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Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 10, 2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 03/10/2016 5:19:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

The good news for the Republican "establishment" is that there's a man who might be able to stop Donald Trump. The bad news is that it's Ted Cruz, someone they may dislike almost as much.

Cruz, who won Idaho on Tuesday while finishing second to Trump in Michigan, Mississippi and Hawaii, is within striking distance of Trump. So far, 29 percent of Republican primary voters have voted for Cruz as compared with 35 percent for Trump. Meanwhile, Cruz trails Trump by 100 delegates: not a trivial gap, although only one more than the 99 at stake in winner-take-all Florida next Tuesday.

The problem for Cruz is that Florida and the rest of the calendar probably aren't as favorable to him as the states that have voted so far. (Florida looks like a Trump state as Marco Rubio loses ground.) But Cruz does have a few things going for him. He's tended to outperform his polling almost everywhere. He's won states in all four major regions of the country. And he potentially stands to gain if Rubio and perhaps John Kasich drop out.

The exit polls in Michigan and Mississippi asked voters who they'd pick in a two-way race between Trump and Cruz, also giving them the option to say they'd sit out the race. Among Rubio voters, on average between the two states, about 75 percent said they'd still vote in a Trump-Cruz race, and of those, 80 percent would prefer Cruz to Trump. Kasich voters were somewhat more equivocal; 55 percent said they'd still vote, and of those, two-thirds would go to Cruz over Trump. Although this is the first time the exit polls have asked about one-on-one matchups, the results are consistent with national polls showing Trump losing ground as the field winnows....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: cruz; rubio; tedcruz; trump
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

my entire family lives in Pa and not a 1 will vote for Trump. The closer you get to NYC the more you know about Trump.

Of those 45,000 probably 2 to 1 Cruz, a real Conservative.

They don’t want to see “the Kardashians from the White House.”


41 posted on 03/10/2016 6:03:57 PM PST by Undecided 2012
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To: manc

It’s true Trump’s ceiling is 40% max. Have you noticed each time someone drops Cruz rises.

The only thing Trump has going for him in Florida is the early voters skewed it and even if Rubio drops Trump will still win.

Otherwise Cruz will yet again get the more voted on election day.


42 posted on 03/10/2016 6:08:05 PM PST by Undecided 2012
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To: dontreadthis
hey, I had very high hopes for Cruz too.

As did I. Beck? Bush? Obamatrade? TPP? Voter intimidation? Calling Trump supporters dumb? Now there's a real Christian for ya.

As for common sense, he's an idiot. Why campaign in trying to lure Trump backers when in the next breath you insult them.

I don't see any difference between Cruz and the little slime ball known as Rubio. Cruz will do zero about illegal immigration and grant amnesty to the 40 million already here. He's a bullshit artist.

43 posted on 03/10/2016 6:15:31 PM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common any more.)
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To: heights

Yup. That’s why I believe he’s just another establishment whore.


44 posted on 03/10/2016 6:17:30 PM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common any more.)
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To: The Iceman Cometh

Please stay home in November, particularly if it’s Cruz. I viewed the posts today from work and am astounded at the vile and venomous comments toward Ted Cruz and his supporters on this website.

I detest Trump because I see him as a lifelong Democrat/progressive who is saying some sweet conservative things to tickle the ears. WE’LL SEE IF HE GETS THE NOMINATION AND WE’LL SEE IF HE WINS. In any case, I fully expect him to be what he’s been all his life — a liberal Democrat/progressive. And YOU and the Trump supporters on this website WILL BE SO SCREWED because you think you’re so smart backing someone who has donated to the Clintons, Kerry, Reid and Pelosi — and now he’s your friend. Good luck.


45 posted on 03/10/2016 6:18:42 PM PST by sruleoflaw
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To: smoothsailing

What a crab sandwich from you. Trump is a long-time Democrat who has donated to the Clintons, Kerry, Reid and Pelosi — and now he’s on your team.

