Posted on 11/06/2016 11:14:34 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Hillary Clinton is one state away from losing the presidential election, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver said Sunday.
While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not "in a terribly safe position," the pollster said on ABC's "This Week." "The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago," Silver said.
Silver came to notoriety by correctly predicting President Obama's victories in 2008 and 2012.
Clinton is weaker among Midwestern voters, while Obama had leads in states like Ohio....
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
LS’s prediction thread here? (or if not, where please? tia):
Two Days Out! Final Impressions
self | 11/6/2016 | LS
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3489994/posts
Nate’s hedging his bets!
I say, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Colorado.
Here's my bias. If one of us sweaty Trump supporters said good morning to him, he'd probably file a police report. Just hits me that way. You have to admit that if you read that article, you see that he is given to flights of fancy.
4% national 300-20 EV
Be still, my heart.
Laz would hit it! Happy birthday Laz, a FR legend.
In other words, you're just talking out of your alimentary ejection orifice.
Thought so.
So, if what you wrote is true (and I have no particular reason to dispute it), then... why isn’t vote fraud discussed front and center among talking heads, pollsters, FEC officials, fawk, even the candidates themselves, and so on?
There should be a “fraud” factor for every state, recognized and accounted for, just as every other factor under the sun is seemingly recognized and accounted for by these (scientific, super-accurate, yada yada) pollsters... just wondering what i am missing here...
I think Silver is off.....But with Trump, I’ll take Silver’s odds (today) of Trump having a more than 1 in 3 chance of winning. Trump probably looks at those odds and says: “Piece of cake...I’m in!”
Which is the most detailed thread? (I am slow, and slower today than usual, help me please lol)
Do you mean you are predicting 4% popular vote differential in Trump’s favor, with 300-320 EV going for Trump? (That would be sweet...)
(Just got up, and still trying to come up to speed, sorry...)
The board is shifting so fast, by Monday it'll be 2:1 odds of Trump winning.
Perhaps you mean that you don’t think that Nate Silver is as honest as he is purported to be...
Exactly. Watch the polls tomorrow about 5 p.m. THOSE polls are the only ones that count.
Daily Kos is a far far left nut group. Take anything said by them as coming straight from the Hillary camp.
Correct
It’s hard to three peat in sports and election calling.
His polls this year are junk. He is sucking on the liberal teat this year. Almost reminds me of a Clinton.
The rats won't let go of the executive position without a h*ll of a fight. The dumbed down, the low intelligence, the gibsmedats who put the Marxist/Muslim in our White House are still out there
Hillary is so close, and she knows this is her last chance. She will resort to anything
the Rats are scared to death Donald will get in and undo the damage Obama has done to our country.
THERE WILL BE MASSIVE VOTER FRAUD.
As Donald said, 'We are at a crossroads in our history'. We MUST win this election!
THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT ELECTION OF OF OUR LIFETIME
GET OUT AND VOTE- and pray for his safety and victory!
WE MUST MAKE THIS THE BIGGEST REPUBLICAN VOTER TURNOUT IN HISTORY!
(See Tag)
Battleground Blue states with highest percentage of White population. I believe Trump will take FL & 2 or 3 of these and win
Non-Hispanic White Population % By State
2. Maine 93.9%
12. Wisconsin 82.5%
13. Minnesota 81.9%
19. Pennsylvania 78.2%
20. Oregon 77.3%
22. Michigan 75.9%
29. Colorado 69.1%
35. Virginia 63.5%
46. Nevada 52.1%
Nate Silver’s board is not shifting and hasn’t since Thursday. He is on the CF payroll.
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