Posted on 01/03/2008 1:00:16 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
It looks like the Politico website has another fascinating scoop full of un-substantiated and un-named sources.
That is that John McCain's campaign is literally hanging by a thread. He is low on money and fallen to a fourth place tie with Ron Paul in Iowa. Sources (unnamed) say that a McCain shellacking in Iowa will likely drop him out of the running in New Hampshire where is organization is running on fumes.
In Iowa McCain has gone from 13% and high hopes of pulling a surprise to falling to 10% and a tie with a surging Ron Paul. UPDATE: ARG poll confirms the McCain slide in Iowa. McCain has gone from 17% on Dec. 23rd to 11% as of yesterday (Jan. 2). While Thompson continues to climb and increase his lead on McCain.
Other sources say that McCain's slippage in Iowa has concerned his camp so much that they have attempted to leak an un-substantiated rumor that Fred Thompson (though leading in the polls and leading in fundraising)is likely to drop out and support McCain. This could possibly be John McCain's "who me?" moment that reminds voters of the depths of McCain's pettiness.
It is that Ron Paul surge that unnamed and anonymous sources inside the McCain campaign are most concerned with. Because those same Ron Paul independents will likely help Paul much more in New Hampshire than they will John McCain. Remember in 2000 it was those very independents that McCain relied upon.
It is not very likely that McCain can survive a fourth (possibly fifth) place showing in Iowa, then lose his "independents" to Ron Paul and Obama in New Hampshire and there is rank speculation that McCain will indeed drop out soon and endorse his old pal Fred Thompson.
Thompson Story Fell Apart
Of course the Politico website also tried to pass off a rumor that the surging Fred Thompson might actually bow out of the race if he did not take second place in Iowa. Of course Politco reporter Jonathan Martin fell back on a "jocular" moment to base his speculation on.
Yet all indications from the Thompson campaign are that Jonathan Martin and the Politico have again "stepped in it." Word on the street is that the Thompson campaign, over the holidays, raised $1.8 million dollars. Also Byron York, who is actually on the ground in Iowa, recently spoke with a top advisor, on the record, to Thompson who said "I can't put enough adjectives in front of the 'deny' to accurately describe how vehemently I'm denying the story."
Let's not forget that it was this same "Politico" website that got seriously busted for misreporting the facts of a fire hall visit by Thompson.
NOTE: Of course if one were to read the Politico hit piece on Fred Thompson this morning you would understand impetus behind this post. Note how I easily pieced together a scenario based on unnamed and anonymous sources "inside" the McCain campaign? Notice how more realistic THAT scenario sounded than the made up scenario of Thompson?
Do these folks at Politico have any credibility at all? I mean I know I am a Thompson supporter but wow... Who writes a hit piece like that the day of the Iowa Caucus? Who lists anonymous sources "inside" the campaign?
No; it was Colonel Mustard in the Conservatory with the Revolver.
But smart money looks to get in & out quickly and gain high ROI. If you bought Hunter’s nomination contract and he went up to 4% today, you’d get 40X return on your investment. In order to get the same level of gain with Thompson, he’d have to win the presidency outright, which wouldn’t happen for a year and is not as likely as Hunter gaining 4%.
Yeah, I agree, and I see it that the LP has moved leftward. I’m glad you found a home. Keep in mind that Free Republic is not affiliated with the GOP, so don’t let anyone browbeat you into voting for a GOP candidate if you don’t think he’s conservative enough.
I’m glad you see that they’ve moved farther left, that was my feeling too. I know many, many of my friends back in Colorado who have abandoned the LP as well in favor of trying to help the GOP for the same reasons as I.
I definitely don’t make my decisions based on others. I really truly like Fred Thompson. And, Duncan Hunter is a very close second. There is no way that I’ll support a non-Conservative even if he does supposedly represent the GOP. I don’t like playing games, and I think there is something that stinks to high heaven in the upper reaches of the GOP itself (i.e. the whole Shamnesty debacle and the NAU). I also don’t respond well to threats (i.e. if you don’t support this person it’s supporting a Dem rhetoric). LOL Don’t know what I’ll do if neither Thompson nor Hunter get a fair shot at the nomination... I may just decide to sit out again...
I should probably add, sit out as far as National Politics. I think there’s still hope for the GOP here in Wisconsin. I don’t know one person who isn’t sick and tired of the taxes we are paying here...
Too bad Politico doesn’t drop out.
Or drop off the face of the earth....
Touche! And really lol! I wonder if “you know who” has seen this?
We did, and they did.
Now it's back to caucus madness.
I have reliable sources inside the McCain camp that says John wears Depends undergarments.
I’m glad to hear it! :)
I took some time “off” and we all engaged in a civics lesson over dinner and afterwards (we homeschool our daughters). They had so many questions regarding this process and all the hoopla surrounding it on TV. A true “teachable moment”... I just love it when that happens (them coming to ME instead of the other way around ;))
too funny, but likely true since he is aging. I am new to this board and may be posting in the wrong place. I am very concerned over the elections and want to make CERTAIN that everyone know what Romney Stands For! I am TOTALLY AGAINST ROMNEY AND EVERYTHING HE STANDS FOR!!!! I can explain why!
Like everyone else, I am watching the caucases with hopeful optimism, Romney doesn’t want to come in 2nd..... He has all that stinkin money tho, and thinks he can buy the American Public! I just need to know where to post tomorrow, so that I can get my message out about Romney! Now till the election baby, Romney cannot win, I would rather vote for Hillary and I am a staunch life long Republican! I can prove it!
Sorry to jump in to a post that is likely not the right one. Can anyone direct me?
OK, baaaaaaaad pun, I know.
bump
What I’ll do is what I’ve done in the past when confronted with a straightforward RINO: 100% republican ticket. But I write in the republican who should have had the slot. 100% republican, so the downticket guys don’t suffer and the party gets a message.
This thread could be really funny which would be nice. I’m sick of this election and the primaries haven’t even started.
If I never see the word “poll” again in my lifetime it will be waaaaaay too soon.
And I wasn’t trying to put you in your place. Jeez, martyrdom, much?
I thought you had already answered the question but it turned out to be lkco. Thanks. When the kids get older, I’ll probably be more aware of the Harry Potter references. Right now I can probably amaze you with trivia about Veggie Tales.
Well good for you, both for the homeschooling and taking the opportunity to apply the civics lesson.
I monitored the election thread until FR became too slow. I didn’t do any posting; it was all I could do to keep up with the thread. Finally I gave up and did some reading.
No surprises except for where Clinton came in. And that wasn’t all that big a surprise. Fred didn’t finish as strong a 3rd as I’d like to see, but it doesn’t hurt him, IMO. Romney was the big loser last night. And Huckabee’s win isn’t all he’ll try to make it out to be. The more that comes out about and from him, the sooner his bubble will burst.
This was just the first in a long series of events. Get the popcorn out. It’s gonna be a long show.
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