He’s not exactly as man of integrity, as sadly, we may find out.


46 posted on 03/10/2016 6:20:37 PM PST by sruleoflaw
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To: VerySadAmerican
As far as I’m concerned there is no difference in having Hillary in the White House or Cruz when the same old bunch of frauds run congress.

Yup. That about sums it up.

47 posted on 03/10/2016 6:20:45 PM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common any more.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

God bless you for fighting the good fight against all of this nasty Trumpbots. There are few decent Trump supporters, but most of them here are pretty nasty folks.


48 posted on 03/10/2016 6:21:48 PM PST by sruleoflaw
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To: sruleoflaw

You are absolutely correct. If the Donald wins, payback will be sweet. That’s the only good that will come out of it.


49 posted on 03/10/2016 6:23:14 PM PST by beandog (Trump is a Crony Capitalist)
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To: scooby321

I thought he was hated by everyone, everywhere. That’s what the Donald said.


50 posted on 03/10/2016 6:24:23 PM PST by beandog (Trump is a Crony Capitalist)
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To: The Iceman Cometh

Thus proving his point.


51 posted on 03/10/2016 6:24:59 PM PST by beandog (Trump is a Crony Capitalist)
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To: sruleoflaw

I love crab sandwiches. Especially Blue Channel Crabs in crabcakes, no filler, all crab.


52 posted on 03/10/2016 6:28:22 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: wiseprince
Trump is the only original thinker in the crowd. Where were these other people's positions last summer? They didn't have any! It took them several months to give lip service to the same positions Trump laid out last June.

Now today, Cruz infers that Trump supporters are morons. Real bright there Ted. Insult the people you want to vote for you. Ted is the moron. He lacks critical thinking skills.

BTW, he should learn how to dress. When I was a Cruz supporter, I used to cringe at this picture:

 photo image1_zps9vgjuqth.png

53 posted on 03/10/2016 6:28:49 PM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common any more.)
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To: scooby321

Ask yourself why did Ted Cruz only spend $1000 in MI? Why did he wait until last week to open his first office in FL?

The formula is GOPe candidate runs against a conservative candidate. The GOPe candidate pulls ahead and wins FL. The conservative throws support to the GOPe and the GOPe selects non threatening conservative as VP

Rinse and repeat.

Only this time Trump spoiled it all.


54 posted on 03/10/2016 6:34:46 PM PST by PJammers (Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?)
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To: beandog

If Trump wins the GOP nomination and presidency by some curse (after our suffering with Obama), I have a strong recommendation for the Trumpites here.

If Trump turns out to be the long-time liberal Democrat that we (Cruz supporters) have warned about and screws up the Supreme Court and doesn’t build the wall, PLEASE DON’T EVER SHOW UP AGAIN ON THIS WEBSITE OR AT LEAST CHANGE YOUR SCREEN NAME. I promise you that your help destroying our nation will not be forgotten, nor will your gullibility.

Most Trump supporters here have been nasty and vile toward Cruz and his supporters.


55 posted on 03/10/2016 6:35:06 PM PST by sruleoflaw
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hey 2DV, Is there a live thread going tonight on the debate anywhere?


56 posted on 03/10/2016 6:40:02 PM PST by bobby.223 (Retired up in the snowy mountains of the American Redoubt and it's a great life!)
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To: Undecided 2012

possibly, but I ma in FL and it might not go the way you say .

we’ll see anyway


57 posted on 03/10/2016 6:43:49 PM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: bobby.223

No, I don’t see one.


58 posted on 03/10/2016 6:48:24 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thanks. I scrolled back a few hours and used search but no luck.


59 posted on 03/10/2016 6:49:37 PM PST by bobby.223 (Retired up in the snowy mountains of the American Redoubt and it's a great life!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Was this before or after he called us unengaged and low information?


60 posted on 03/10/2016 6:51:19 PM PST by mabelkitty (Trump 2016! Mabelkitty - Unengaged and Low Information Voter since 2000!)
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