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“Catastrophic Consequences”: Scientists Warn of Abrupt, Irreversible Antarctic Collapse
Scitech Daily ^ | October 22, 2025 | Australian National University

Posted on 10/22/2025 7:38:07 AM PDT by Red Badger

New research reveals that Antarctica is undergoing a series of rapid, interconnected shifts that could soon reshape the planet’s climate and oceans. Scientists warn these changes may already be pushing critical systems beyond recovery. Credit: Stock Antarctica’s ice, ocean, and ecosystems are approaching tipping points that could trigger irreversible global impacts.

Antarctica faces the growing threat of sudden and possibly irreversible transformations to its ice, oceans, and ecosystems, changes that could carry serious global consequences unless greenhouse gas emissions are rapidly reduced.

This warning comes from new research published in Nature by scientists from the Australian National University (ANU) and the University of New South Wales (UNSW), working alongside experts from Australia’s leading Antarctic research centers.

The study highlights that the sweeping changes already underway across the continent are “interlinked,” creating added stress on Earth’s climate systems, rising sea levels, and fragile ecosystems.

Researchers caution that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is in particular danger as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations climb. If the WAIS were to collapse, global sea levels could rise by more than three meters, endangering millions who live in coastal cities and low-lying regions around the world.

According to the study’s lead author Dr. Nerilie Abram, who is the Chief Scientist at the Australian Antarctic Division (AAD), such a collapse would result in “catastrophic consequences for generations to come.”

Rapid and Interconnected Change

“Rapid change has already been detected across Antarctica’s ice, oceans and ecosystems, and this is set to worsen with every fraction of a degree of global warming,” said Dr. Abram, who carried out this work during her time as Professor of Climate Science at ANU.

“The loss of Antarctic sea ice is another abrupt change that has a whole range of knock-on effects, including making the floating ice shelves around Antarctica more susceptible to wave-driven collapse. The decline in Antarctic sea ice and the slowdown of deep circulation in the Southern Ocean are showing worrying signs of being more susceptible to a warming climate than previously thought.

“As sea ice is lost from the ocean surface, it is also changing the amount of solar heat being retained in the climate system, and that is expected to worsen warming in the Antarctic region.

“Other changes to the continent could soon become unstoppable, including the loss of Antarctic ice shelves and vulnerable parts of the Antarctic ice sheet that they hold behind them.”

Consequences for Australia

Study co-author Professor Matthew England, from UNSW and the ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS), said abrupt changes to Antarctica’s climate and ecosystems could have severe consequences for Australia.

“Consequences for Australia include rising sea levels that will impact our coastal communities, a warmer and deoxygenated Southern Ocean being less able to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, leading to more intense warming in Australia and beyond, and increased regional warming from Antarctic sea ice loss,” Professor England said.

Changes to the Antarctic environment could also have devastating consequences on the region’s wildlife and ocean ecosystems.

“The loss of Antarctic sea ice brings heightened extinction risk for emperor penguins, whose chicks depend on a stable sea ice habitat prior to growing their waterproof feathers,” Professor England said.

“The loss of entire colonies of chicks has been seen right around the Antarctic coast because of early sea ice breakout events, and some colonies have experienced multiple breeding failure events over the last decade.”

According to the researchers, the adult survival or breeding capacity of krill and a number of other penguin and seal species are also at risk, while keystone phytoplankton species are becoming increasingly affected by ocean warming and acidification.

The Collapse of Ocean Circulation

“Another potential risk is a collapse in the Antarctic overturning circulation, which would mean vital nutrients remain at the seafloor, instead of being recirculated back to the surface where biological systems, including marine animals, depend on them,” Professor England said.

Dr. Abram said it was clear existing efforts through the Antarctic Treaty System to reduce pressures on Antarctic ecosystems won’t be enough on their own.

“While critically important, these measures will not help to avoid climate-related impacts that are already beginning to unfold,” she said.

“The only way to avoid further abrupt changes and their far-reaching impacts is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions fast enough to limit global warming to as close to 1.5 degrees Celsius as possible.

