
John McLaughlin, a pollster for Donald Trump, on Sunday partly attributed the businessman's win in the presidential election to polls that showed him behind for most of the campaign.
McLaughlin compared Trump's victory to the come-from-behind campaign of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu last year, saying there were a number of similarities between the races.
"We don't want to be ahead. Because if we are ahead, all of the sudden the psychology changes, the media focus attack on us even more so than they were doing," McLaughlin said in an interview with radio host John Catsimatidis.
"But there is an idea that when you are a little bit behind, all of the sudden your supporters get more energized. And we knew they were ... very energized to begin with," he continued.
McLaughlin, one of the few pollsters who predicted a Trump victory, also said that part of the reason Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton lost the election was because she did not have strong nationwide support like President Obama.
McLaughlin said that most pollsters made the mistake of looking at the 2016 election "like through a rearview mirror."
"2012 was the Obama coalition. Where he did very very well among minority voters, he did very well among women, he did very well among young voters. And Hillary Clinton never had that kind of enthusiasm. She always had the majority of Americans wanting to vote against her," he said.
McLaughlin added that Trump's team focused on voters who did not want four more years of Obama but were not yet supporting Trump.
"And ultimately that strategy reached out to a Rustbelt voter and a Sunbelt voter and combined them, and really you could see in the results of the election that that strategy worked," he said.
I don’t think Trump was ever behind throughout most of the campaign. The reason for this is the over-the-top near hysterical media attacks on Trump. If he was REALLY behind by as much as they always claimed, they wouldn’t have appeared and acted much more confident.
“McLaughlin said that most pollsters made the mistake of looking at the 2016 election “like through a rearview mirror.”
I guess most of us here on FR are smarter than most of the pollsters. We new that you could not use the 2012 data and predict the outcome of the 2016 election.
-PJ
Plus The Royal Idiot added his (cough) “community organizer” genius to the losing mix.
Obama sucked up to the Castros which queered Fla’s Cuban vote, of all places....the state Hillary really needed to win.
But then again, he always put his community organizer genius to work.
Remember when he sued banks for not giving mortgages to ne’er do wells who could not possibly pay it back.
Then, as president, he sued banks for burdening ne’er do ells w/ mortgages they could not possibly pay back.
A few days before the election there was a poll showing Hillary beating Trump by 11 points in NH.
Real Clear Politics used that poll.
Nate Silver used that poll.
This was the worst, most corrupt polling effort by the media in my lifetime.
Trump won because he was the better candidate. Period.
If he was behind by internal polling at the end than maybe the FBI announcement/political ploy did end up having a real impact. There should have been these types of questions on the exit surveys.
Yup - that polling firm should be taken out to pasture and shot.
Too funny. The MSM lied to make it look like Trump trailed Hillary thinking it would help her... and it helped Trump instead. Karma.
McLaughlin is exactly correct, but there is one reason that he didn’t mention for expediency. The Democrats believed all their own slanted polls and slanted media pundits. If they thought that Trump had a real chance to win they would have cheated more in the critical states. As it was they still received at least 5 million fraudulent votes, but a couple million votes from non-citizens in California and a couple million more from non-citizens in New York didn’t have an impact on the electoral college.
They will not make that mistake again. If steps are not taken before the next federal election by congress, the president and a conservative Supreme Court to assure the legitimacy of the vote they will win every other election from now through eternity.
he was never behind.
He was never behind, they still don’t get it
Oopsie: Hillarys ground game might have ended up turning out
Trump voters
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3492895/posts
Predicting turnout can be tricky. There's a certain amount of guessing involved.
Mitt Romney "knew" that you couldn't rely on 2008 turnout data to predict the 2012 election results. In the end, though, it turned out that Democrat turnout was higher than he expected and it cost him bigtime. The expected drop in Democrat votes didn't happen that time around.
Okay,
The whole Question of WHY Or HOW is
of no consequence.
It is What the Definition of “IS”,is.
Get It,IS!
TRUMP IS.
When I coached ice hockey, I always told my kids to play as if they were one goal behind, no matter what the scoreboard said. It took awhile, but eventually the message sank in.
If you recall, Romney also threw development of a snazzy new GOTV mobile app to a bunch of Dem operatives. Of course, the app did not work on Election Day.
Last Sunday, didn't Trump hold rallies in 5 different cities ending the last one after midnight? He strikes me as being the real and true energizer bunny...just keeps going.
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