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The Coming EU Depression into 2028?
Armstrong Economics ^ | 3 Dec 24 | Martin Armstrong

Posted on 12/03/2024 7:49:09 AM PST by delta7

QUESTION: I want to apologize and thank you. I thought you were just a Trump supporter, but your warning that his tariffs can send the world into a depression demonstrated not just that I was wrong but that you are a genuinely impartial and independent voice in the wilderness. Here in Europe, for the last six months, the newspapers have presented Trump as the devil with no hope whatsoever. Everything you warned here about our economy with climate change and warmongering is correct. The migrant crisis combined with the economy turning down, you warned, would lead to rising civil unrest here as well. With the wave of layoffs in the auto industry, the German economy is in crash mode, as you had forecast.

A friend of mine has followed you since the 1980s. He has been telling me you were the most honest man he ever encountered, and everything you do is to try to steer the world through this chaos into 2032. I can see by your actions that he has been correct. Somehow, we have to get our leaders to listen.

Where do you see Germany headed now on your timeline?

ANSWER: Unfortunately, it has been preordained that we are headed into a recession in some areas and a depression in others, especially in Europe. Trump will be blamed, as Herbert Hoover was, but in both cases, the trends were preordained. Trump, with the bad advice he has been given regarding tariffs, is likely to end up destroying the Republican Party and the implosion we are witnessing in the Democrats.

The core foundation of the entire European economy is Germany, its richest nation. As they used to say about America, if it catches a cold, the rest of the world suffers pneumonia. They say that behind the headlines of “Deutschland,” it has been structured on the automobile, which has also given rise to dubbing it “Autoland.”

German cars have long been regarded as the best in the world. Indeed, Europe’s most prosperous business engine has been relying on automobiles, and the climate change agenda has been like you kill a vampire – driving a stake through the heart.

Volkswagen, Europe’s number one car manufacturer, has threatened thousands of job cuts and potential plant closures in Germany as it confronts unions over inflation. The climate change agenda has had a major impact on lowering demand, and on top of that, they are finding stiff resistance to higher-end electric cars. The current cost-cutting layoffs and proposed German plant closings are sending shockwaves into the global marketplace with worldwide implications. Automakers like Mercedes Benz, BMW, Ford, and other industrial giants are all cutting costs and employees across the country. However, Volkswagen announced layoffs for tens of thousands of workers and is considering unheard-of plant closings. The world’s largest auto parts supplier, Bosch, which is one of Germany’s biggest employers, is also reducing both hours and pay for about 10,000 employees. Even Meyer Werft, the German shipbuilder from the 1800s, also recently needed a US$423 million bailout to avoid bankruptcy.

The economic policies of Brussels have absolutely undermined the entire European economy of the EU. As I have also warned many times, Germany has clung to the old Mercantile economic model, keeping taxes high to prevent inflation and manufacturing products to sell to everyone else to bring home the profits.

The auto industry will account for up to 17% of German exports in 2023. The total amount of jobs this has accounted for exceeds 750,000 people. German manufacturing has been unable to recover fully since COVID-19 2020. To this day, it has, at best, recovered to only 90% of pre-COVID levels.

The RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA propaganda of the Neocons has severely impacted Germany with the destruction of Nord Stream. The Government refuses to turn on the second pipeline and instead has forced its economy to suffer at least a 300% increase in energy costs. With cheap Russian gas no longer viable and exports to China declining, the war policies of the EU coupled with the economic crisis created by climate change and the cost of funding unproductive migrants, the prospects for the economy of Europe are pointing toward somewhat hard times into 2026. This will most likely contribute to tensions and pointing fingers at Russia to justify war being pushed by NATO.

In late October, Merceds-Benz reported that group profit dropped over 50% year over year, and Ford announced plans to cut its European workforce by 4,000 as well. Germany has depended more on Moscow and Beijing than all other EU countries. With ministers in Germany calling for Article 5 under NATO for a hybrid attack, they are unquestionably undermining the German economy with all of this geopolitical tension thrust on Europe by the Neocons. NATO is pushing to expand operations to Asia, and this is further undermining the German economy in the long term, transforming China from a viable trading partner into a systemic long-term enemy. No leaders are even interested in peace, and they are just doing as directed by the Neocons and NATO, who have no interest in the economy of the people – only waging war.

This lethal combination means that Germany’s entire economic model is under assault from every direction. Then, the tariffs of Trump’s proposals will be added, which will be the final nail in the coffin of the EU. This hybrid Merchantile Model of Germany no longer works. Germany needs major reforms, and that is not likely with Brussels in charge.

This immediate lethal combination with a very cold winter expected on our model warns that Germany is headed into a serious recession for the next two years. Brussels is too interested in retaining centralized power and control over the EU member states, and it is ignoring the ripple effect of the decline in Germany throughout Europe.

THIS IS WHY THEY WILL TURN TO WAR

There is no question that the German economy is going to go down hard as this lethal combination of climate change and migration moves to give a death blow to the industrial backbone of Europe, and the politicians are too caught up in the narrative to question the rhetoric.

The French head of state met the Finnish president and the Swedish prime minister, and all that came out of it was defense for war. This was an opportunity to carve a new path, but it was dominated by the Neocon speaking points – RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA. Macron only pushed the lifelong dream of Charles de Gaul (1890-1970), which was that France should rise to lead all of Europe – the Napoleon dream.……more….


