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The Latest Poll Shows That Blue Wave Could Be More of a Low Tide
Townhall ^ | 10-28-2026 | Matt Vespa

Posted on 10/28/2026 5:48:47 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita

Maybe this should be expected, as polls do tighten in the waning days of an election cycle, but this is different: we have a summer chock full of blue death coming for Republicans. The blue terminal is crashing, after a wild prediction that Democrats would get 230-plus seats in the House bolstered it for a bit. Then, the Midwest tightened up, leading Democrat operatives to acknowledge they weren’t as confident about a blue wave. This isn’t 2018.

The truth is we’re flying blind. It’s 50/50, because the polling isn’t reliable anymore. We have multiple fake poll controversies, all of which were explained away by the ‘this was a social experiment’ line. Still, we’re now getting stories that GOP voter support has been underestimated for most of a generation; that if it’s underestimated by two to three points, the GOP retains control; that Trump voters can’t be polled; and that the current climate isn’t being gauged properly. The pivot has begun, with the new Harris poll showing Democrats with only a four-point lead in the generic ballot— not enough to win.

2026 generic congressional ballot

🔵 Democrats: 52% 🔴 Republicans: 48%

Harvard/HarrisX poll | 10/24-10/26

(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...


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As always, don't pay much attention to the polls and get out and vote, but it's encouraging to see gains in the generic congressional ballot for our side.

FWIW, my wife and I voted yesterday in a solid R area. The poll workers said they were extremely busy throughout the entire day.

1 posted on 10/28/2026 5:48:47 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Dan in Wichita

Fake Polls by Fake News no longer work like the used to.


2 posted on 10/28/2026 5:58:49 AM PDT by bray (Thank God for Israel)
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To: Dan in Wichita

I’ve yet to see the value of generic polls. How do they help predict voter patterns in statewide or district elections?


3 posted on 10/28/2026 6:02:20 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: Dan in Wichita

They got nuthin’. What have the commies done that isn’t even more commie? $4.32 gas and we MUST have socialism. I ain’t buyin’ it.

Horizontal had an autopsy, which was so bad, they delayed the release of an entire chapter. And the ‘affordability’ scam popped up right after that was released. Never give up the con.


4 posted on 10/28/2026 6:07:26 AM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: johniegrad

I think it gives them something to talk about, which is the only reason they do it. It’s sort of like a national vote analysis for the Presidential race; you know, the one that is decided by Electoral College votes, not taw popular vote.


5 posted on 10/28/2026 6:10:31 AM PDT by Bernard (The only Fair Tax is the Tax that taxes you and not me.)
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To: Dan in Wichita

Polls are tight.
It does not matter who is leading by them, it does matter who’s votes are counted.
Voter participation is what matters.
Which party can get their voters to polls!

Go and VOTE!


6 posted on 10/28/2026 6:19:19 AM PDT by AZJeep (sane )
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To: Bernard

NYT/Siena has Tafoya down by 54-40 just as we get our hopes up in Minnesota.. If it anywhere near right I could see where we’re in denial too.


7 posted on 10/28/2026 6:21:52 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Libloather

In my lifetime, democraps can win on nothing. We have seen it before. 2006, 1998, and 2022 come to mind.


8 posted on 10/28/2026 6:22:03 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Dan in Wichita

Mark Mitchell’s analysis of Dems +11 was dependent on the -40 crowd showing up. They are not showing up. They never show up for midterms. Rather the voters are mostly +40 and especially the boomers. There the majority vote red.

In Texas the democrats needed two thing. They needed a massive presidential year turn out. They got it. But they also needed a suppressed republican turn out. They didn’t get that. The republican turn out is also massive presidential year turn out. Texas is something like an R+12 state. When the numbers are equal the R+12 takes over.


9 posted on 10/28/2026 6:25:37 AM PDT by ckilmer (`61)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
NYT/Siena has Tafoya down by 54-40 just as we get our hopes up in Minnesota.. If it anywhere near right I could see where we’re in denial too.

Reminds me of the poll released by ABC just a few days before the 2020 election showing Trump losing Wisconsin by 17 points. Absolute garbage intended to influence the outcome.

10 posted on 10/28/2026 6:27:54 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Dan in Wichita

It is still about republicans; about true American Patriots getting off the duff and get out and vote. A missed vote is a vote for the communist-muzzzlum alliance. GO VOTE PEOPLE!!!


11 posted on 10/28/2026 6:31:51 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Bible speaks truth! Don't believe it, you do so at your own peril. You'd better be right!!)
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To: KC_Conspirator

Yes, but it’s not nothing. It’s cheating.

The Supremes said California can count all month after election day.

If that’s not a green light to keep creating fresh ballots for the democrat party by state democrat operatives, I don’t what else to say.


12 posted on 10/28/2026 6:46:11 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The greatest power the media has is the power to ignore.)
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To: KC_Conspirator
In my lifetime, democraps can win on nothing. We have seen it before. 2006, 1998, and 2022 come to mind.

2006 certainly comes to mind. In Virginia, Senator George Allen basically invented a word, "Macaca" to describe a heckler and it was blown up by the media into a major 'racist' issue. It put Allen on the defense, from he never recovered, and he lost his Senate seat. The Dems and their media connected all Republicans running that year to the 'racist' comment, and the Dems won the Senate.

It was the "Macaca Majority." As you said, the Dems can win running on absolutely nothing.

13 posted on 10/28/2026 6:56:16 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: bray

NC is a blue tidal wave


14 posted on 10/28/2026 8:20:53 AM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Total BS what happened to Minnesota being in play


15 posted on 10/28/2026 8:56:14 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Dan in Wichita; All

It the Senate holds, and I think it will , watch ha song a bitch Thune take credit, while President Trump is everywhere.


16 posted on 10/28/2026 9:29:02 AM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA!)
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To: Dan in Wichita

THAT WAS DIFFERENT DEMOCRAT PARTY.


17 posted on 10/28/2026 9:30:56 AM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA!)
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To: cowboyusa

The Dems were horrible and hideous back in 2006, but they are ten times worse now.


18 posted on 10/28/2026 9:50:23 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Alas Babylon!

It ain’t over until the watermain in GA breaks.


19 posted on 10/28/2026 9:59:52 AM PDT by bray (Thank God for Israel)
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To: Dan in Wichita

There doesn’t have to be a blue wave for them to take control . . .


20 posted on 10/28/2026 10:35:49 AM PDT by MCSETots
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