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Russia Expels Ukraine/EU Vanguard from Kursk
Armstrong Economics ^ | 30 Apr 25 | Martin Arm

Posted on 04/30/2025 6:34:13 AM PDT by delta7

Russia has finally ejected all Ukrainian troops from the Kursk region who invaded on orders of NATO/EU last August 6th, ending the most significant incursion into Russian territory since World War II. This has certainly removed Kursk as a pawn in peace negotiations, which Zelensky refused to accept when he met at the White House in a desperate effort to embarrass Trump into keeping the funding for Ukraine’s war against Russia.

Reuters reported that Zelensky said the world did not want to wait until May 8 for Putin’s announced ceasefire in the more than three-year-old war, only for it to be in effect for a few days. “For some reason, everyone is supposed to wait for May 8 and only then have a cease-fire to ensure calm for Putin during the parade,” Zelensky said in his nightly video address. Zelensky got his marching orders from NATO to reject any peace deal with Trump and he has officially declared he will NOT honor Putin’s ceasefire for the World War II Victory Parade.

ECM cycle chart

Yet in that same address to Ukraine, he hinted at an attack in Moscow on the Victory Day Parade. He said that his Ukrainian generals were choosing “Russia’s pain points.” And then he makes a frank allusion to the attack on Red Square on May 9th. Now they are worried that their parade is in question, and they are right to worry. But we must worry that this war continues. They must end the war, Zelensky declared.

We definitely see volatility rising the week of May 5th and from the week of May 12th into the end of the month remain as key targets. Our computer has warned that Ukraine would NEVER win this war with Russia, and NATO has played them for fools, sacrificing them to reduce the military strength of Russia so they can move in for the kill.

Boris Johnson flew to Kiev 3 days before the signing of the rare minerals deal was supposed to take place in Kiev. Johnson told Zelensky to go to the White House to try to embarrass Trump into funding the war. Zelensky refused a ceasefire, claiming that the Ukrainian people did not want one. That is not what I have heard from sources in Ukraine. Now Zelensky suddenly claims that, after his troops lost in Kursk, the world does not want to wait until May 8th for a ceasefire because he is losing? “It’s amazing what comes out through emotion, and I have determined that President Zelenskyy [sic] is not ready for Peace if America is involved.” Trump wrote on Truth Social. Zelensky knows nothing about war and has been a Neocon plant to order Ukraine to fight to the last Ukrainian. His arrogance has cost over 1 million lives among Ukrainians, and over 8 million have fled to Europe, and most will never return.

The day after Moscow announced the completion of the Kursk operation, President Vladimir Putin declared a unilateral three-day ceasefire to mark the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s and its allies’ victory in World War II, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov emphasized that international recognition of Crimea, the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics, as well as the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions as part of Russia, is a non-negotiable condition for any settlement. There was the Minsk Agreement that Europe signed in bad faith, only to allow Ukraine time to raise an army. They now have 1.1 million dead Ukrainians’ blood on their hands, and they do not have a problem sleeping at night.

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made it clear on Monday, April 28, that Moscow would accept nothing less than a total victory. Lavrov insisted that the Russian Federation will not negotiate unless Ukraine recognizes that the original regions that were supposed to be allowed to separate under the Minsk Agreement after a vote, including Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia, now belong to Russia. “The international recognition of Crimea, Sevastopol, Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions as part of Russia is an imperative,” Lavrov said, emphasizing that Ukraine must legally acknowledge these regions as Russian territory. This seems to be reasonable after the false negotiations by Europe over the Minsk Agreement. But Russia must now realize that Europe cannot be trusted, and any peace deal would NEVER mean that there will still not be war after Europe builds its European army.

NATO’s INVOLVEMENT IN UKRAINE

NATO conducted military exercises in Ukraine between 2000 and 2010 in advance of the start of the civil war as part of its partnership programs aimed at enhancing cooperation and interoperability with non-member states. Key exercises and initiatives during this period include:

1. Partnership for Peace (PfP) Program

Ukraine joined NATO’s PfP program in 1994, which facilitated joint training and exercises. These activities continued into the 2000s, focusing on peacekeeping, disaster response, and military interoperability.

