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Here are some facts:
X ^ | 02/11/2026 | Dan Friedman

Posted on 02/11/2026 5:15:20 AM PST by SmokingJoe

Here are some facts:

1. A small number of people commit a wildly disproportionate amount of crime, about 1% commit most crime and 3 to 5 percent commit ALL crime.

2. Offenders who commit major crimes also commit constant public order infractions, so policing public order incapacitates serious criminals.

The guy who gropes women on the train or mugs people probably didn’t swipe his credit card to get through the turnstile.

3. Nearly all the people killed in controversial “Black Lives Matter” incidents belonged to the tiny subset of recidivist criminals. Jordan Neely and George Floyd are both examples of this kind of person, and both should have been in prison.

4. Depolicing public order crimes to protect habitual offenders from police interactions and incarceration costs a lot of lives, like that of Iryna Zarutska.

(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: ajntsa; crime
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To: SmokingJoe
I am convinced that the primary reason for the otherwise inexplicable and absurd demands to “defund the police”, as well as the relentless efforts by leftist DAs to refrain from charging serious criminals, or to release them instantly once arrested, is to distort the crime statistics. And the reason for that?: To obscure the fact that black criminals account for an extraordinarily high proportion of crime, particularly violent crime.

Crime statistics have always been the bane of the fruit-loopy bleeding heart leftist who wanted to pretend that no demographic groups are any more likely to commit crime than any other. Try as they might to gaslight, those crime stats constantly proved the lie of their claims. So, I think the leftist powers that be decided that if crime stats keep spoiling their agenda by revealing the truth, then they would just stop arresting, charging, and incarcerating black criminals. No arrest, conviction, or incarceration equals a big drop in black crime, at least as far as the “new” crime stats are concerned. Then, they run to the compliant media with these new stats to crow about how not only is crime overall allegedly “down”, but that black Americans are no more likely than anyone else to commit crime. Problem solved, as far as the deceitful leftist is concerned.

21 posted on 02/11/2026 5:46:57 AM PST by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
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To: noiseman

I am convinced that the primary reason for the otherwise inexplicable and absurd demands to “defund the police”, as well as the relentless efforts by leftist DAs to refrain from charging serious criminals, or to release them instantly once arrested, is to distort the crime statistics. And the reason for that?: To obscure the fact that black criminals account for an extraordinarily high proportion of crime, particularly violent crime.


It’s about having National Police, answerable solely to Washington DC.


22 posted on 02/11/2026 5:50:36 AM PST by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: SmokingJoe

“...A small number of people commit a wildly disproportionate amount of crime...”

FACT: And nearly ALL of them are democrats. /spit


23 posted on 02/11/2026 5:54:47 AM PST by Flavious_Maximus (Tony Fauci will be put on death row and die of COVID!)
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To: TheThirdRuffian; ComputerGuy; Leaning Right; b4me; aquila48; albie; TexasFreeper2009; ...
Just a ping to the post above... Here is the one graphic that lays the groundwork for EVERYTHING that follows:

So just look at that graphic above. Look at it.

Think about it. Imagine a society where only 100 people live. Think of a plane crash, and 100 people survive in some place cut off from the world.

In that secluded society of 100 survivors, at MOST, SIX people commit nearly HALF the violent crime. The murders. The rapes. Beating people up. Robbing them of their food or belongings. Six people rampaging through this small community. Imagine in a normal world, if you lived in a community and six people commit half the violent crime...what would happen? Likely, those six people would be banished...if they made it out of town. Especially after committing violence against someone who is well known or loved by someone.

What makes this far, FAR more startling is that of the six out of 100 men...it isn't actually all of them. It is only one third of them or TWO people out of that 100 people in that society (according to a study by a very Leftist organization that probably wants that number inflated...so for the sake of balance, let's say it is only ONE out of every six black males who have a felony criminal record.)

So, according to the graph above, it is only at most about two or three people out of that fictional 100 person population that cause 46% of all violent crime as described above. And it is more likely only one or two percent of that population.

This is not meant to denigrate blacks in our society, because even though one or two of that fictional 100 people are committing the majority of the violent crime, the other nine or ten of those black people are living their lives within the boundaries of the law, working for a living, paying taxes, attending church, and raising a family. Those people are not the problem. it is that subset of one or two of them.

24 posted on 02/11/2026 5:57:24 AM PST by rlmorel (Factio Communistica Sinensis Delenda Est)
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To: SmokingJoe

It is an exercise in futility to try to explain the basic facts of criminal activity to the sheeple. They shall never believe it anyway, so long as their personal circumstances are not greatly disturbed. Oh, they may comprehend dimly that something is not right, but they muddle through, quickly forgetting the urgency and significance.

“Don’t bother me with your statistics, my mind is made up!”


25 posted on 02/11/2026 5:58:43 AM PST by alloysteel (Coming in high, hot, blind, dead-stick, wheels up, outta gas, and the glide angle of a brick....)
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To: rlmorel

The study does not indicate whether the crimes are repeated by the same person. IOW if you had a 100 black males and 16 assaults were committed by black males, it would be significant if those assaults were carried out by only 6 black males.


26 posted on 02/11/2026 6:03:58 AM PST by AppyPappy (They don't call you a Nazi because they think you are one. They do it to justify violence. )
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To: AppyPappy

Good point-the statistics stored in the database do not allow that kind of information to be extracted (for obvious reasons)...but it does point directly to exactly what you said.

If only 2-3% of the population at most is committing nearly half the violent crime, then by necessity, it HAS to be the same people committing crimes over and over again.


