Posted on 10/18/2016 5:51:01 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
While most national polls project Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton winning the presidential election in a landslide victory, one prominent survey shows Republican rival Donald Trump narrowly ahead.In light of multiple sexual assault allegations being leveled against the billionaire, Trump has suffered in national polling. The national average shows Clinton leading by seven points, and Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight puts her odds of winning at a staggering 87.6 percent.
But the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll paints a different outcome. Tracking the opinions of roughly 3,000 eligible voters, the results are updated each day. As of Tuesday, the poll gives Trump a narrow victory, polling at 44.9 percent to Clinton’s 43.3 percent.
As David Lauter points out for the Los Angeles Times, the Daybreak poll was one of the most accurate predictors of the 2012 election between President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
"It predicted that President Obama would be reelected with a margin of victory of 3.32 percentage points," he writes. "He won by 3.85 points. Most other polls underestimated Obama’s margin by more than that."
The US Dornsife/LA Times survey approaches polling slightly differently than others. For one, the opinions of participants are weighted based on how certain they are. Someone who is only 60 percent sure of their vote will count for less than someone who is 100 percent sure.
The Daybreak poll also relies on the same group of people. "Unlike typical polls, which contact a different sample of people for each survey, the Daybreak poll uses the same panel of approximately 3,200 people, questioning about 450 of them each day in order to get to everyone each week," Lauter explains.
Still, there’s one option that Daybreak fails to take into account. A new UMass-Lowell/Odyssey Millennials survey found that younger voters are deeply dissatisfied with both candidates. Among Americans between the ages 18-35, roughly 23 percent would prefer a giant meteor strike to either candidate.
"We do not take our respondents at their word that they are earnestly interested in seeing the world end, but we do take their willingness to rank to constitutional crises and a giant meteor ahead of these two candidates with startling frequency as a sign of displeasure and disaffection with the candidates and the 2016 election," said Joshua Dyck, co-director of UMass-Lowell’s Center for Public Opinion, according to the Hill.
23% would prefer a meteor strike...meaning most Milennials will not turn out like they did for the Kenyan.
These writers make me sick. FOr the record, there was NO sexual assault - only lies. I’m sick of the media’s meme about this.
CNN had to talk about the Hillary camp and violence in trump rallies..They had no choice..Trump will apologize to Sanders voters again and the libs wanted to get out in front of this...Trump can talk about wikileaks,anything he wants...The Hillary camp are quaking in their boots over tomorrow night...
Drudge’s lead article is dynamite.....Not many Christians are ready to vote for a PREDATORY LESBIAN.....that’s black Christians, Hispanic Christians, even Muslims.....
http://www.nationalenquirer.com/celebrity/hillary-clinton-lesbian-sex-claims-vince-foster-fixer/
Don’t know why FR won’t allow posting this article...?
I know a lot of them will vote for Johnson if they vote.
I told my granddaughter she better darn well vote for Trump and if doesn’t she better never tell me.
It’s a sad day we have to rely on Russian Sputnik news instead of our own news services which have become propaganda arms of the establishment and DNC
We have become Russia circa 1955 and visa versa, to some extent.
Oh wow! What a good comment. I’m going to use it.
The DemocRATS like the poll numbers close .. it’s much easier to CHEAT.
One of my earliest memories was of Sputnik flying over.
Natie lives on Fantasy island where nothing that Natie doesn’t like is allow in. Natie is using ridiculous turn out models.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/gallup-democrats-who-will-definitely-vote-at-16-year-low/article/2602965
Democrat voter enthusiasm at 16 year low. Only 65% say they are voting. Go way with this crap.
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