Posted on 10/28/2016 7:01:51 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
This weekend, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump will hold his second campaign event in New Mexico.
Sources not connected to the Trump campaign confirmed to KOB Friday afternoon that the Republican presidential nominee will attend an event on Sunday. Additional details on his campaign visit were not immediately available, but the Associated Press reports the event will happen Sunday evening.
Trump does not currently list any official campaign stops for New Mexico on its website, but as of Friday afternoon, the Republican’s campaign website does not show any dates beyond Sunday morning. Trump will hold campaign events Saturday in Golden, Colorado and Phoenix and Sunday in Las Vegas, Nevada.
The news comes on the same day as Washington Post story that suggests the presidential race for New Mexico’s five electoral votes could be closer than some think. A New Mexico-based polling agency also says Trump is narrowing the gap on Hillary Clinton.
The Post story quotes Jason Miller, a communications adviser for Trump campaign, saying the Republican presidential candidate is in a “dead heat” in both New Mexico and Michigan.
“Watch those states very closely,” Miller said in the Post story. “Watch where Mr. Trump is traveling and where we start focusing some additional attention. But there are states — for all of the talk of Hillary Clinton supposedly going on offense with red states, she's campaigning in blue states, and we're making a play for blue states.”
KOB’s news partners at the Santa Fe New Mexican report Trump cut into Clinton’s lead in the state. Citing ZiaPoll – which surveyed 1,899 likely voters – the New Mexican says 45 percent will pick Clinton while 40 percent favor Trump. Clinton previously held a 10 percentage point advantage in the group’s poll on Oct. 11.
Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, running at the Libertarian candidate, is polling at 9 percent. His numbers also dropped from 16 percent, according to the New Mexican. Two percent support Green Party nominee Jill Stein while 4 percent are undecided.
“Contrary to some polls, ZiaPoll found Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton among voters who are between 18 and 34 years old,” the group said in the New Mexican story. “This trend has held steady over the last three New Mexico statewide polls.”
Trump’s running mate, Mike Pence, made a Southwest swing earlier this month that included an Albuquerque appearance.
New Mexico typically hasn’t drawn much attention from national political analysts. For one, the Land of Enchantment carries only five electoral votes – the two granted to each state and the three based on New Mexico’s three Congressional districts. Much larger states with larger populations have more votes in the Electoral College.
Also, New Mexico has carried the Democratic candidate in five out of the last six elections – Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Al Gore in 2000, and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. Only George W. Bush claimed New Mexico during that span, in 2004.
The state did go Republican for the 1968, 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 presidential elections.
Lastly, as the Washington Post article points out, polling doesn’t come cheap. Oftentimes national polling is centered on so-called “battleground states” like Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida, Ohio.
After Trump became the presumptive nominee during this summer’s contention primary race, he held a rally in late May at the Albuquerque Convention Center. Supporters turned out to hear Trump discuss topics like immigration.
Trump’s appearance also drew several protests. Demonstrations outside the convention center started out peaceful but steadily became more disruptive. Some protesters broke through police barricades, burned Trump merchandise and even threw rocks at mounted APD units. Police eventually used smoke grenades to clear the crowd.
Several anti-Trump protesters were removed from the convention center
The Republican nominee also took shots at New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, who has repeatedly said she could not support Trump. She told reporters she would not attend the event because she was “really busy.”
"Since 2000, the number of people on food stamps has tripled. We have to get your governor to get going,” Trump said at the May rally. “She’s gotta do a better job, OK? Your governor has got to do a better job. She's not doing the job," Trump said as the crowd cheered. "Hey, maybe I'll run for governor of New Mexico, that will get this place going. She's not doing the job, we gotta get her moving. Come on, let's go, governor.”
Martinez did not become governor of New Mexico until Jan. 2010.
The governor had dodged questions during the primary and early in the general election campaign whether or not she would endorse Trump. When the controversial “Access Hollywood” video came out where Trump discussed inappropriate sexual advances toward women, Martinez said she won’t support him.
“What Trump brags about is appalling and completely unacceptable,” Martinez said earlier this month. “No woman should ever be treated the way he claims he treated women. Unfortunately, there is a pattern of disturbing conduct and offensive rhetoric that raises serious questions about his fitness to be President. That’s why I have withheld my support from the very beginning, and will not support him now.”
Neither Clinton nor her Democratic running mate, Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine, have stopped in New Mexico. Former President Bill Clinton campaigned in New Mexico for his wife during the primary and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has been in the state twice – once as a primary candidate himself and once on Hillary Clinton’s behalf.
As of Thursday, more than 200,000 registered voters have cast their ballots – 53 percent of them Democrats, 34 percent Republicans, 13 percent other – according to figures from the secretary of state’s office.
Rack ‘em up! I bet 370+ on predictit and I’m looking to get paid!
Trump internal polls says he can take New Mexico as well as Michigan.
If talk radio and word of mouth are reliable indicators, Trump has a strong following in NM. Interesting development since the last event he had in Albuquerque was disrupted outside by hillary goon squads.
Par-tay!
Trump has stops in Colorado now on both Saturday and Sunday.
Tomorrow’s Arizona rally will be on CSPAN at 6 pm ET.
This is an interesting choice. A lot of New Mexico outside of Albuquerque and Santa Fe is pretty poor. Las Vegas is no exception. It is a majority Hispanic, lower middle class population. They are culturally conservative and Christian. If he can win Las Vegas, he can win anywhere in the southwest, including Southern Colorado, the key for him to winning Colorado.
So THIS is what he was doing in PHX: they probably were confirming that NM number after the CO appearance, and it didn’t hurt to have a PHX appearance in between that and NM.
He should be in pa.
Trump got the big MO. ;)
Emerson has NH at Cankles +3, PA at +5 (but I’m sure if you look at the internals these are tied and 2).
He has not anounced a time or place. But, I will try to be there.
are we talking las vegas in mora county??
why there of all places?
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Las Vegas, Nevada is on the agenda for Trump daytime Sunday. When he appears in New Mexico, it will be in Albuquerque at 7 p.m. according to the ABQ Journal.
https://www.abqjournal.com/877700/donald-trump-coming-to-albuquerque-for-sunday-night-rally.html
Here in Michigan...Trump just announced that hes coming to Warren, Michigan at 3 pm Monday!!!I’LL BE THERE,,CANT WAIT!!!
The reason the Rats own NM is due to the high number of Fed Gov employees. If Hillary is hurting there she is dying everywhere else.
Would love to see Trump swing west thru Oregon and Washington.
Hillary’s support out here is lukewarm at best.
There were a lot of protesters (likely funded by Hillary’s campaign) last time Trump was there who really caused problems outside. I hope the security is good so the people going to the rally stay safe.
He was crucified in the media for saying this - for not supporting the Governor, but he was right. No one says a peep when she or other Republicans don't support him - in fact the media cheers about it. If he doesn't support one of the Republicans who disparage him or refuse to back him, the media creates a narrative about him spreading disunity. What a joke. You see what he got when he tried to be gracious and support Ryan, McCain, and Ayotte. All of them threw him under the bus.
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