Prediction - White people will get more accurate predictions listening to Negrodamus than polling Nostradamus.
Posted on 11/06/2024 10:51:01 AM PST by bitt
An American political historian known as the “Nostradamus” of elections was seemingly at a loss for words early Wednesday when he realized his prediction — that Kamala Harris would win the presidential election — was wrong.
Allen Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the 10 elections since 1984, was captured on a livestream repeatedly saying “I don’t get it” as Donald Trump’s landslide victory started to become evident.
The 77-year-old professor and his son, Sam, shared their stunned reactions in real time as the results rolled in toward the end of their nearly six-hour coverage of the election.
“This is the first moment of the night where I’ve lost hope a little bit,” Sam Lichtman said as media outlets called Pennsylvania for Trump.
The elder Lichtman rubbed his eyes, visibly frustrated by the data, and said: “Good thing I have nothing to do tomorrow. And I’m not doing any interviews.”
The prof is the co-creator of the “Keys to the White House” metric, which entails 13 categories assessing the prospects of the two major-party candidates. This year, according to Lichtman, Harris had the edge in eight of those metrics, compared to Trump’s three.
As the livestream neared its end, with both Lichtmans growing noticeably frustrated by the numbers showing Trump ahead in all seven swing states, Allan Lichtman said there was “nothing positive” for Harris in the data.
“Oh, the democracy’s gone,” a defeated-sounding Lichtman said. “Once democracy’s gone, it’s almost impossible to recover. The way to recover is by the dictators losing wars.”
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
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So you are wrong and that means democracy is lost, what an ego
so obvious his metric had inherent bias
Prediction - White people will get more accurate predictions listening to Negrodamus than polling Nostradamus.
“Democracy’s gone”. If we didn’t know how biased he was before this, we know it now.
4chan was trolling this guy like crazy in chat last night
“Oh, the democracy’s gone,”
He lost the title of profit and all he has left with is his strange looking face
We’re a democracy now professor?
...told "Not so, dumbass".
What a moron... All he needs in that pic is a Dunce cap.
Most of them do. Folks like Rich Baris are much better and trustworthy. I just discovered him a few days ago and I enjoyed watching his broadcast the most last night.
Baris was fantastic - and hilarious at times - last night. His data analysis is head and shoulders better than anyone else that was streaming or broadcasting on the networks last night. Even during those early hours when it was looking shaky he was dead on saying Trump was going to surge ahead and stay there. When I tried to scroll around and hear what others were saying, my wife yelled at me to go back to Baris. And she was right, no one else was close to as good.
I recall an article about this guys’ metrics, pointing out that the majority pointed to a Trump win. The guy was lying to himself over his own data, and is responsible for publicly humiliating himself as a result. Lies catch up with you.
Sometimes you flip a coin and it comes up heads 10 times in a row. The stupid man draws a false conclusion about coin flips from that data set. Lichtman is that stupid man.
The only other man of our time who was so magnificently wrong was Harold Camping who predicted the end of the world for May 21, 2011.
In my opinion he erred in at least two of his keys—saying that the current administration had no whiff of scandal and that Trump has no charisma. Those two subjective determinations are enough to flip his result the other way.
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