Posted on 07/17/2015 1:02:20 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-07-17/ted-cruz-has-money-to-burn-the-gop
Cruz is in many respects a Reagan Republican. That includes (so far) a reluctance to attack other republicans.
“With 50 million dollars, (probably a third of what he needs to be competitive,) Cruzs goal must be to catch fire before Florida, AND WIN PRIMARIES. If he cant, he should drop out and endorse the highest-polling conservative.”
Florida is not nearly as big a factor this time around given the schedule (as it stands now):
February
Monday, February 1: Iowa caucuses
Tuesday, February 9: New Hampshire
Saturday, February 20: South Carolina
Tuesday February 23: Nevada caucuses
March
Tuesday, March 1: Arkansas,[56] Colorado caucuses (pending legislation exists however);[57] Massachusetts; Oklahoma; Tennessee; Texas; Vermont; Virginia; North Carolina
Saturday, March 5: Louisiana
Tuesday, March 8: Alabama; Hawaii caucuses; Idaho;[58] Mississippi; Michigan
Sunday, March 13: Puerto Rico (the last contest in 2016 required to be proportional.[59])
Tuesday, March 15: Illinois; Missouri; Florida; Ohio[60]
There are LOTS of primaries before Florida, including Texas, which he should win. You are right though, if he hasn’t notched at least a win or two by the time they get to Florida on March 15, he will have a real uphill climb.
By Mar 15, or even Mar 1, the race maybe over. By Mar. 15 there will be only
about 40% of the delegates left to be chosen.
Here’s a good website with info in various configurerations.
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/wddaa.phtml
....Cruz, who stands to inherit many Trump supporters when Trump teeters....
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I hear, and read, constantly about the inevitability of Trump’s campaign “dying out”. Someone PLEASE tell me what makes people so sure that is a certainty? I have no problem with this. I appreciate what Trump is doing to the Liberals and the media, but my guy, Cruz, is more electable. Hillary leads Trump by almost 20 points right now. But, having said that, a guy with $10 Billion can “hang around” for a heck of a long time.
.....those of us who have lived and/or worked in Wisconsin would not even dream of categorizing him as weak or a flip-flopper in general.
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Really? When a person hits the national stage of politics and the lights of multi-media shine on them from angles they’ve never encountered, you see more than one Profile.
Cruzs goal must be to catch fire before Florida, AND WIN PRIMARIES. If he cant, he should drop out and endorse the highest-polling conservative.
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Well, I would hope that would be Rand Paul if it comes to that. There’s some things about him that I don’t like, but, now he is leading the charge to defund the “Baby-Body Parts” Store, Planned Parenthood. That, in itself, covered a multitude of his sins for me. He is now my Second Choice.
Jeb has not been Gov. of FL for how long now? Five years or so? Marco is more recent, and younger..... I look for FL to go to Rubio.
Re: your Post #23: Did you forget to include he “sarcasm symbol”? (/s)
Just look at Trumps recent comments. He is focused on name calling “saying that guys like Perry need an IQ test) and bashing the Huffington Post...but he fails to address the issues.
The schtick is getting old, but I think you are right...Trump is helping Cruz
Completely disagree as does the Cruz team.
Cruz will run strong in SC and IA. He will do VERY well in Florida. But, he has the money to go further than that...
If he doesn’t win any of these, by that time, the field will have narrowed. Cruz will win much of the south and TX. He will win much of the West and possibly CA. He has campaigned in the Northeast.
He is laying the groundwork to go beyond the first 3...he will do just that.
March 15 kicks off winner-take-all primaries, including Florida and Ohio. Unlike Super Tuesday’s proportional allocations, it’s not enough to do ‘do well’ in WTA states.
By the way, I like your tag regarding Susana Martinez.
Thx.
Please read Posted Reply #6 on this Thread.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/gop/3312880/posts?page=6
You might find it interesting. It speaks for the poster, me and many others.
I agree with the reservations expressed in the thread regarding the social issues. I gave up a LONG time ago on paying too much attention to staff hirings and bad endorsements (Reagan hired the horrific John Sears as campaign manager and fired him just in time, Brownback endorsed Sebellius, and Santorum endorsed Specter, all three were better than those acts would imply).
I am shocked at how many people here are okay with Trump, given his support for Universal Health Care paid for by an increase in the world’s highest corporate tax rate. That doesn’t mean he doesn’t have a role in this campaign, he just isn’t a conservative (or small government) choice.
So, while I’m on board with Cruz, I see Walker as being among the best of the rest. I don’t see him as too useful as VP. Better to leave him in Wisconsin than do that.
February
Monday, February 1: Iowa caucuses
Tuesday, February 9: New Hampshire
Saturday, February 20: South Carolina
Tuesday February 23: Nevada caucuses
March
Tuesday, March 1: Arkansas,[56] Colorado caucuses (pending legislation exists however);[57] Massachusetts; Oklahoma; Tennessee; Texas; Vermont; Virginia; North Carolina
My post was using 2012 information, (after Romney won Florida the race was over.)
My post should be amended appropriately:
Looks like this time around Texas is the first early prize. So, with this new info,
Cruz should spend his 50 million to win primaries until March 1st, if he isn’t winning by then, if he loses Texas, he should drop out.
Cruz should focus on South Carolina, Iowa, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Virginia, North Carolina, and Texas.
He should try to place top three in New Hampshire.
MUST WIN: South Carolina, Texas, Arkansas, Oklahoma.
He should spend it all before March 1st. His goal must be to win, not to “hang in there” losing every primary like a troll.
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