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U.S. Senate Outlook 2006, GOP loses 4 seats, maintains control
American Conservative Union, various | 8/3/2006

Posted on 08/03/2006 9:19:47 PM PDT by motife

The 2006 Senate Races, with state, Senator, party, 2005 ACU rating (American Conservative Union), current outlook.

4 Republicans likely to be defeated, Burns MT, DeWine OH, Santorum PA, and Chaffee RI.

1 NJ, Menendez, D, 0, leans D

2 MO, TALENT, R, 84, leans R

3 CT, Lieberman, D 8 primary, leans D

4 MD, Sarbanes. D, 0, retiring, leans D

5 MN, Dayton, D, 16, retiring, leans D

6 VT, Jeffords, I, 8, retiring, leans I (D)

7 TN, FRIST, R, 92, retiring, leans R

8 CA, Feinstein, D, 12, safe D

9 DE, Carper, D, 8, safe D

10 FL, Nelson, D, 20, safe D

11 HI, Akaka, D, 8, safe D

12 MA, Kennedy, D, 0, safe D

13 MI, Stabenow, D, 12, safe D

14 NE, Nelson, D, 60, safe D

15 NM, Bingaman, D, 13, safe D

16 NY, Clinton, D, 12, safe D

17 ND, Conrad, D, 21, safe D

18 WA, Cantwell, D, 8, safe D

19 WV, Byrd, D, 20, safe D

20 WI, Kohl, D, 13, safe D

21 AZ, KYL, R, 100, safe R

22 IN, LUGAR, R, 88, safe R

23 ME, SNOWE, R, 32, safe R

24 MI, LOTT, R, 91, safe R

25 NV, ENSIGN, R, 100, safe R

26 TX, HUTCHISON, R, 92, safe R

27 UT, HATCH, R, 92, safe R

28 VA, ALLEN, R, 100, safe R

29 WY, THOMAS, R, 92, safe R

30 MT, BURNS, R, 100, turnover D

31 OH, DeWINE, R, 56, turnover D

32 PA, SANTORUM, R, 92, turnover D

33 RI, CHAFEE, R, 12, turnover D

predicted 2006 Senate :
51 R, 49 D (including Jeffords replacement)


TOPICS: Campaign News; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: election2006; electioncongress; electionussenate; guess; rumor; senate2006
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1 posted on 08/03/2006 9:19:48 PM PDT by motife
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To: motife

I expect only 2 turnovers.


2 posted on 08/03/2006 9:22:25 PM PDT by AZRepublican ("The degree in which a measure is necessary can never be a test of the legal right to adopt it.")
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To: motife

Santorum's going to win.


3 posted on 08/03/2006 9:24:09 PM PDT by Suzy Quzy ("When Cabals Go Kaboom"....upcoming book on Mary McCarthy's Coup-Plotters.)
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To: AZRepublican

What do you look for then?

A Republican win in Minnesota, Maryland or New Jersey? Those are the possible offsets I see.


4 posted on 08/03/2006 9:24:44 PM PDT by motife
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To: motife

Cantwell is safe? Since when? I also think that DeWine will win.


5 posted on 08/03/2006 9:24:59 PM PDT by kesg
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I like apple turnovers.


6 posted on 08/03/2006 9:25:16 PM PDT by ChuteTheMall
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To: motife

Also factor in that Lieberman might be in the Senate as an Independent.


7 posted on 08/03/2006 9:25:42 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative (Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists.)
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To: motife

Don't rule out WA there......


8 posted on 08/03/2006 9:28:22 PM PDT by AZRepublican ("The degree in which a measure is necessary can never be a test of the legal right to adopt it.")
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Of the 4 in question, I would consider Santorum the only serious loss. I'm admittedly ignorant about Burns, but DeWine is an anti-gun RINO and Chafee is even worse.

I'm tired of seeing the GOP watered down by liberal RINOs, and I don't see any other way to get rid of them if they won't lose in primaries.


9 posted on 08/03/2006 9:28:50 PM PDT by ChuteTheMall
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To: Suzy Quzy
"Santorum's going to win."

He might, but polls have Santorum 6 to 18 points behind Bob Casey currently.
10 posted on 08/03/2006 9:33:10 PM PDT by motife
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To: ChuteTheMall
Chaffee is definitely no loss except in rear ends in the Republican chairs.

Burns is more one of the most reliable conservative votes in the Senate, but it doesn't look like he has a chance. Montana's in danger of becoming another Oregon/Washington, as are Colorado and New Mexico.
11 posted on 08/03/2006 9:37:08 PM PDT by motife
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To: ChuteTheMall

My finance and brother in law who is a big Repub up there in Montana seems to think Montana will stay Repub with Burns though he is linked big time with Abramhoff....he votes 100% but is kind of a scum bag a bit.....we shall see


12 posted on 08/03/2006 9:38:00 PM PDT by NorCalRepub
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To: kesg

You're right. Maria Cantwell's lead is shrinking to Mike McGavick, former CEO of Safeco insurance, who's putting a ton of his own money into the race. Cantwell's lead is down to 3 or 4 points, and her pro-Iraq war views may depress Democrat turnout.


13 posted on 08/03/2006 9:40:59 PM PDT by motife
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To: NorCalRepub

It's hard to believe Montana would have 2 Democratic Senators.

If Cantwell loses in Washington and Burns wins, that would mean only 2 losses, as predicted above by another poster.


14 posted on 08/03/2006 9:50:20 PM PDT by motife
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To: ChuteTheMall

We can get rid of all the Rinos, just vote for the Rat. That will fix`em,(and us too).
Harry Reid for King!


15 posted on 08/03/2006 10:16:12 PM PDT by bybybill (`IF TH E RATS WIN, WE LOSE)
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To: motife

What good is a 51-49 "control" when we don't have it now?


16 posted on 08/03/2006 10:25:05 PM PDT by Crazieman (The Democratic Party: Culture of Treason)
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To: motife
Ah, yet another prediction thread by the prognosticators at ACU.As if those clowns had a clue.

OK, here's mine,Senate +2 R, House +6 R.

Why? Because I say so! :D

17 posted on 08/03/2006 10:32:34 PM PDT by smoothsailing (Support The Troops-Support The Mission--Please Visit http://www.irey.com--&--Vets4Irey.com)
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To: motife

Kean will take Jersey and Santorum will win in Pa.!


18 posted on 08/03/2006 10:34:54 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: West Coast Conservative

If he manages to win as an Indy.


19 posted on 08/03/2006 10:35:47 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: motife

But there's a fringer running now and he can take votes away from Casey.


20 posted on 08/03/2006 10:36:47 PM PDT by nopardons
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