Posted on 09/07/2012 9:00:31 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The American Research Group (ARG) poll of the race between Mitt Romney and President Obama released today shows a 49 percent to 46 percent lead for the former governor of Massachusetts. The poll of 1200 likely voters, surveyed between September 4-6, has a margin of error of 3 percent. Over-sampling of Democrats by eight percent, the survey sample included 38 percent Democrats, 34 percent Republicans and 28 percent independent voters.
The sampling of the ARG poll differs with the partisan data measured from hundreds of thousands of voters by Rasmussen Reports, which measures the partisan percentages at 37.6 percent Republicans, 33.3 percent Democrats and 29.2 percent independents. This indicates a degree of over-sampling of Democrats by eight percent, a plus four margin for Democrats as opposed to the plus four margin of Republicans among the likely voting electorate.
The ARG survey has Democrats favoring Obama by a 85 percent to 11 percent margin while Republicans surveyed in the poll favor Romney by a 92 percent to five percent margin. ARG found independent voters to support Romney by a 49 percent to 44 percent edge.
If this data is weighted for the appropriate percentage of independents as shown by the Rasmussen data, the survey indicates a far larger and growing lead for Mitt Romney. Analysis of the data by those criteria would lead to a result showing Romney leading with a 53 percent to 43 percent margin over President Obama. That would be a lead of 10 percent, larger than any for Romney reported by any recent national poll...
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
Awwwwwww that’s really sweet of you to do :-). The only time I ever contributed to a campaign was in 2008 but that was only because McCain chose Sarah Palin, otherwise I probably wouldn’t have given anything
Of course not! I’ll be recording MSNBC on election night for the comedy. Want to bet that Chrissy cries?
I think you have a point. Obama’s got it made in the shade drinking kool-aid; he should quit an enjoy life away from Hillary and Biden.
Bit early for that surely?
It is crazy to think of those states going Romney. I imagine the Dems and MSM will accuse him of wanting to end unemployment benefits or something.
Just out of habit a lot of them will pull the D lever.
After Axelrod threatens Gallup with a lawsuit Obama takes his biggest lead of the year with them, 4 points over Romney.
Comical relief for anyone with a brain.
I am sure that is only a coincidence *rolls eyes*
Thank you, LS!
If I understood Rush correctly, such a miniscule number of people watched clinton the previous night that he would have been just as effective doing a show with hand shadows.
We can't get complacent, but this race looks like a blowout of Reagan-Mondale proportions.
The only polling data I pay attention to is Nate Silver at the NY Times. The man is a brilliant statistician and relatively fair-minded (even though he works for the Times). He nailed the last election down to a split in Nebraska. Everything else is a waste of time. His current data does not make me very optimistic. Romney may need to go on a full-on offensive to turn things around.
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