Posted on 10/14/2016 6:06:45 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
At the close of a week that began with him trailing by seven points, Donald Trump still holds a slight lead over Hillary Clinton in today’s White House Watch survey despite a flurry of news reports alleging a history of sexual harassment on his part.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump with 43% support to Clinton’s 41%. That’s unchanged from yesterday. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson picks up six percent (6%) of vote, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein has two percent (2%) backing. Four percent (4%) like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton held a seven-point lead on Monday – 45% to 38% - following the airing of an 11-year-old video showing Trump making graphic sexual remarks about women. But as voters began responding to Sunday night’s debate, her lead dropped to five points on Tuesday and four points on Wednesday. Trump edged ahead yesterday.
Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters. The latest survey is the first to include results following the release by the New York Times of new allegations of sexual harassment against Trump. The GOP nominee has denied the charges and has demanded that the newspaper apologize for what he calls "a libelous article." We’ll be watching to see what impact, if any, those allegations have on next week’s surveys.
Eighty-seven percent (87%) of voters now say they’ve made up their minds how they will vote, and among these voters, it’s Trump 48%, Clinton 46%. Among those who say they still could change their minds between now and Election Day, it’s Trump 37%, Clinton 36%, Johnson 17% and Stein 9%.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 11-13, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
[Rasmussen Reports analysts Amy Holmes and Fran Coombs are available for interested media. Please call 73 2-776-9777 ext. 205 for interviews.]
Clinton jumped on the release of the video with Trump’s sexual comments to say it shows her Republican rival's demeaning attitude toward women. But Trump countered that Clinton was an enabler who allowed her husband, former President Bill Clinton, to sexually assault women for years. Voters tend to agree with Trump that Bill Clinton's behavior was worse, but not surprisingly there's a sharp partisan difference of opinion. This survey, however, was taken prior to the latest allegations against Trump.
Despite high profile Republican defections on Trump’s side, he earns 77% of the GOP vote, while Clinton has 76% Democratic support. Trump also continues to lead among voters not affiliated with either major party and to do better among Democrats than Clinton does among Republicans.
GOP voters are more certain of their vote than Democrats and unaffiliateds are.
While other pollsters show women abandoning Trump, our latest survey finds the two candidates running almost even, but women are more than twice as likely as men to like some other candidate or be undecided. Trump has a six-point advantage among men.
Those 40 and older still prefer Trump over Clinton. Younger voters favor Clinton, but they also remain more likely than their elders to be undecided.
Women and men are equally certain of their vote at this point. Older voters are more sure of their vote than those who are younger.
Most Republican voters still think top GOP leaders are hurting the party with their continuing criticism of Trump and are only slightly more convinced that those leaders want Trump to be president.
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security says it has confirmed hacking attempts on election systems in more than 20 states and has offered to provide states free testing of their systems before Election Day. While most voters are concerned about their state’s election system being hacked, they think state and local officials will do a better job protecting their vote than the feds will.
Voters continue to strongly believe that the media is more interested in controversy than in the issues when it comes to the presidential race.
As in previous presidential election cycles, voters expect reporters covering political campaigns to help their favorite candidates and think it's far more likely they will help Clinton than Trump.
Which one are they talking about? There are at least a few I heard of. All of them or the latest one?
Given the proclivities of the younger voters I foresee a Trump ad with Jill Stein’s semi-endorsement and the risk of war with Russia if HRC is elected.
There will be since the msm isn’t dropping the story much less letting their viewers know it’s been debunked.
In uber lib Austin, TX on SeeBS, they’re ratcheting it up to rape: http://keyetv.com/news/local/first-lady-not-alone-in-encouraging-woman-to-stand-up-against-abuse
I think that Trump may very well have 3% to 5% more support nationally than the polls show. We’ll see. I basically went Gault when Mr PIAPS was reelected. If the PIAPS becomes president I’m not really sure what my options are at this point.
Impossible. The Times poll said it’s Hitlery +7.
I understand. But the problem will not only be in the US but globally.
If HRC wins, the politico-media establishment finally takes over everywhere - apart from North Korea, China, and Russia. And none of them are any of my favorite countries.
FOX is going with Clinton leading by 7 this AM.
They blew it by piling on more allegations, the veracity of which are highly suspect. The video was more credible and hence more damaging, and absent the other distractions would have festered in the minds of voters between now and election day. But now that video will instead get lumped together with all these other attempts to smear Trump, which come off as being desperate and unfounded.
They had a good thing (for them) going with the video, but they got greedy, so rather than inflicting more damage the result will be that all these charges will just be background noise.
Unfortunately, the same may be true for WikiLeaks for the same reason ... there are too many off them, with too many dubious trivial ones thrown into the mix.
If you’ve got money China isn’t a bad place.
The polls have been stuck for weeks. The important thing to notice, I think, is that the “undecided” has been pretty steady at around 5%.
Does anybody believe there is actually any thing like this number of undecided? Most are probably “shy Trump”. At this point I don’t think anything Wikileaks produces is going to be disseminated by the MSM. What does penetrate their defense of Hillary probably is not going to change any significant numbers of Rat voters.
Try as they might, the MSM is not going to get us to abandon Trump. Lying is not going to make us love them or Hillary. Trump is not a person, at this point. A Trump vote at this point is a protest against a criminally corrupt gummint.
One of the most significant points that has been made, after the above, is that 3-5% of Hillary’s support gets her no additional Electoral Votes. She is, quite literally, wasting 3-5% of her support in New York and California.
So the very real “adjustments” that should be made in these polls should really give Trump about ten percent lead, which should be fraud proof if the Rats hold to their usual levels of fraud. If Hillary “wins” with unrealistic margins in places like North Carolina, Florida, etc. we can know the election was stolen.
You need to go to Conservative Tree House...Sundance explains how Daron Shaw manipulates the FOX poll by tweaking in more dems to his data it’s like at 44% now which is no way in hell that will happen...
He assures us this will not be close but its a great article. I think all Freepers should be Treepers as well so we are balanced...well more balanced than normal whatever that is...lol.
Fox Poll uses +9 dem sample. Upped from +2 in their poll last week. Also shows Obama approval rating +16.!! Garbage.
FOX is going with Clinton leading by 7 this AM.
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Already debunked: overly weighted with DEMS.
The negative is that the LA Times poll does how a trend of falling support for Trump over the last few weeks, but hopefully that has stopped. Putting the 3 Rasmussen polls and the 2 LA Times polls together over the last few days, I get a 0.4% lead for Clinton.
What I really am looking at is FL. Unfortunately the sample sizes are so small, but Statistically it seems to be a tie, maybe with a slight Clinton edge.
I guess Clinton could convince/pay more women to make accusations, but after a while does it become comical?
Fox and their piddly 849 sample poll. They really ARE in the tank for Hillary, no?
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