27 posted on 02/11/2026 6:09:54 AM PST by rlmorel (Factio Communistica Sinensis Delenda Est)
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To: alloysteel

Many people today, because society has been so effective at protecting against evil, now have no concept or can even comprehend the possibility that a person would intend to cause real harm or destruction.

That is a curse of western society and a failure of education, because education should have filled the gap of experience teaching that such a thing is still real.

Now many are nothing more than sheep walking eagerly into their own destruction, blissfully thinking it is compassion, ignoring the atrocities committed against their fellow neighbors.


28 posted on 02/11/2026 6:11:21 AM PST by Skwor
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To: SmokingJoe

Might be true as to violent crime, but a huge percent of the black community do not accept that shoplifting, EBT and SNAP misrepresentations, ADC and Section 8 misstatements are crimes. Federal tax reporting as to earned income and child and dependent credits are crimes. When I had a Project Based Section 8 facility close to 100% of black applicants lied on their applications.


29 posted on 02/11/2026 6:13:20 AM PST by anton
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To: rlmorel

It is not rationale to think this statistic can support the idea of people “taking turns” committing the crimes such that everyone eventually does it, it is reasonably inferred it is a specific set of individuals repeating illegal activity.


30 posted on 02/11/2026 6:14:42 AM PST by Skwor
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To: rlmorel

31 posted on 02/11/2026 6:16:25 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (No American Blood for censorious socialist islamophiles!)
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To: Leaning Right

Here’s one thing (among many) that liberals just don’t get. It’s expensive to incarcerate career criminals. But those folks do a lot of damage. So it’s more expensive to let them run free.


Two data points is confusing to them. And they for sure don’t understand systems with many data points.


32 posted on 02/11/2026 6:17:05 AM PST by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere)
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To: Leaning Right
Minor criminals can be dealt with so major criminals can be locked up longer.

The word "cangue" is French, from the Portuguese "canga" ... Frequently translated as pillory, it was similar to that European punishment except that the movement of the prisoner's hands was not as rigorously restricted and that the board of the cangue was not fixed to a base and had to be carried around by the prisoner.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cangue

One might use steel plates welded together. The welds might be photographed to verify it wasn't removed and only replaced shortly before scheduled removal.

***********************************************************

"A type of shackle, the ball and chain is designed so that the weight of the iron ball at the end of the short chain restricts and limits the pace at which its wearer is able to move, making any attempt at escape much more difficult. The weight of the ball would typically be determined by the court, typically ranging from five to twenty-five pounds (2.27-11.34 kg)."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ball_and_chain

"This ball and chain leg-iron weighs 36 pounds (16.3 kilograms) and was designed to make movement extremely difficult and escape virtually impossible."

"Leg-irons were made by convict blacksmiths at Sydney’s lumberyard after those sent from England proved to be inferior and easily slipped off. Irons were affixed to and struck off convicts’ ankles by the blacksmiths."

https://mhnsw.au/stories/convict-sydney/ball-and-chain/

33 posted on 02/11/2026 6:19:57 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: rlmorel

FBI Statistics, as interpreted by Grok:

Convictions:

Violent Crime: 2.6 Black / 1.0 White

Murder: 6.4 Black / 1.0 White

Robbery: 7.1 Black / 1.0 White

Aggravated Assault: 2.1 Black / 1.0 White


34 posted on 02/11/2026 6:21:12 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (No American Blood for censorious socialist islamophiles!)
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To: A_perfect_lady

“I don’t know if his stats are proven, but I have to say, they ring true.”

The claims ring true with me also.


35 posted on 02/11/2026 6:22:49 AM PST by ChessExpert (Infidels of the world unite against the evil that is Islam.)
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To: SmokingJoe

I have also proposed penalty time rooms.

Minor criminals might have to spend 100 hours in a room in 30 days or one day in jail for every 4 hours short.


36 posted on 02/11/2026 6:23:43 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: SmokingJoe; All
Anyone who grew up in a middle class community has known this all his life.

A cousin of mine who grew up in a much more privileged environment that I did, decided to correct me on my 'observations' about US minorities. I shrugged it off.

On graduating HS, his mom gave him a big fancy grad party in their big fancy yard. Some 'minorities' rode by on their bikes and decided to attend, uninvited.

BTW, their family is very Liberal! 😉

He was INCENSED! How could they do that???!! He couldn't escort the out quick enough!

37 posted on 02/11/2026 6:25:35 AM PST by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: SmokingJoe

LOWER COST CRIMINAL JUSTICE

Accused persons would be given a court date, and for non-violent crimes the alternative choice of avoiding trial by serving time in a penalty time room. The arresting officer would set the number of penalty time hours based state guidelines. The magistrate may change the number of hours upon the request of the accused. To encourage serving time, the hours served in the first week would receive a 100% bonus, going down 20% by week. The penalty time room system would allow accused persons to maintain employment and would allow governments to avoid paying for defense counsel and jail room & board.

Non-violent crimes such as shoplifting might be punished by strapping substantial and visually obvious weights on convicted persons.

Criminal trials would normally start in the afternoon to allow most defendants to affordably hire defense counsel for merely one day.


38 posted on 02/11/2026 6:26:58 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: Skwor; SmokingJoe

I agree, it absolutely isn’t “taking turns”.

These statistics support ‘broken glass” policing. And empirically, that works. And works well.


39 posted on 02/11/2026 6:32:06 AM PST by rlmorel (Factio Communistica Sinensis Delenda Est)
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To: SmokingJoe

40 posted on 02/11/2026 6:34:40 AM PST by DCBryan1 (Inter arma enim silent leges! - Cicero )
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