Posted on 09/07/2016 2:07:02 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
If Trump wins NJ we are going to have a massive landslide for Trump.
I take that it must be very bad for Hellary. My eyes say so too.
No, it’s not just of independents—only that one sentence was about the results among independents. In this poll, for example, Trump leads Clinton by 20% with independents in Rhode Island, but is behind by 3% overall in the state.
Politics1 mentioned this poll with Clinton up only 3 in RI, a smaller lead than any other state in this poll (New England and NJ).
Probably an outlier. Hard to imagine RI being the most favorable of New England states.
It also has her up only 4 in NJ which is more realistic but still incredible. Governor Chubs has 64% disapproval so he’s not helping.
The rest of the results
Clinton up by 5 in NH. Up 15 in CT, up 17 in MA, up 21 in VT,
Ayotte up 2 in the NH Senate race.
Best bit is this, while Clinton is up 9 in Maine overall (2 e votes) and up 22 in CD-1 Trump up 5 in Maine’s CD-2. An earlier poll also had him ahead there. It’s only 1 e vote but in a close election...
Best Election season ever!
Tied right now IMO but Trump has the better opportunities.
I think it’ll come down to Trump solidifying the Republican and disaffected voters versus Obama getting out the ‘black’ vote for Hillary.
Nice to see the libs moaning about the polls now instead of Freepers.
I don’t think he’ll win NJ. I looked up Real Clear Politics results for the 2012 Election, and Obama won by 17 points, which is a larger amount than the polls predicted.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nj/new_jersey_romney_vs_obama-1912.html
A lot of weird and inconsistent internals in the northeast Emerson polls.
Oh boy. The “Maine CD-2” FR blather...again.
Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet Maine CD-2 blather = Old Country Buffet
Is there an understanding? Is there?
Now RI being in play? That’s worth keystrokes and electricity. Catholics like Trump? Hmmm... Then for sure ST. RAFAEL LOSE would BE WINNING THE STATE, RIGHT?!?! BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
“Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz” “Vote Cruz”
Come election night, this is awaits >>ALL<< enemies of The Donald:
I have trump at 265. the 4 EV in NH and 1 in Maine will put him at 270.
where would we stand with the House if we get a 269-269 tie?
the DC 3 created an even number of EVs for the first time.
Exactly!
That really isn't relevant. Obama generated quite a bit of excitement in the inner cities, Hillary does not. Additionally the mood on Obama has soured in the Black community further depressing turnout.
If the Presidential election is close the House (and almost certainly at least 26 delegations, currently we have 32) is certain to remain Republican. I would expect a party line vote.
If it’s a tie or 270-268 though a single faithless elector would give them a third choice, it’s between the top 3 for President (if 2 other candidates got 1 vote each I guess they’d have to include both?). A rouge GOP elector could vote for say, Bush, and the House would have Bush to choose from and potential chaos.
If the House deadlocks the VP-elect (chosen by the Senate from the top two candidates if none get a majority) would be acting President for as long as it took the House or the entire term if necessary. Under such a scenario the midterm elections would have the potential to choose the President.
currently we have 32? a bunch are split, like NH ME
DEM has so few ...
What is your personal assessment? Poll right or wrong?
Thanks
The Second Congressional District in Maine is most of the state.
It is the largest congressional district, in area, east of the Mississippi River.
This mostly rural area is Second Amendment country, so I would say Trump has an excellent chance of winning this part of Maine.
Nebraska, with three congressional districts, is the only other state that divides it’s electoral votes.
I’m hoping Trump can carry the entire state of Maine, but I just don’t know. Trump has changed the electoral map this election cycle, so anything is possible.
I believe Trump will take this congressional district; if Trump does that, he gets one electoral vote if Clinton wins the first congressional district and the overall statewide vote (she would get three electoral votes in this scenario).
Maine has a total of (just) four electoral votes.
Thank you
32 R
15 D
3 Tied (NH, ME, NJ)
IA and NV are, ironically given the POTUS polling in those states, very vulnerable to flipping from R to a tie or D but I’m not terribly worried about losing any others, Colorado is 4-3 with 1 GOP seat heavily contested but certainly not 5 others, if that happens Hillary won’t need the House to elect her.
I counted only 2 split delegations (NH, ME: quick visual scan, could be wrong), but this year’s elections could produce more....or fewer.
Judging by the number of Trump lawn signs vs. the number of Hillary lawn signs here Trump takes NJ overwhelmingly.
At a recent outdoor event with vendors Trump signs were going for $10.00, Hillary signs were free. The Trump stand had a mob around it, at least when I saw it.
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