Super El Niño breaks record months before peak as scientists warn of worst season in 1,000 years (midterm election edition)

NY Post ^ | 9/22/26 | Ben Cost

[Libloather]

This El Niño will have an epic tantrum.

While still months away from reaching its peak, the super El Niño is already shattering temperature records.

Data show that the sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific has reached 3.07°C (around 5.5 F) — tying the record set by the 2015–16 El Niño — with scientists expecting it to get a lot hotter.

“This month (September) is very likely to have the highest monthly anomalies on record,” Zeke Hausfather, co-author of comprehensive climate change reports for the United Nations, told Phys.org in an email.

Based on an analysis of 14 different climate models, Hausfather determined that temps could hit a peak of 4.0C (a 7.2F rise) in November and December, making this El Niño the largest in 1,000 years.

For reference, any temperature increase above 0.5 C (0.9 F) is considered a regular El Niño while anything over 2 C (3.7 F) is deemed a super El Niño.

Hasufather’s figures, detailed in an analysis in Carbon Brief, draw on how much daily sea surface temps in the Niño 3.4 region—an imaginary region in the Pacific— exceed the 30-year average.

However, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has increasingly adopted a new method, dubbed ONI (Nino3.4), which compares the region’s rate of warming to the entire tropical belt.

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TOPICS: Conspiracy; Science; Travel; Weather
KEYWORDS: elnio; scientists; season; years

[Libloather]

Super-duper is next, ya know.

[sevlex]

I’m holding out for the calafragilistic.

[Sacajaweau]

And after Katrina, they said we would have Cat 5s...every year. I looked at some records...some Cat 5s...lasted like 3 minutes....6 minutes..etc etc...

[Abathar]

Will it effect the cost of diesel?

That kinda tops my list of concerns right now as I have to fill the bulldozer tonight.

[Rummyfan]

Data show that the sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific has reached 3.07°C (around 5.5 F) ....

Something wrong with these numbers...

No hurricanes so far this season so now a monster El Niño is coming.

[ConservativeMind]

Do you just roll that up to the Speedway station?

[Merrick]

I love the “midterm election edition” addition.

[albie]

And then Super Dee Duper!!!

[Merrick]

No, that’s consistent. An El Nino (Pacific) results in high wind shear in the Atlantic, which suppresses storm formation. Meanwhile, there are brutal storms happening in the Pacific.

[xp38]

El Nino! New and Improved!

[dagunk]

I remember reading “This is going to be an interesting year” from some “experts” since they had never seen this before.

I believe these experts - they have no clue and own up to it.

The “experts” that say it’s gonna do this or that are blowing smoke up everyone’s butt. They don’t know either.

[Disambiguator]

Atmospheric tsunami incoming!

[dfwgator]

[Abathar]

Actually yes, but not a Speedway. I have pulled up to our local Circle K multiple times though when driving by.

A local independent not far from me has their off-road diesel pump conveniently located for such things, so I now try to get her there first.

[Fledermaus]

😂

[rlmorel]

"El Niño means..."The Niño!"

[Texas Eagle]

Should that be El Niño Grande? Or El Niño Gigante?

[Texas Eagle]

However, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has increasingly adopted a new method...

Yeah, we noticed.

[Sacajaweau]

They’re looking at 14 models...hich means 14 guesses...and none are based on “fact”...just projections...

[Salman]

Nothing that a boot stamping on a human face forever can't fix. /sarc