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: economy; eu; germany; neocons
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To: TexasGator

And he’s been wrong about everything since he got out of prison.


21 posted on 12/03/2024 8:31:28 AM PST by HYPOCRACY (Democracy is dead. Long live the Republic!)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

>> New symbols...

Yellow crescent and star sewn onto the burka?


22 posted on 12/03/2024 8:32:18 AM PST by Nervous Tick ("First the Saturday people, then the Sunday people...": ISLAM is the problem!)
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To: HYPOCRACY

>> And he’s been wrong about everything since he got out of prison.

Oh I don’t know about that... seems he’s correctly predicted twelve out of the last four economic downturn events...

(to recycle a tired old saw)


23 posted on 12/03/2024 8:35:19 AM PST by Nervous Tick ("First the Saturday people, then the Sunday people...": ISLAM is the problem!)
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To: hinckley buzzard

Yep, Merkel couldn’t have done worse for Germany if she had been a Commie deep cover agent. I’ve got a picture saved somewhere from when she was in the Communist Youth League. She’s marching along in uniform with her fellow comrades with a smile on her face.


24 posted on 12/03/2024 8:36:31 AM PST by Roadrunner383
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To: TexasGator
Do not buy a used German car.


25 posted on 12/03/2024 8:37:03 AM PST by x
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To: delta7

The airlines to South America will be booked up for months to come.


26 posted on 12/03/2024 8:45:49 AM PST by Rich21IE
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To: Leaning Right

WTF is happening at Toyota?

https://youtu.be/klyb2VrACZc?feature=shared


27 posted on 12/03/2024 8:54:27 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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To: TexasGator

You confuse me with Mr Armstrong. I merely post his relevant articles. His forecasting computer Socrates is Legend in the International Finance industry and many sovereign Governments. You would do well spending more time contributing and posting articles instead of wasting your time bashing Armstrong….

In any case, I do appreciate you reading his work….you are learning.


28 posted on 12/03/2024 8:57:49 AM PST by delta7
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To: Roadrunner383

29 posted on 12/03/2024 9:00:28 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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To: delta7

“You confuse me with Mr Armstrong. I merely post his relevant articles”

LOL! We’ve been down this road before. Do you want me to again put up your post where you agreed that the US would enter a civil war next year and breakup into four new countries in 2026?


30 posted on 12/03/2024 9:04:30 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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To: delta7

“You confuse me with Mr Armstrong. I merely post his relevant articles. His forecasting computer Socrates is Legend in the International Finance industry and many sovereign Governments. “

LOL! You discredit yourself right there.

First you say you merely post his articles and then in the next sentence you lie about his credibility.


31 posted on 12/03/2024 9:07:45 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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To: delta7

IBTG. Did I make it? I’ll scroll through the comments.


32 posted on 12/03/2024 9:10:41 AM PST by BlackbirdSST (Trump or Bust! Long live the Republic.)
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To: delta7

“His forecasting computer Socrates is Legend ...”

Legend:

1.
a traditional story sometimes popularly regarded as historical but unauthenticated.

Unauthenticated:

1. not given authority or legal validity
an unauthenticated statement

2. not established as genuine or valid
his unwitnessed and unauthenticated signature


33 posted on 12/03/2024 9:11:28 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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To: delta7

IBTG? Nope, didn’t make it in time.


34 posted on 12/03/2024 9:12:07 AM PST by BlackbirdSST (Trump or Bust! Long live the Republic.)
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To: TexasGator

Not in my experience. My BMW X5 was the most reliable car I ever had with less than a thousand in repairs over ten years whereas I sunk $26k in repairs to my Range Rover in just five years. Never again will I buy a Range Rover!!! But they are just so gorgeous though ...


35 posted on 12/03/2024 9:12:19 AM PST by Raymond Pamintuan
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To: Nervous Tick
... amazing and incredible that Germany (and the UK) caved in to the insanity of the climatistas and willfully committed industrial suicide.

Someone in the future needs to write a paper on that... it made no sense at the time - still doesn't.

36 posted on 12/03/2024 9:13:35 AM PST by GOPJ (MAGA is not a historical blip. It is a trend https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4280749/posts)
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To: BlackbirdSST

I see you come here to support animal dude that posts pro-Russian and pro-Hamas idiots.


37 posted on 12/03/2024 9:13:36 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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To: central_va

Given all the times that all the “Experts” have told me Trump’s actions were definitely going to destroy the world, followed by him being proven exactly right, when I see commentaries like this, I relax, knowing it’s all going to be hunky-dory.


38 posted on 12/03/2024 9:16:20 AM PST by _longranger81
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To: TexasGator
I see you come here to support animal dude that posts pro-Russian and pro-Hamas idiots.

Stop lying troll. My only reason to stop here was to see if I could beat you to the thread that mentions Armstrong, hence IBTG? TrollGator.

39 posted on 12/03/2024 9:16:38 AM PST by BlackbirdSST (Trump or Bust! Long live the Republic.)
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To: Raymond Pamintuan

From the link it show reliability goes to heck after 2-3 years.

‐————

As with most luxury models, the BMW X5 isn’t exactly a paragon of reliability. According to RepairPal, it has a reliability score of 2.0 out of 5.0, which is below average. Here are some of the most common problems with this luxury SUV.

https://www.copilotsearch.com/posts/bmw-x5-years-to-avoid/


40 posted on 12/03/2024 9:19:49 AM PST by TexasGator (1./')
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