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Congressional Watchdog Puts War Costs at $38 Billion, Estimates 5 Years to Replace Interceptors
The Wall Street Journal ^ | Sept. 15, 2026 2:09 pm ET | Yoko Kubota, Lara Seligman and Michael R. Gordon

Posted on 09/15/2026 11:54:53 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

A nonpartisan congressional watchdog estimates war with Iran is costing up to $3 billion a month

WASHINGTON—The Pentagon spent some $38 billion in its first few months of the war with Iran and will need at least five years to replace the missile interceptors it expended trying to defend U.S. troops and bases, according to a nonpartisan congressional watchdog. 

The Congressional Budget Office also estimates that the war is likely to cost an additional $2 billion to $3 billion a month. 

The assessment comes as President Trump is trying to determine next steps in the war. Iran hasn’t agreed to his demands to relinquish its nuclear program, and Trump has pivoted to economic pressure.

This is a developing story.


(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: getsomebackfromkiev; pissedawayinukraine; wastedinukraine
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Congressional Budget Office (CBO) assessment concerning the ongoing U.S.-Iran war.

The headline refers to a new assessment by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) concerning the ongoing U.S.-Iran war.

Key points

Why the interceptor figure is significant

The $38 billion is primarily a measure of what has already been spent. The five-year replacement estimate highlights a military-readiness problem: the U.S. can spend billions defending itself during a high-intensity missile war, but its industrial base may not be capable of rapidly replacing the defensive weapons consumed.

In other words, the U.S. can potentially afford the immediate expenditure, but it cannot necessarily replenish the weapons at the same speed at which a major conflict consumes them.

The CBO also indicates that the financial burden would continue growing substantially if the war lasts. At $2–3 billion per month, another year of fighting at that rate would add roughly $24–36 billion, before accounting for changes in the intensity of operations.

This is a developing story, and the CBO numbers could change as the conflict continues.

1 posted on 09/15/2026 11:54:53 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

When you do not achieve the goal it’s all a waste.


2 posted on 09/15/2026 11:57:43 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

People pretending to make serious predictions while understanding nothing.


3 posted on 09/15/2026 11:58:04 AM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the personal implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

A(n anonymous) non-partisan (honest, I swear) congressional watchdog.

Nothing to see here.


4 posted on 09/15/2026 12:00:55 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
will need at least five years to replace the missile interceptors it expended

What a joke-- we spend trillions on defense, but not an extra penny on the defense industrial base or shipbuilding.

30+ years of being governed by corrupt fools.

5 posted on 09/15/2026 12:02:09 PM PDT by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens" )
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To: pierrem15

And you believe it.


6 posted on 09/15/2026 12:02:56 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man!)
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To: Merrick
A(n anonymous) non-partisan (honest, I swear) congressional watchdog. Nothing to see here.


7 posted on 09/15/2026 12:04:02 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The right of Democrats to embezzle elections shall not be infringed. )
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To: pierrem15
not an extra penny on the defense industrial base

You're not allowed to call it that.

Groupthink requires that you call it the "MIC", and that you hate it with every fiber of your being.

8 posted on 09/15/2026 12:05:16 PM PDT by NorthMountain (... the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Patriot missiles are 1980s technology. We’re using up old inventory in Iran.

By now we should be able to do better for a lot less.


9 posted on 09/15/2026 12:06:31 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (Stupidity is an acquired trait, requiring many years of careful practice)
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To: reasonisfaith

Predictions of the future aside, we know that tens of billions have been spent in the past six and a half months with no definitive conclusion.


10 posted on 09/15/2026 12:06:32 PM PDT by Miami Rebel (RE)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Yeah, I know who the CBO is. But if you believe the CBO, I’m sorry.

The CBO said Obamacare would pay for itself, with just one obvious example.

In fact, just to be clear, the CBO has said EVERY new Democrat handout for the last 50 years was budget neutral and the CBO has also said that every Republican tax cut for the past 50 years would DECREASE government revenue. Every one was a lie, and every one was known to be a lie when they told the lie.

But believe this one, cause, ya know.


11 posted on 09/15/2026 12:07:07 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man!)
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To: Carry_Okie

“By now we should be able to do better for a lot less.”

Were those missiles we’ve fired ineffectual because they were “old”?

And what cheaper, more effective replacements are in production?


12 posted on 09/15/2026 12:08:57 PM PDT by Miami Rebel (RE)
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To: Miami Rebel

By what evidence do you claim they were ineffectual?


13 posted on 09/15/2026 12:10:06 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man!)
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To: Miami Rebel

You’re not wrong. But if Kammie were in office we’d have spent the same amount on Learing Centers over the same period of time.

So have some perspective.


14 posted on 09/15/2026 12:11:20 PM PDT by Merrick (It's a car - that runs on water, man!)
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To: Merrick

The CBO director is a Republican appointed by President Trump in 2019.

If you don’t believe the CBOs numbers, feel free to cite other predictions.


15 posted on 09/15/2026 12:11:46 PM PDT by Miami Rebel (RE)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

If we surrender to Islam it would cost us less.


16 posted on 09/15/2026 12:12:34 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: Miami Rebel
Were those missiles we’ve fired ineffectual because they were “old”?

That's a matter of degree with regard to countermeasures depending upon the opponent. They are surely mostly effective against Iranian systems but the hit rate hasn't been great.

17 posted on 09/15/2026 12:12:44 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (Stupidity is an acquired trait, requiring many years of careful practice)
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To: MtnClimber
If we surrender to Islam it would cost us less.

Because the United States has infinite resources and we can engage in as many forever wars as we like and come out victorious!

Yay!

18 posted on 09/15/2026 12:14:34 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The right of Democrats to embezzle elections shall not be infringed. )
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To: Merrick

I was responding to the following post:

“Patriot missiles are 1980s technology. We’re using up old inventory in Iran.

“By now we should be able to do better for a lot less.”

My reading of that is that exhausting that ordinance is no big deal since better, cheaper weapons are coming online to replace them.


19 posted on 09/15/2026 12:14:52 PM PDT by Miami Rebel (RE)
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To: MtnClimber

We could ask the French to create a surrender plan for us.


20 posted on 09/15/2026 12:14:58 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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