GOP holds edge in Senate swing-state races: New York Times polls

The Hill ^ | 7/01/26 | Julia Mueller

[Libloather]

Democrats are competitive in six key Senate battlegrounds, but Republicans still hold the edge in the fight for the upper chamber, according to new polling from The New York Times and Siena.

The New York Times/Siena Polls found Democrats leading the Senate races in North Carolina, where Democrat Roy Cooper is battling Republican Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), and in Maine, where progressive Graham Platner hopes to oust Sen. Susan Collins (R).

Cooper boasts the biggest lead among the six battlegrounds surveyed, with 50 percent to Whatley’s 43 percent. Platner, at 49 percent, was up 2 points over Collins.

Democrat James Talarico and state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) are tied at 47 percent each in Texas, where Democrats are relishing the fact that the controversial prosecutor got the GOP nod over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (R).

Democrats were competitive in three more states, but trailed Republicans by slim margins.

In Iowa, Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek is 2 points behind President Trump-backed Rep. Ashley Hinson (R) for retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R) seat, with 46 percent and 48 percent, respectively.

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TOPICS: Business/Economy; History; Local News; Society
KEYWORDS: polls; senate; state; swing

[Libloather]

The Maine nazi leads? First I've heard of it.

[july4thfreedomfoundation]

There was another poll in Maine that had Collins up 3 points.

Six years ago, Collins was behind 9 or 10 points at this point in time. She won by 9 or 10 points in November 2020.

[thegagline]

The Maine nazi leads? First I've heard of it.

[CaptainK]

The Times/Siena poll always tilts like the Leading Tower Pisa for the Dems.

Their final 2024 poll had Harris winning 5 of the 7 swing states.

[enumerated]

So, assuming there’s no cheating… /S