Posted on 07/09/2026 6:12:26 AM PDT by MtnClimber
Advocates of generating electricity mostly with intermittent wind and sun, when challenged on how they would deal with a calm night, are always ready with the obvious answer: energy storage. Just get some batteries, store up excess power from the windy mid-days, discharge as needed, and everything will work out.
Unfortunately, the advocates never acknowledge that the problem of making an electrical grid work 24/7/365 with mostly wind and solar generation is much more difficult than just storing power from the day to discharge that night. Both wind and sun are subject to regular “droughts,” just like rain. There can be many consecutive days, or even weeks, of combined low wind and sun; let alone the entire winter has a lack of sun, and both summer and winter have less wind than spring and fall. Calculating how much energy storage will suffice to get through even a year of average wind/sun variability is a straightforward exercise, yielding an answer of as much as 1000 hours of average consumption. Meanwhile, naive politicians (those in New York being Exhibit A) regularly get duped into buying a few hours or tens of hours worth of batteries for grid backup, spending billions of dollars on amounts of storage that will be almost useless for backing up a primarily wind/sun grid.
I first wrote about this subject way back in 2018, and have had many follow-up pieces since. The conclusion of my pieces has been that to obtain sufficient battery storage to back up a primarily wind/sun grid using current lithium-ion battery technology, and even assuming best case future cost reductions and economies of scale, would cost the full GDP and more of any jurisdiction that makes the effort.
Well, who says you can only use lithium-ion technology? The massive Biden-era green energy handout statutes (e.g., the “Inflation Reduction Act”), together with green energy enthusiasm generally, have brought forth a gusher of entrepreneurialism looking for new, better and cheaper energy storage systems. Recent comments on some of my posts, as well as those of daughter Jane over at @janementonnyc on Instagram, have advocated for two new technologies of energy storage as the solution to the intermittency problem. Those two are flywheel batteries, and iron-air batteries. Could either of those really work?
As background to discussion of those two specifically, I suggest thinking about the model of the storage of drinking water. New York City stores water in a network of reservoirs located in upstate New York. The City’s water consumption is approximately 1 billion gallons per day. The storage capacity of the reservoirs is approximately 550 billion gallons, that is, approximately 550 days, or more than a year and a half of consumption. The amount stored in the reservoirs fluctuates over the course of a year, and generally drops over the summer and into the fall, but it rarely gets below about 70% of capacity, or about 380 billion gallons. And in years with serious droughts, the storage can fall below 50% of capacity, and even down to 40% of capacity. A storage level of under 40% of capacity has only happened once in my lifetime, which was about 60 years ago. In other words, most of the storage capacity is there to guard against a worst-case drought, and much of the water remains in storage for decades on end to guard against that event. Fortunately, a simple reservoir has the capability to do that.
An electrical grid without full dispatchable backup needs the same kind of storage capability. The fact that a group of generators can produce the same number of MWhs of energy in a year as the average amount demanded means little unless the energy can be matched minute by minute to the demand. To meet that criterion, a storage system must be able to store the energy from summer to winter, or from spring one year all the way to spring the next year. Preferably, there should be an ample balance stored for the long term to guard against a worst-case wind/sun drought that may occur only once a decade.
By the way, it is by no means clear that lithium-ion batteries have this level of capability. But for today, let’s consider the technologies advocated by our commenters, flywheel and iron-air.
Flywheel batteries. Flywheel batteries have lots of advantages. For example, they can discharge a very high percentage of the energy originally stored in them (90-95%), and can be charged and discharged potentially thousands or even tens of thousands of times without seriously degrading. Moreover, they can ramp up and down quickly to replace generation from intermittent sources; and they have spinning inertia, which wind and solar generators do not, and which is badly needed for grid stability.
But unfortunately flywheel batteries have very high rates of what is called “self-discharge,” that is, dissipation of the stored power over time. According to this source (something called Permanent Energy), many flywheel batteries lose as much as 12.5% per hour, and even the best ones lose about 5% per day. Other sources give me similar answers. In other words, energy stored in a flywheel battery will be long gone a month later, even if never called on. Flywheel batteries may have many uses, but for purposes of backing up the grid against any serious wind/sun drought, they are worthless. Oh, and they are expensive — currently costing in the range of $400/kWh, which is more even than lithium-ion batteries and translates to many trillions of dollars to buy amounts useful for full grid backup.
Iron-air batteries. This is a type of battery that uses only the simplest and most common of materials — iron and air. The process of storing and discharging energy takes place by repeatedly rusting and unrusting the iron. It turns out that you can store a lot of energy that way. It’s not subject to exploding or catching fire. And it’s cheap: proponents claim that they will be able to achieve a price of $20/kWh, which is a small fraction of the current price of lithium-ion batteries (~$300/kWh). So what could possibly be the problem?
Again, self-discharge is a killer. Current iron-air batteries lose about 2-5% of their stored charge per day. At that rate, all the stored charge will be gone in two months, if not one. Maybe the rate could be improved, but it would need to improve by multiple orders of magnitude to make these batteries even a little useful for large-scale grid backup against worst-case droughts.
And then there are a few other problems. Iron-air batteries can only return about 50% of the energy stored; the rest is lost. And they can only discharge about 1% of the stored energy per hour. That means that they are incapable of ramping up and down quickly to back up the intermittent wind and sun.
Now I’m not at all saying that these two sorts of batteries cannot be useful in certain applications. For example, flywheel batteries appear to be very useful to supplement diesel engines to operate heavy cranes. The cranes go for long periods at low energy, and then have a big surge in power demand when they suddenly lift a heavy load. Pairing a flywheel battery with the diesel engine can cut the size of the needed engine by as much as half.
