Posted on 03/11/2026 7:23:49 AM PDT by dennisw
Some rumored Windows 12 features could frustrate users and be the reason Linux finally starts looking better.
First off, the rumor about a 2026 release for Windows 12 is not true. Someone translated a German article about Windows 12 releasing in 2026, and it proved to be untrue (and was later retracted). Second, there are a lot of other "speculations" as to what Windows 12 will be like.
What could cause a large migration? I'm going to set the rumors aside, and instead, focus on what I believe will happen (based on the past, the present, and the future of technology). It's all about AI.
Microsoft is heavily invested in Copilot and has zero intention of backing down from its AI. Although many have claimed the rumors that Microsoft is planning on plunging Windows 12 deeper into artificial intelligence waters are false, I would argue that they are true.
Let me explain.
Also: The 6 Linux distros I expect to rule 2026 - as someone who's tested hundreds (and for decades)
AI started as third-party services that consumers could use. Those services then transformed into paid services. The paid services were soon replaced by free services, by way of various integrations. For example, the Opera browser gave us Aria, which we could all use for free. Google gave us Gemini. Apple gave us Apple Intelligence (sort of?), and Microsoft gave us Copilot.
AI then evolved into agentic AI, which could automate tasks like shopping, and that agentic AI started filtering into various browsers (some free, some not).
Then, AI started trickling its way into operating systems, with Copilot, Gemini, and Apple Intelligence becoming more and more deeply embedded. All of a sudden, AI was integrated into web browsers, email, notes, office suites, and more. What this meant is that user-facing apps were now intrinsically tied to AI.
The next evolution Here's where I think this goes with regard to Windows (ergo, Windows 12):
AI will take the place of Windows Service Manager, so users won't have to worry about managing services. AI will take control of software updates. AI will begin reading what's on users' screens (so it always has context for what users are asking). AI will be used for natural language system control (such as "I need to close the app that's consuming the most RAM"). AI will be capable of local processing (which will require even more powerful systems). AI will be able to monitor long-running tasks (such as research), and will be able to assist in that process. AI will be used for semantic search on the desktop. AI will be used for data collection. As you can see, I believe AI will be so deeply embedded in the next iteration of Windows that it will be impossible to break that tie. If you want an AI-less Windows, you'll be out of luck, and once Microsoft makes that change, there will be no going back.
At the same time, the Windows UI probably won't undergo much of a change, and it will most likely include even more ads and more data collection.
Also: I've used Windows for decades, but I tried Linux to see if it's truly 'easy' now - and one thing surprised me
When you put all of this together, it points to migration. Users are only willing to take so much before they finally break and change, and Windows 12 might be the metaphorical straw v. camel. And I believe that what we'll see with Windows 12 will make the migration from Windows 10 to Linux look quaint.
And then, you add to that the continued evolution of the Linux desktop into something that any user (of any skill level) can work with and enjoy (without all the caveats that come with Windows), and you have a perfect storm. Linux on the desktop will never:
Include ads. Be deeply interwoven with AI. Require users to purchase a new PC. Collect user information or track users' behavior. Cost a penny. Sounds appealing, right? Well, the combination of where Windows is going and where Linux is not going will have consumers flocking to the open-source operating system.
And there you have my take on the whole Windows 12/Linux debate.
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This may break the camels back for long-time users, with certain expectations and levels of comprehension.
MOST users just want what they want, without having to think about it. “Ease of use” and “it just works” is all they care about.
Most users don’t know that Linux exists. They will either switch to Apple, or use their phones for everything.
Nothing in there sounds like anything that will make people migrate. Most people don’t know anything about Windows services so whether they’re managed by the OS “dumbly” or AI won’t change anything for them. Software updates are now mostly automatic anyway, AI will hopefully just make that a little less interrupting. Running local will be good since one of the biggest complaints about AI is how much of your data it shoves on the internet. As for hardware requirements, people have gotten used to the new thing always needs new hardware. Linux users are always convinced “this time for sure” and yet Windows remains on top.
I’ve been using Linux for years, specifically Ubuntu, and have not looked back. Once I have opened my browser, email, or other applications, I don’t give any thought to the operating system. Install Linux on an old laptop and use it for a week - you’ll understand the lure of Linux.
> Eventually the gov will outlaw all other OS’s except the one they want you to have <
You might not be wrong. And it will all be in the name of combating “hate speech”. You know, the free speech that the Deep State had rather not hear.
11 is my breaking point.
I use Blue Iris for a network of cameras watching the ranch.
If Blue Iris would run on Linux, I’d switch right now.
When they try to force 12 on me, I’ll move my cameras to an NVR and switch all my computers over to Linux.
For me the ultimate question will be if Charles Schwab will support the Thinkorswim app on Linux (like TD Ameritrade did before Schwab took them over).
“Most users don’t know that Linux exists. They will either switch to Apple, or use their phones for everything.”
That’s true. AI will make computers easier for a hunk chunk of the masses.
However for people like me that use it for audio and video processing it would seem that AI in the operating system just gets in the way.
The user should be able to turn AI off. Best of both worlds. People that benefit from AI use it and those that don’t turn it off. But of course MS won’t do that.
How do you stop that discover updating nuisance
However, two updates, one last month, another appeared today.
Most annoying as I have limited data.
I have to go through each update to rid the garbage and disable the apps the update re-enabled.
I’ve never personally used Blue Iris, however I do use Frigate NVR. Depending on what features you need it may fit your needs as well.
Is an Android desktop becoming a possibility? Maybe soon.
https://www.talkandroid.com/517105-googles-android-pc-coming-2026/
Pick your poison: Microsoft or Google.
I just switched last computer over to Ubuntu, figured out how to do my business, instead of Quickbooks Pro I switched to manager.io and am using shippo for UPS shipping. all Works GREAT and NO WINBLOWS crapola anymore.
Copilot is the new Clippy?
Is there any sort of agreed-upon source that’s a good and full beginners tutorial for Linux? Are there any things that somebody migrating their should expect, such as inability to do certain things, or use certain common software?
Basically, how does it beginner start down that road?
I’m on Win 10 and already planning the switch.
“There’s always an Arquillian Battle Cruiser, or a new Windows release that is about to wipe out all life on this miserable little planet, and the only way these people can get on with their happy lives is that they DO NOT KNOW ABOUT IT!”
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