“Governments, businesses and communities will need to factor in these abrupt Antarctic changes that are being observed now into future planning for climate change impacts, including in Australia.”

Reference:

"Emerging evidence of abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment”

by Nerilie J. Abram, Ariaan Purich, Matthew H. England, Felicity S. McCormack, Jan M. Strugnell, Dana M. Bergstrom, Tessa R. Vance, Tobias Stål, Barbara Wienecke, Petra Heil, Edward W. Doddridge, Jean-Baptiste Sallée, Thomas J. Williams, Anya M. Reading, Andrew Mackintosh, Ronja Reese, Ricarda Winkelmann, Ann Kristin Klose, Philip W. Boyd, Steven L. Chown and Sharon A. Robinson, 20 August 2025, Nature.

DOI: 10.1038/s41586-025-09349-5

Funding:

Australian Research Council, International Space Science Institute, Swiss Federal Research Fellowship


TOPICS: History; Outdoors; Religion; Weather
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WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!.........................Again...............
1 posted on 10/22/2025 7:38:07 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Here we go again……….


2 posted on 10/22/2025 7:41:20 AM PDT by hillarys cankles
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To: Red Badger

OH NOOOOOO! The u.n. was right! NOT!


3 posted on 10/22/2025 7:41:38 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? On hold! Enlisted USN 1967 proudly. 🚫💉! 🇮🇱🙏! Winning currently!)
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To: Red Badger

Paging Al Gore.


4 posted on 10/22/2025 7:41:59 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: Red Badger

The climate has changed. The climate is changing. The climate will change. And there’s nothing we can do about it.


5 posted on 10/22/2025 7:42:40 AM PDT by Flag_This (They're lying.)
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To: Red Badger

https://sdgs.un.org/goals


6 posted on 10/22/2025 7:43:23 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: Red Badger

“could” stopped reading right there.


7 posted on 10/22/2025 7:43:25 AM PDT by READINABLUESTATE (‘Never trust a man whose uncle was eaten by cannibals’)
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To: Flag_This

I live next to the ocean. It’s the same place it’s been my 55 years this morning.


8 posted on 10/22/2025 7:44:01 AM PDT by enduserindy
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To: Red Badger

Relax, it’s just the pope smoking dope again;-)


9 posted on 10/22/2025 7:44:28 AM PDT by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US;-))
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To: PGalt
(GORZILLA ROARRRRRRR!!!!!)


10 posted on 10/22/2025 7:45:21 AM PDT by Frank Drebin (And don't ever let me catch you guys in America!)
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To: Red Badger

Alternate headline

“Scientists warn they are running out of money for their gravy train jobs.”


11 posted on 10/22/2025 7:47:11 AM PDT by Skwor
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To: Red Badger

As a 62 year old dude, this is the first I’ve ever heard of this!

No... Wait. I was 10.


12 posted on 10/22/2025 7:47:48 AM PDT by LittleBillyInfidel (This tagline has been formatted to fit the screen. Some content has been edited.)
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To: Red Badger

Too late to buy an EV?


13 posted on 10/22/2025 7:48:33 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Annnd....TRUMP IS RIGHT AGAIN.)
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To: Frank Drebin

Classic. Thanks.


14 posted on 10/22/2025 7:49:08 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: Red Badger

🥱


15 posted on 10/22/2025 7:49:41 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (It's hard not to celebrate the fall of bad people. - Bongino)
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To: Skwor

16 posted on 10/22/2025 7:52:30 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: enduserindy

Me too. Only thing that’s happened is it changed names, from Gulf of Mexico to Gulf of America.............


17 posted on 10/22/2025 7:53:39 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

So AOC was right?


18 posted on 10/22/2025 7:53:41 AM PDT by bigbob (We are all Charlie Kirk now)
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To: Red Badger

Fake Scientists going on unemployment ,LOL


19 posted on 10/22/2025 7:54:26 AM PDT by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: LittleBillyInfidel

We were taught that an New Ice Age was coming...............


20 posted on 10/22/2025 7:56:06 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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