AI's 'jaw-dropping' prediction on who will win the 2028 US presidential election

Unilad ^ | 2/17/2026 | Niamh Shackleton

[simpson96]

A YouTuber has used Grok to predict how the upcoming 2028 US election will pan out in a detailed breakdown shared online, including the likely winner and which states they'll triumph in.

Grok is Elon Musk's artificial intelligence bot, which is commonly used on his social media platform Twitter (or X, as it's now known). (snip)

For the sake of the Grok results, the person behind the YouTube channel Election Time input Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, JB Pritzker, Cory Booker, and Tim Walz as potential candidates. (snip)

Looking at the Republican side of things, Vice President JD Vance is a clear frontrunner, with Donald Trump Jr. coming in second. Other potential Republican candidates listed were Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Robert Kennedy Jr., Nikki Haley, Ted Cruz, and Vivek Ramaswamy. (snip)

But, who wins, according to Grok?

Well, the AI bot's forecast ultimately gives JD Vance 326 electoral votes and Kamala Harris 212, meaning the US could face another four years of Republican rule.

Vance is actually predicted to get 14 more seats than Trump did in 2024, winning every state Trump won along with Minnesota and New Hampshire.

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TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: 2028election; ai; aipredicts; grok; jawdropping; jdvance

[MayflowerMadam]

Don Jr. can’t run.
RFJ Jr. isn’t a GOP.
Was cheating by RATs factored?

[maddog55]

A warm and fuzzy conclusion from an AI model whose predictive analysis sucks...like all AI predictive analysis.

GROK is ok one of the better ones but I’ve had some simple discussions with it with known results poised as unknowns and it’s predictive analysis was wrong on more than one occasion as are other AI conclusions.

Predicting what humans will do in the future isn’t something an algorithm can do. It’s an impossibility until time travel is solved and then what humans will do in the future can be manipulated but not controlled.

[albie]

“the US could face another four years of Republican rule.”

…oh. How. Awful. This. Is. Dreadful.

[poconopundit]

I agree. Sparkle Beach Newsome will be the Dem opponent.

[mmichaels1970]

If you can’t take the time to write it (I.e. you used AI) why would I take the time to read it. AI = didn’t read.

Actually, if you aren’t lazy, AI can make a nice writing tool. I’ve used it for tech documentation. If I have a query that returns 20 columns on a report, I can feed the query into ai and ask it to produce a word doc listing each column, how it’s calculated, and why it’s important. You can get a really nicely formatted doc.

Now the lazy writer blindly trusts the result and publishes it. A better writer proofreads every section, continuously provides feedback to improve the document, perhaps adds a human touch, and only publishes after everything has been reviewed.

Guess my point isn’t automatically to go to AI=DR, but you can spot blindly trusted documents pretty quick. AI isn’t all bad. Great tool if you use it right imho.

[Steven Tyler]

Well, the AI bot’s forecast ultimately gives JD Vance 326 electoral votes and Kamala Harris 212, meaning the US will be blessed with another four years of Republican rule.

Fixed the humans bias!

[Vaduz]

JD Vance and Marco Rubio would be a good deal both have good logic and reasoning skills and don’t suck up the the democrats.

[redinIllinois]

.

[Robert DeLong]

While I agree with you, the reality is that because of the Stupid Party's poorly written 14th Amendment, which was then followed by the Republican majority Supreme Court ruling on the interpretation of the 14th Amendment that ruled the 14th Amendment was referring to jus soli.

As a result, Vivek Ramasamy is not only a citizen, but a Natural Born Citizen, which makes him eligable to become President or Vice President. The same applies to Kamala Harris.

Here is the evidence:

Mother's citizenship: Geetha Ramaswamy became a U.S. citizen after Vivek was born in 1985. Multiple sources confirm she naturalized later, though the exact date is not specified.

Father's citizenship: V. Ganapathy Ramaswamy never became a U.S. citizen and has retained his Indian citizenship. Vivek has publicly stated that his father made a "choice" not to naturalize for "familial reasons" and still holds an Indian passport.

As a result, Vivek Ramaswamy acquired U.S. citizenship at birth solely through birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment, as he was born on U.S. soil to non-citizen parents.

That interpretation became what people now believe, was the U.S. Supreme Court determined that the 14th Amendment guarantees birthright citizenship to anyone born in the United States in the 1898 case United States v. Wong Kim Ark. The Supreme Court ruled 6–2 in favor of Wong Kim Ark on March 28, 1898. The majority opinion, written by Justice Horace Gray, held that a person born in the United States, even to non-citizen parents, becomes a U.S. citizen at birth if they are subject to the jurisdiction of the United States—meaning they are not children of foreign diplomats or in a temporary status. The Court interpreted the Citizenship Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment as being consistent with jus soli (citizenship by soil), affirming that birth within U.S. territory grants automatic citizenship regardless of race or parents' nationality.

How the Jusices voted:

Majority Opinion (6 justices 4 Republicans/2 Democrats):

Horace Gray - Republican (author)
David Josiah Brewer -Republican
Henry Billings Brown - Republican
George Shiras Jr. - Republican
Edward Douglass White - Democrat
Rufus Wheeler Peckham - Democrat

Dissenting Opinion (2 justices 1 Republican / 1 Democrrat):

Melville Weston Fuller - Democrat (author)
John Marshall Harlan - Republican

Not Voting (1 justice Republican):

Justice Joseph McKenna - Republican, did not participate in the decision, as he joined the Court after oral arguments.

The ruling reinforced that birthright citizenship is a constitutional right, not a privilege subject to congressional change, and has been reaffirmed by lower courts and federal statutes, including the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1952.

Like both of you, I was taught that only those born in the U.S. to parents who were citizens, are considered as NBC eligible to become President & Vice President.

I also believe that the Supreme Court decision, was a misinterpretation of the 14th Amendmemt that was written to make citizens of the freed slaves who were born in this nation, which would have been at that time, the living slave population, and became codified as being Constitution Law in 1868. That 30 years after the fact the misinterpretation ruling of the 1898 interpretation by the Supreme Court ruling of U.S. v. Wong Kim Ark.

The problem is, as I see it, the only way is to put forth a new Amendment that reverses that Supreme Court ruling that codified jus soli as being what the 14th Amendment was referring to, and not limited to just the former slaves that were born in this nation, as it was intended to be in reality.

Would that Amendment actually be ratified in today's national reality?

[The Sons of Liberty]

Stupid to list Ramaswamy, who is not a citizen.

Didn't stop Baraq Hussein 0bama.

[South Dakota]

My understanding of Ark is that his parents were here legally so Gray could find him as a citizen but not a natural born citizen

[Robert DeLong]

Well, when the Supreme Court ruled that those born here were NBC, he may not have been included in that ruiling, but all those after him were granted the NBC classification. Absolutely risdulous, and more Republican stupidity, I might add.