Posted on 02/14/2025 1:39:08 PM PST by Signalman
A new poll spells bad news for Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) as he gears up for re-election in 2026. The survey, conducted by Tyson Group, tested the Georgia Democrat against three potential Republican challengers—Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA), Rep. Buddy Carter (R-GA), and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA). The results indicate Ossoff faces a tough road ahead, particularly in a head-to-head race against the popular governor.
The poll, conducted in January, shows Ossoff trailing Gov. Kemp by 7 points, a significant warning sign for Democrats hoping to maintain control of the seat.
In a direct matchup, Kemp leads Ossoff 49% to 42%, with 8% still undecided. The Republican governor, who has maintained strong popularity in Georgia, performs well among White voters (71%), older voters (66% among those 75 and older), and Republicans (91%).
Ossoff, meanwhile, continues to dominate among African American voters (80%) and younger voters aged 18-29 (54%). However, his struggles with moderate and independent voters are glaring. Kemp claims 32% of independent voters compared to Ossoff’s 49%, leaving a sizable 17% still undecided.
The governor’s strong numbers suggest that if he enters the race, he would be a formidable contender capable of flipping the seat red.
Ossoff performs slightly better when matched up against Rep. Buddy Carter and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, but the results still raise concerns for Democrats. Against Carter, Ossoff leads 47% to 39%, with 13% undecided. While this margin appears more favorable for the incumbent senator, the high number of undecided voters means the race remains volatile.
The most striking result, however, comes in the Ossoff-Greene matchup. Ossoff holds a 51% to 39% advantage over the firebrand congresswoman, with 9% undecided.
The poll also shows the impact of President Donald Trump in Georgia. Trump maintains a 49% approval rating, with 45% disapproving, giving him a net +4 approval rating. His strongest support comes from older voters, with 67% of those aged 75 and older backing him.
Meanwhile, Ossoff’s path to re-election could likely depend on how Trump’s influence shapes the Republican primary. While Kemp remains a widely respected figure in Georgia, both Carter and Greene have aligned themselves more closely with Trump’s populist movement.
Perhaps the most alarming statistic for Ossoff is his favorability rating, which lags behind other key Georgia figures. The poll found:
Brian Kemp: 43% favorable, 40% unfavorable
Stacey Abrams: 36% favorable, 52% unfavorable
Jon Ossoff: 25% favorable, 13% unfavorable
Marjorie Taylor Greene: 31% favorable, 26% unfavorable
Ossoff’s 25% favorability rating is strikingly low for an incumbent senator, signaling potential voter dissatisfaction.
Throughout the late 19th and early 20th centuries, Georgia remained a Democratic stronghold, with senators like Tom Watson. The late 20th century marked a political shift in Georgia, with Republican Paul Coverdell winning a Senate seat in 1993—the first Republican senator from Georgia since Reconstruction.
This signaled the beginning of the state’s transition away from its Democratic roots. Zell Miller, a Democrat who served from 2000 to 2005, famously aligned with Republican policies on several issues, including his endorsement of George W. Bush in 2004.
While Democrats have carried Georgia in the last two Senate elections, this poll suggests that Ossoff faces an uphill battle in 2026. If Kemp runs, Republicans have a strong chance of flipping the seat. Even against Carter, the race remains highly competitive.
He’s #1 on my list
Jon Ossoff never won a Senate seat in Georgia. He was installed by fraud in the great fraudulent election of 2020.
He has little chance of winning in 2026 because his opponent is Brian Kemp. I suspect there was a deal made for 2020 that Trump would lose in Georgia and Ossoff would get the Senate seat in exchange for Kemp winning the Senate race in 2026.
Kemp is not a favorite of mine because of 2020, but if I have to vote for him in order to get rid of Ossof, I’ll do it.
Tom Tillis will probably lose NC especially if he goes up against the popular former Governor Roy Cooper.
Could have had 3 more in 2024 but McConnell wouldn’t spend the money in AZ. WI, and NV.
Instead he wasted millions on Larry Hogan in MD who had no chance.
Kemp is a Democrat pretending he’s not.
More over THOSE counting the votes. The steal is steal real
**I’d rather see MTG if it came to that.**
Too risky and you all know that.
**Tom Tillis will probably lose NC especially if he goes up against the popular former Governor Roy Cooper.**
Then it will have to be Lara. I’m willing to lose with her but not Tillis.
**Voters will have to hold their nose for Collins if they want any hope of 60 seats.**
Collins hs a job at the VA unless you have another Collins in mind.
Oh I get it. You’re talking Susan. Don’t hold your nose. Just thank God she has an R next to her name.
I hate Kemp but I don’t think Taylor Green can win statewide.
Ossof is not a top Senator, though he is a Democrat.
How can Roy Cooper be popular?
Roy Cooper is not crazy.
Depends if our team can quash voter fraud.
We need to work towards this together.
e just need to get some good Republican candidate.
No football stars please!
We blew up GA big time last couple of elections.
“Popular governor”??? Brian Kemp???
**I hate Kemp but I don’t think Taylor Green can win statewide.**
You are smarter than the rest of us-not me.
**How can Roy Cooper be popular?/Roy Cooper is not crazy.**
This is a 4th and one play. You go with Lara. She’s the big-time defensive lineman you put on offense for that big(drumroll) play. The game rests on it Punt(Tillis) and you lose.
“Assoff and Warnock were the result of systemic cheating. Georgia is a red state.”
Actually, they won their 2020 runoffs as a result of 500,000 Trump voters staying home to ‘teach the GOP a lesson’.
115 percent turnout in Atlanta is tough to beat…
Jon Jackoff and the putrid Warnock who Atlanta cheated to the senate. What filth.
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