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To: zeestephen

As you say, this isn’t a popularity metric. It’s an “on whom are you willing to put down real money” metric, and it looks like a tossup as far as gamblers are concerned. My gut feeling is that a tossup favors Trump, as his support is generally underestimated.


2 posted on 10/03/2024 9:19:39 AM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: irishjuggler

PA AZ NC and Georgia and Trump wins


3 posted on 10/03/2024 9:27:14 AM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: irishjuggler

Betting markets are akin to sticking your finger into the wind of current sentiment. They aren’t predictive. Polymarket appears to be large and therefore least vulnerable to the whimsical sentiment from a subset of bettors.


7 posted on 10/03/2024 9:49:40 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: irishjuggler
Just looking at the polls and how people will vote Trump is by far the favorite.

The unknown is the cheating.

14 posted on 10/03/2024 12:09:54 PM PDT by AndyTheBear (Certified smarter than average for my species)
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