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November private payrolls unexpectedly fell by 32,000, led by steep small business job cuts, ADP reports
CNBC ^

Posted on 12/03/2025 6:22:06 AM PST by bigdaddy45

The U.S. labor market slowdown intensified in November as private companies cut 32,000 workers, with small businesses hit the hardest, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday.

With worries intensifying over the domestic jobs picture, ADP indicated the issues were worse than anticipated. The payrolls decline marked a sharp step down from October, which saw an upwardly revised gain of 47,000 positions, and was well below the Dow Jones consensus estimate from economists for an increase of 40,000.

Larger businesses, entailing companies with 50 or more employees, actually reported a net gain of 90,000 workers.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: somuchwinning
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1 posted on 12/03/2025 6:22:06 AM PST by bigdaddy45
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To: bigdaddy45

ripple effect of shut down?


2 posted on 12/03/2025 6:24:08 AM PST by sopo
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To: bigdaddy45

are ngo’s included in this?


3 posted on 12/03/2025 6:25:28 AM PST by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere)
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To: bigdaddy45

October - GAINED a revised 47,000 workers in all sectors.

November GAINED 90,000 workers in all sectors.

What am I missing? Oh, I see. This is BS from CNBC. Got it!


4 posted on 12/03/2025 6:26:13 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: sopo

Absolutely. ADP uses a snapshot. Anyone laid off at a given date in November is “out of work.” And so many support jobs are dependent on govt workers. You’ve got 4 million people on govt contracts. Most will be unaffected by the shutdown, but 32,000 is less than 1%.


5 posted on 12/03/2025 6:27:54 AM PST by dangus
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To: bigdaddy45

CNBC specializes in shadow-bannigng obvious stuff. Yesterday, failed to acknowledge departure of 2 million illegals while reporting rise in apartment vacancies, today doesn’t mention 44 day government shut down


6 posted on 12/03/2025 6:27:57 AM PST by sopo
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To: PeterPrinciple

and business dependent on ngo’s and govt regulations.


7 posted on 12/03/2025 6:32:49 AM PST by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere)
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To: bigdaddy45

“32,000?”

I kept looking for a multiplier, or an indication of a limited geographic area, like the state of New Jersey.

What other instance of a relatively meager blip of 32k jobs NATIONWIDE would warrant this kind of attention under any other administration?


8 posted on 12/03/2025 6:46:08 AM PST by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left)
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To: bigdaddy45

Larger businesses, entailing companies with 50 or more employees, actually reported a net gain of 90,000 workers.


here the reference is net gain. big bad business.

net not referenced in other info so very suspicious.

I would rather see more small business but the type of small business is very important. small business built on die and govt regulation, not so much.

Remember, EVERYTHING you read is fake news until proven otherwise.


9 posted on 12/03/2025 6:52:06 AM PST by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued, but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere)
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To: bigdaddy45

With all these job cuts, what the hell are we going to do with all of Joe Pedo’s 20 million illegal alien freeloaders? Fed them with SNAPPER ratiions?


10 posted on 12/03/2025 7:05:32 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Freedom isn't Free. Socialism isn't free either.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

ADP is actually one of the data points people should pay attention to.

It is a true, raw data metric. It’s not a survey and it’s not a guess. It’s how many people are getting paid. There is not a clearer or more simple measure out there.

CNBC is just the deliverer of the news.


11 posted on 12/03/2025 7:19:50 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: bigdaddy45; All

The choice is between more jobs and continued stubborn inflation or less jobs and stagnant or lower inflation.

Which way would you go if you were on the FED?


12 posted on 12/03/2025 7:41:28 AM PST by SaxxonWoods (Annnd....TRUMP IS RIGHT AGAIN.)
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To: bigdaddy45

Is there any possibility that some of these small businesses were losing illegal alien employees?


13 posted on 12/03/2025 7:58:42 AM PST by Cincinnatus.45-70 (What do DemocRats enjoy more than a truckload of dead babies? Unloading them with a pitchfork!)
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To: bigdaddy45

ADP is always wrong- i mean always...when they forecast a big gain in jobs, the DOL shows the opposite...when they post grim news, the DOL posts the opposite...


14 posted on 12/03/2025 8:03:15 AM PST by God luvs America
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To: God luvs America

I guess that depends on who you consider the “honest broker”. If you think the BLS is the “truth”, I would suggest that you reconsider.

ADP is a summation of actual data. BLS’s numbers are estimates and a survey. Both of which are extremely flawed. They are revised in wild swings.


15 posted on 12/03/2025 8:08:08 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

“November GAINED 90,000 workers in all sectors. What am I missing?”

There are two numbers, large business which added 90k, and small business which cut 120k, so add those together and you get an overall job loss of 30k across all sectors.


16 posted on 12/03/2025 8:35:31 AM PST by Wayne07
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To: Vermont Lt

Agree- how the country was creating 200,000 or 250,000 or 300,000 jobs month after month always seemed suspect to me.


17 posted on 12/03/2025 9:19:27 AM PST by God luvs America
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To: bigdaddy45

With AI, it’s only going to get worse.


18 posted on 12/03/2025 11:30:36 AM PST by roving
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To: God luvs America

ADP doesn’t forecast anything.


19 posted on 12/03/2025 12:20:47 PM PST by lasereye
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