2. Exercise Sea Breeze

An annual naval exercise co-hosted by the U.S. and Ukraine in the Black Sea since 1997.

Conducted throughout the 2000–2010 period, involving NATO allies and regional partners to enhance maritime security and coordination.

3. Exercise Rapid Trident

A land-based exercise focused on peacekeeping and interoperability.

While later iterations became more prominent post-2010, initial drills began in the mid-2000s as part of the PfP framework.

4. Exercise Cooperative Partner

Air force exercises aimed at improving compatibility with NATO standards.

Held in Ukraine during the mid-2000s, involving aerial maneuvers and joint training.

5. NATO-Ukraine Action Plan (2002)

This formalized deeper cooperation, leading to increased joint exercises and defense reforms in Ukraine.

Exercises often emphasized peacekeeping, counterterrorism, and crisis management.

6. Annual National Program (ANP)

Under the NATO-Ukraine Commission (established 1997), Ukraine implemented defense reforms and hosted NATO-linked training events.

These exercises were part of NATO’s broader effort to build trust and capability with Ukraine, though full membership was not on the table at the time. The 2008 Bucharest Summit later affirmed Ukraine’s eventual NATO membership prospects. In summary, NATO-Ukraine military exercises during this decade were regular and multifaceted, reinforcing Ukraine’s gradual alignment with Western defense structures in preparation for war with Russia.….more…


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: botched2022treaty; kursk; rundstedtoffensive; russia; ukrainewinsagain; war; yourtaxdollarsatwork; zeepershasthesads; zeepersindespair; zelvisvictoryparade

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An interesting Socrates ECM chart on Ukraine is posted.
1 posted on 04/30/2025 6:34:13 AM PDT by delta7
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To: delta7

IBTG


2 posted on 04/30/2025 6:34:59 AM PDT by kiryandil (No one in AZ that voted for Trump voted for Gallego )
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To: delta7
This has certainly removed Kursk as a pawn in peace negotiations

Idiots invade Russia and think the territory they think they hold is a pawn. Clueless twits don't understand that they made themselves the pawn. The lucky ones got out alive. it's and old old old Mongol tactic. Western Generals were fools...but we knew that already.

3 posted on 04/30/2025 6:42:57 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: delta7

the USA and Russia have one major thing in common

they are BOTH at war with EU globalists and neo-marxists.


4 posted on 04/30/2025 6:43:17 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: kiryandil

IBTG
————-
The TxGator has been noticeably absent for some days…he does have a history here of being banned/ suspended….he hasn’t “ Fetched” any of my recent posts…


5 posted on 04/30/2025 6:54:48 AM PDT by delta7
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To: delta7

“Yet in that same address to Ukraine, he hinted at an attack in Moscow on the Victory Day Parade”

Symbolic attack with no military value that would be done only to anger Russia. Classic Ukrainian stupidity if done, but hopefully an empty threat.


6 posted on 04/30/2025 6:57:08 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The road is a dangerous place man, you can die out here...or worse. -Johnny Paycheck, 1980, Reno, NV)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Do not underestimate the rabid stupidity of the Banderit regime in Kiev.


7 posted on 04/30/2025 7:14:52 AM PDT by crz
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To: delta7
Zelenskyy [sic]

Memo it Martin Armstrong:

The correct spelling of the Ukrainian president's last name is Зеленський in Cyrillic script. When transliterated into English, it can be spelled as Zelenskyy, Zelenskiy, or Zelensky, with Zelenskyy being the most commonly used form. The variation in spelling is due to the different ways the Ukrainian alphabet can be represented in the Latin script, reflecting the pronunciation of the name. AI-generated answer. Please verify critical facts.

8 posted on 04/30/2025 7:29:46 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: SaxxonWoods
Zelensky is trying to provoke Russia to create a crisis in Ukraine that widens the war and draws the US and EU forces into Ukraine to fight against Russia.

