Posted on 04/05/2016 11:46:43 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
With his decisive victory in Wisconsin, Sen. Ted Cruz has not only shaken up the Republican presidential race, but heading into the homestretch, he has suddenly become the odds-on favorite to win the nomination in Ohio.
With 16 primaries and caucuses remaining, Donald Trump has to win 70% of the delegates to secure the 1,237 needed to win a first ballot at the Republican convention. Several states are coming up that are more favorable territory for Trump than Cruz, especially New York and Pennsylvania where Trump still has significant leads.
Even so, winning more than two thirds of the remaining delegates is a daunting challenge for him. In the 36 primaries and caucuses leading up to Wisconsin, Trump won only 46% of the delegates. And now he heads down a tough homestretch with Cruz seizing the momentum.
In a year crammed with surprises, no one can say for sure what will unfold in Cleveland, Ohio. But there are two likely outcomes: First, Cruz and Trump have each vowed to vote against a change in the GOP's Rule 40. That's an obscure provision that requires any candidate to win at least eight primaries and caucuses before he or she can be nominated....
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Ted Cruz: Now the odds-on favorite?
Not in this household!
According to Green Papers, there are 715 pledged delegates still to be awarded in the upcoming contests. According to RCP, Trump has 743 pledged delegates after Wisconsin, meaning he still needs 494 pledged delegates to reach 1237.
494/715=69.09% of the remaining pledged delegates needed to clinch.
That also means that if Kasich and Cruz can combine for about 250 delegates, they can insure an open convention. Actually, they need about 225, but 250 would give them a cushion...
Yes, I didn’t see anything about the oddsmakers in that piece. I did get the booming voice of the Great Princeton Debater, though, before I was finished reading.
Rush has probably been bought. So many other people have been, why not him?
We are a money-mad culture.
And you don’t think they would be entertainment as well? Those weren’t debates and that wouldn’t be either. More like a war of off-the-topic rejoinders or a Don Rickles impersonation contest.
Despite all this and that, the simple likelihood remains that the American people like Mrs. Bill and will show so accordingly on November 8.
Trump has as much money as any of them but what you are saying is Cruz is doing the buying or illegal promising.
Thanks for the info; more calculationl
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3418598/posts?page=1#1
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3418598/posts?page=6#6
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3418598/posts?page=22#22
No. CRUZ is running a campaign. Trump has finally realized he has been left with his pud in the dirt; thus the new hires. Too little. Too late.
Typical vulgarity.
You call it “running a campaign.” Others call it “a ground game.” Those less complimentary call it “wheeling and dealing.” I call it “buying delegates.”
Gergen is campaigning for Hillary.
TED CRUZ, the ODD ONE Favorite
should be the title
Ah, but now he is Cruz’s “David Rodham Gergen”!
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