But why anybody, let alone our commenters, thinks that these sorts of batteries are the answer to grid backup for wind/sun generation, I do not know. Maybe some day. Meanwhile, keep working on it. As I have said before, if someone figures out a battery technology that has the needed capability and is also cost-effective to make a grid work with wind/solar generation, I will be the first to applaud.
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Yep — keep it simple, plus a water tower is, well, a water tower in the ordinary sense too.
That’s the real plus — independence and self-determination. (That’s the thing the watermelon (green outside, red inside) net zero central planners hate.)
The first pumped-storage hydroelectric (pumped hydro) plant was built in 1907 (some sources cite 1909) in Switzerland.
It was the Engeweiher pumped storage facility near Schaffhausen, Switzerland. This early installation used separate pumps and turbines to store energy by pumping water to a higher reservoir during periods of low demand and releasing it to generate power when needed.
Pumped hydro remains the dominant form of grid-scale energy storage worldwide due to its reliability and capacity. Early European developments (especially in Switzerland, Italy, and Germany) led the way before wider adoption.
This battery’s “self-discharge” rate is the evaporation rate from the lake. It’s small (low surface area to volume ratio).
It’s stupid when we have thousands of years of natural gas in da Earf.
Now you know what smart meters are really for.
Not acknowledging this make the article moot.
AND, you are very careful with your consumption and watch it closely. Something almost everyone else does not and will not do.
Every person I personally know that have solar setups all are very conscious of what they use. It works in those situations.
How many would it require for a city of 50k, 100k, 500k or over a million? How much water would it require?
See #23 above. It shows more detail than I can give.
Far better than trying to use inefficient batteries to make up for the fickle generation of solar and wind would be using the new small scale nuclear plants. They can supply power as needed without the need for trying to store energy. The resources needed to build batteries able to power even a small city are enormous and the inherent power loss in battery storage makes them impractical.
Yes and no.
Yes in that I replaced my old AC and gas furnace with a variable speed heat pump, with heat strips for the times it gets too cold here (Alabama) for the heat pump. Yes in that I replaced my gas water heater with a hybrid one (built in heat pump that runs on only 380W). Yes in that I added insulation and closed gaps and such. And yes in that I had 2 charging circuits installed for the EV so that I could charge the EV to about 50% for local driving on rainy days with a constantly powered circuit (that circuit is always on, but not always free power), and if the EV is charged more than 50% switch it to the intermittent charging circuit (not always on, but always free power) to charge it all the way to 80% if the power is free. So yes, by those steps I have been careful with my consumption.
But no, I haven't been careful in my consumption if by that you assume that I have reduced my quality of life. We still keep the A/C set to whatever comfortable temp we want, still drive as much as we want (1,500 miles per month on home charged miles alone), and still get in the hot tub as much as we want, etc.
It's simply that doing all those things we used to do as much as we used to do and whenever we want to do doesn't consume as much energy as they used to. Combined with decentralized solar providing 80% of the power we consume, thus only 20% having to come from the grid, then our lifestyle doesn't pull nearly as much power from the grid as we used to (4,370 kWh pulled from the grid in all of year 2025, for an all-electric house and charging the EV for 18K miles). Even after converting virtually all of our energy consumption to electric (no more natural gas appliances, and doing almost all of our driving in our EV instead of our gas pickup) our power bills average only $77/month.
If I wasn't selling a little power to the grid, which nets me about $100/year after the extra fees I have to pay for the privilege of selling power to the grid, my power bills would be about $85/month average.
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Slight topic change: The notion of what's my business is my business, not the over regulated power utility's business.
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If I wasn't selling power to the grid, which I didn't do for the first 2 years of owning solar, the power utility wouldn't know that I had solar. For the first 2 years I had solar, I disabled my solar inverter(s) output feature -- I didn't put power onto the grid -- and I didn't tell them I had solar. What happened on my side of the meter was my business. As far as the utility was concerned, I was a normal power consumer like everyone else except that I consumed a lot less than most folks (as they saw it, since they see only what passes through the meter).
Three years ago I studied years worth of the telemetry of my inverters (imported it into a SQL database and queried the stew out of it) and decided it'd save me $8/month on avg to sell power to the grid (even after the extra fees I'd have to pay to be able to sell power). So I contacted the power utility, told them I had solar and signed up for a grid sell contract. Now that I put power onto the grid on the days I have excess power even after charging my battery stack, there's still the fact that what happens on my side of the meter is my business, not the grid's business. In other words, the utility has no clue how much power I consume (last year in 2025 I consumed 21,552 kWh). They only know when I pull power from the grid (4,370 kWh last year) and, now that I sell power to the grid, they know when I sell power (4,454 kWh last year).
Basically, if the left took over Alabama (or nationally to the Nth degree) and wanted to micro-manage how much life we get to enjoy through energy consumption, as far as they know I'm enjoying life only 20% as much as I really am (the 20% of my power I pull from the grid), because they don't see the rest of the power I consume that never has to go through the meter. Put another way, being 80% energy reliant not only saves me money, it hides 80% of my energy consumption lifestyle from the energy regulators.
Water storage plant in Ludington, MI.
Battery tech is crap.
how about....
you leave my appliances and heaters alone and the grid just be robust enough to handle the demand?
I like that option better.
That right there is 100% what i was talking about. Just by the process you described, it tells me that you are very careful.
I am in the electrical utility industry and 99% of all people don’t do anything like you described. They want to turn on the light switch, and have power. Period.
Day after day, day after day
We slept no breath nor motion.
As idle as a painted ship
Upon a painted ocean.
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