Posted on 02/14/2025 1:39:08 PM PST by Signalman
A new poll spells bad news for Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) as he gears up for re-election in 2026. The survey, conducted by Tyson Group, tested the Georgia Democrat against three potential Republican challengers—Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA), Rep. Buddy Carter (R-GA), and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA). The results indicate Ossoff faces a tough road ahead, particularly in a head-to-head race against the popular governor.
The poll, conducted in January, shows Ossoff trailing Gov. Kemp by 7 points, a significant warning sign for Democrats hoping to maintain control of the seat.
In a direct matchup, Kemp leads Ossoff 49% to 42%, with 8% still undecided. The Republican governor, who has maintained strong popularity in Georgia, performs well among White voters (71%), older voters (66% among those 75 and older), and Republicans (91%).
Ossoff, meanwhile, continues to dominate among African American voters (80%) and younger voters aged 18-29 (54%). However, his struggles with moderate and independent voters are glaring. Kemp claims 32% of independent voters compared to Ossoff’s 49%, leaving a sizable 17% still undecided.
The governor’s strong numbers suggest that if he enters the race, he would be a formidable contender capable of flipping the seat red.
Ossoff performs slightly better when matched up against Rep. Buddy Carter and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, but the results still raise concerns for Democrats. Against Carter, Ossoff leads 47% to 39%, with 13% undecided. While this margin appears more favorable for the incumbent senator, the high number of undecided voters means the race remains volatile.
The most striking result, however, comes in the Ossoff-Greene matchup. Ossoff holds a 51% to 39% advantage over the firebrand congresswoman, with 9% undecided.
The poll also shows the impact of President Donald Trump in Georgia. Trump maintains a 49% approval rating, with 45% disapproving, giving him a net +4 approval rating. His strongest support comes from older voters, with 67% of those aged 75 and older backing him.
Meanwhile, Ossoff’s path to re-election could likely depend on how Trump’s influence shapes the Republican primary. While Kemp remains a widely respected figure in Georgia, both Carter and Greene have aligned themselves more closely with Trump’s populist movement.
Perhaps the most alarming statistic for Ossoff is his favorability rating, which lags behind other key Georgia figures. The poll found:
Brian Kemp: 43% favorable, 40% unfavorable
Stacey Abrams: 36% favorable, 52% unfavorable
Jon Ossoff: 25% favorable, 13% unfavorable
Marjorie Taylor Greene: 31% favorable, 26% unfavorable
Ossoff’s 25% favorability rating is strikingly low for an incumbent senator, signaling potential voter dissatisfaction.
Throughout the late 19th and early 20th centuries, Georgia remained a Democratic stronghold, with senators like Tom Watson. The late 20th century marked a political shift in Georgia, with Republican Paul Coverdell winning a Senate seat in 1993—the first Republican senator from Georgia since Reconstruction.
This signaled the beginning of the state’s transition away from its Democratic roots. Zell Miller, a Democrat who served from 2000 to 2005, famously aligned with Republican policies on several issues, including his endorsement of George W. Bush in 2004.
While Democrats have carried Georgia in the last two Senate elections, this poll suggests that Ossoff faces an uphill battle in 2026. If Kemp runs, Republicans have a strong chance of flipping the seat. Even against Carter, the race remains highly competitive.
Getting to sixty senators is in play IF IF IF Voter ID becomes the law of the land.
Ossof...is that Jack?
Only those on FULL RETARD would vote for a RAT.
Kemp is who we absolutely DO NOT NEED getting the nomination.
Unfortunately, Georgia has no shortage of those
Ossoff was a fluke winner in 2020.
Throw in voter fraud in the Atlanta metro area along with the votes of soccer moms and other assorted Karen’s and voila!
I believe Trump / DOGE going after corrupt Fed.gov funding of hundreds of phony NGOs is going to badly hurt Democrat spending to fund “get out the vote” efforts, buy votes, and manipulate elections.
Moreover, if Trump can systematically reveal electoral corruption, and limit local Democrat (particularly blue-city) use of dirty voter rolls and mail-in ballots, I believe Democrats will be wiped-out in 2026.
I’m so looking forward to 2026.
I’m surprised it hadn’t started yet.
I remember one year the presidencial election campaigns started BEFORE the congressional elections two years prior.
Cant remember which one that was but I believe the incumbent was a republican. Definately G W Bush or later.
“Kemp is who we absolutely DO NOT NEED getting the nomination.”
Exactly. What a win for the deep state if both Kemp and the Democrat are on the ballot.
Demonicrats should lose every election except in those places where there are enough traitors to the United States who vote or fake enough votes so that the Demonicrat wins.
I think so. He’d run for dog catcher if it paid enough. He hasn’t done a damned thing since getting into office and he NEVER talks to the state constituency.
True. I’d rather see MTG if it came to that.
You sure that’s not MeOff?
Assoff and Warnock were the result of systemic cheating. Georgia is a red state.
Voters will have to hold their nose for Collins if they want any hope of 60 seats.
If she continues to show discipline like she did during her first DOGE committee hearing, She may actually stand a chance.
Hopeful results...but that 49% is not good enough as Georgia I believe still has that law that if no candidate gets to 50% it goes to runoff...that is how we ended up with Ossoff to begin with as Perdue got the most votes on election day but fell short of the 50% threshold so it went to a runoff that Ossoff won.
True.
Republican have a chance at pick ups in MN, MI, VA, GA, NH, but might lose NC.
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