This is the reason why Ukrainian security guarantees are such a dangerous policy for the US and NATO.

If the Ukraine prevokes Russia into military action, then we are automatically drawn into the conflict by the terms of the security guarantee. The US cannot be held hostage by the instability and irrationality of Zelensky's regime to be obligated to fighting a current or future war in Ukraine.

9 posted on 04/30/2025 7:31:46 AM PDT by rdcbn1 (TV )
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To: delta7

Seriously, this Armstrong pro Soviet cr&p has to go


10 posted on 04/30/2025 7:45:43 AM PDT by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: delta7

Ukraine should’ve withdrawn from the region in a “goodwill” gesture as soon as Trump started trying to make peace. Would it have swayed Putin? Probably not, but it would’ve saved the lives of thousands of Ukrainians trying to hold a region that they were never going to hold and give Ukraine some more moral high ground.


11 posted on 04/30/2025 7:49:18 AM PDT by libertylover (Our biggest problem, by far, is that almost all of big media is AGENDA-DRIVEN, not-truth driven.)
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To: rdcbn1

“If the Ukraine prevokes Russia into military action,”

Russia has already been in military action for years. Ukraine as already fired missiles at Russia multiple times. Why would responding to this attack change anything?


12 posted on 04/30/2025 7:52:16 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The road is a dangerous place man, you can die out here...or worse. -Johnny Paycheck, 1980, Reno, NV)
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To: nuconvert

Soviet Russia ( communism, socialism) died decades ago. The Federation of Russia is a very different country….the EU is today the most socialist “ country” on the planet….the EU is more of a threat to the US than the Russian Federation.


13 posted on 04/30/2025 7:58:01 AM PDT by delta7
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To: SaxxonWoods
The Russians call WWII The Great Patriotic War and the topic is a very emotional subject for Russians.

A mass casualty attack on Red Square right in the middle the 80th Anniversary Celebration would be a really big thing in a very bad way in Russia and the Russian reaction could be pretty big.

14 posted on 04/30/2025 8:17:10 AM PDT by rdcbn1 (TV )
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To: rdcbn1

“A mass casualty attack on Red Square right in the middle the 80th Anniversary Celebration would be a really big thing in a very bad way in Russia and the Russian reaction could be pretty big.”

Yes, that’s why I hope Z is making an empty threat.


15 posted on 04/30/2025 8:30:05 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (The road is a dangerous place man, you can die out here...or worse. -Johnny Paycheck, 1980, Reno, NV)
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To: rdcbn1

you know this obv. but at least 1 in 8 soviet citizens died in wwii.


16 posted on 04/30/2025 8:34:41 AM PDT by WoofDog123
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To: WoofDog123
WWII was horrific for Russia and there are still scars to this day.

The Russian schools teach the history as a heroic and semi mythic event.

Putin was born in the early 1950 and grew up in Stalinist post war Russia.

He had a brother who starved to death in the Nazi siege of Leningrad. He had family members killed during WWII and his father was very severely wounded in the war which was a daily reminder of the consequences of the war.

When Putin talks about Nazis and external threats to Russia, it is a real thing to him and he is dead serious.

If Zelensky’s Ukraine attacked Red Square during the 80th Victory Celebration of the Great Patriotic War with a mass casualty event Putin could react very harshly.

17 posted on 04/30/2025 9:05:48 AM PDT by rdcbn1 (TV )
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To: delta7; kiryandil
The TxGator has been noticeably absent for some days…he does have a history here of being banned/ suspended….he hasn’t “ Fetched” any of my recent posts…

Well, that always a good thing.


18 posted on 04/30/2025 9:10:10 AM PDT by Allegra (Thank you, greatly appreciate your comment. )
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To: rdcbn1

I will always remember the poem that Sir Laurence Olivier read in an episode of “The World At War”...

Wait For Me

https://vimeo.com/241258429


19 posted on 04/30/2025 9:11:11 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Allegra

Hey now!


20 posted on 04/30/2025 9:12:29 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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